CNRFC Ensemble Plot for MRYC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

Prev. Point

Next Point

Back to Points

Back to Home

YUBA RIVER - MARYSVILLE (MRYC1)

Latitude:
39.18º N

Longitude:
121.52º W

Elevation:
88 Feet

Location: Yuba County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jul 05 2025 at 8:04 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
74.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
87.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
90.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
91.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | MRYC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
93.0 Feet	Top of levee. Stages above this level result in flooding outside the levee. (datum = used)
87.0 Feet	Flood stage.
80.0 Feet	Simpson Lane becomes impassible. Dantoni Road floods. More orchards flood.
79.0 Feet	Simpson Lane floods. Access into and out of Marysville via Simpson Lane bridge is cut off. Orchards within the levee system are flooded.
74.0 Feet	Monitor stage.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ016)

Tonight: Clear. Lows 55 to 63. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs around 93. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Sunday Night: Clear. Lows 58 to 66. South winds up to 10 mph.

Monday: Sunny. Highs around 94. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 57 to 63. South winds up to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs around 90.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 58 to 64.

Wednesday and Wednesday Night: Clear. Highs around 94. Lows 59 to 69.

Thursday through Saturday: Clear. Highs around 100. Lows 63 to 73.

Flood Impacts
93.0 Feet	Top of levee. Stages above this level result in flooding outside the levee. (datum = used)
87.0 Feet	Flood stage.
80.0 Feet	Simpson Lane becomes impassible. Dantoni Road floods. More orchards flood.
79.0 Feet	Simpson Lane floods. Access into and out of Marysville via Simpson Lane bridge is cut off. Orchards within the levee system are flooded.
74.0 Feet	Monitor stage.