CNRFC Ensemble Plot for NDVC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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NORTH FORK STANISLAUS RIVER - DIVERSION DAM (NDVC1)

Latitude:
38.43º N

Longitude:
120.02º W

Elevation:
6672 Feet

Location: Alpine County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jan 11 2026 at 8:00 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | NDVC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ069)

Today: Sunny. Highs 41 to 56 higher elevations and 55 to 63 lower elevations. Prevailing east winds up to 10 mph.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 27 to 42 higher elevations and 38 to 49 lower elevations. Prevailing east winds 5 to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 46 to 61 higher elevations and 60 to 68 lower elevations. Prevailing east winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 30 to 45 higher elevations and 42 to 51 lower elevations. Prevailing northeast winds up to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 48 to 63 higher elevations and 61 to 71 lower elevations. Prevailing northeast winds up to 15 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 33 to 48.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs 51 to 66.

Thursday Night through Saturday Night: Clear. Lows 32 to 47. Highs 51 to 66.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 52 to 67.