CNRFC Ensemble Plot for MSSC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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MCCLOUD RIVER - SHASTA LAKE (MSSC1)

Latitude:
40.95º N

Longitude:
122.22º W

Elevation:
1100 Feet

Location: Shasta County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jan 11 2026 at 7:46 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | MSSC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ013)

Tonight: Clear. Lows 31 to 46. Prevailing north winds up to 10 mph.

Monday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 49 to 64 higher elevations and 61 to 67 lower elevations. Prevailing northeast winds up to 10 mph.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 33 to 48. Prevailing north winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 52 to 67 higher elevations and 62 to 69 lower elevations. Prevailing northeast winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 33 to 48 higher elevations and 43 to 50 lower elevations. Prevailing north winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 56 to 71.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 35 to 50.

Thursday through Saturday: Clear. Highs 56 to 71. Lows 35 to 50.

Saturday Night and Sunday: Mostly clear. Lows 34 to 49. Highs 55 to 70.