CNRFC Ensemble Plot for OREC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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ORESTIMBA CREEK - NEWMAN (OREC1)

Latitude:
37.32º N

Longitude:
121.12º W

Elevation:
216 Feet

Location: Stanislaus County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jun 25 2025 at 7:54 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | OREC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ019)

Tonight: Clear. Lows 54 to 64. Northwest winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs 88 to 96. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Thursday Night: Clear. Lows 56 to 66. Northwest winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Friday: Sunny. Highs 92 to 100. Light winds.

Friday Night: Clear. Lows 61 to 71. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs 94 to 102.

Saturday Night: Clear. Lows 60 to 70.

Sunday through Wednesday: Clear. Highs 92 to 101. Lows 59 to 69.