CNRFC Ensemble Plot for NMSC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
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STANISLAUS RIVER - NEW MELONES RESERVOIR (NMSC1)

Latitude:
37.96º N

Longitude:
120.52º W

Elevation:
1400 Feet

Location: Calaveras County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jun 21 2025 at 12:08 PM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | NMSC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ067)

Today: Sunny. Highs 71 to 83. Light winds becoming west up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 52 to 60. Prevailing west winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light.

Monday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 78 to 90. Light winds becoming west up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 56 to 64. Prevailing west winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 80 to 92. Light winds becoming west up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 56 to 64.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 83 to 93.

Wednesday Night through Saturday: Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Highs 82 to 96.