CNRFC Ensemble Plot for MTSC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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MARTIS CREEK - MARTIS CREEK LAKE (MTSC1)

Latitude:
39.33º N

Longitude:
120.11º W

Elevation:
5800 Feet

Location: Nevada County in CA

River Group: Eastern Sierra

Issuance Time:

Jan 11 2026 at 8:24 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | MTSC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ072)

Tonight: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming clear. Lows 15 to 25. Light winds.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 39 to 44. Light winds.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 16 to 26. East winds around 10 mph in the evening becoming light.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 45 to 55. Light winds.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 21 to 31. Light winds.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 46 to 56.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 21 to 31.

Thursday through Saturday: Clear. Highs 45 to 55. Lows 18 to 28.

Saturday Night: Clear in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows 24 to 34.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 49 to 59.