CNRFC Ensemble Plot for PALN2

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

Prev. Point

Next Point

Back to Points

Back to Home

HUMBOLDT RIVER - PALISADE (PALN2)

Latitude:
40.61º N

Longitude:
116.20º W

Elevation:
4826 Feet

Location: Eureka County in NV

River Group: Humboldt

Issuance Time:

Apr 11 2026 at 8:09 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
6.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
7.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
8.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
9.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | PALN2

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
17.0 Feet	All time record flooding occurs with widespread catastrophic damage. This is similar to the largest known flood of february 1910. Catastrophic damage to all public infrastructure and private property along the river in the reach. The river becomes a large lake 4 to 5 miles wide from Beowawe to Battle Mountain. Transportation is nearly impossible. Communications out to many areas. This is about 17000 cfs. Any levels higher than this become new record floods.
12.0 Feet	Catastrophic flooding occurs. This is about 10000 cfs.
10.5 Feet	Disastrous flooding occurs with extensive damage through reach. This is about 8300 cfs.
10.0 Feet	Major flooding occurs with extensive damage to railroads, roads, bridges, buildings, irrigation structures and ranchland. Heavy livestock losses occur. Total loss will probably exceed 10 million dollars in the reach. Many roads are closed or destroyed. This is about 7600 cfs.
9.5 Feet	Major lowland flooding occurs with damage to roads, railroads, and buildings along the river from Carlin to Battle Mountain. Lower portions of Carlin and Beowawe flood. Significant losses occur to livestock, irrigation structures, and pasture. This is about 6900 cfs.
9.0 Feet	Significant to major lowland flooding occurs with moderate damage from Carlin to Battle Mountain. Moderate damage occurs to low-lying structures, rural roads and bridges. Ranch buildings and livestock affected. Erosion degrades pastures. This is about 6200 cfs.
8.5 Feet	Significant lowland flooding occurs with minor damage from Carlin to Battle Mountain. Some damage occurs to low lying structures. A few rural roads flood. This is about 5500 cfs.
8.0 Feet	Moderate lowland flooding occurs from Carlin to Battle Mountain. This is about 4900 cfs.
7.5 Feet	Minor to moderate lowland flooding occurs from Carlin to Battle Mountain. This is about 4300 cfs.
7.0 Feet	Minor lowland flooding begins between Carlin and Battle Mountains. This is about 3650 cfs.
6.0 Feet	This is monitoring stage. No flooding occurs. This is about 2600 cfs.
5.2 Feet	This is below monitoring stage. No flooding occurs. This is about 1800 cfs. NOTE: 1 cfs (cubic feet per second) is approximately 7.48 gallons of flow per second.

Flood Impacts
17.0 Feet	All time record flooding occurs with widespread catastrophic damage. This is similar to the largest known flood of february 1910. Catastrophic damage to all public infrastructure and private property along the river in the reach. The river becomes a large lake 4 to 5 miles wide from Beowawe to Battle Mountain. Transportation is nearly impossible. Communications out to many areas. This is about 17000 cfs. Any levels higher than this become new record floods.
12.0 Feet	Catastrophic flooding occurs. This is about 10000 cfs.
10.5 Feet	Disastrous flooding occurs with extensive damage through reach. This is about 8300 cfs.
10.0 Feet	Major flooding occurs with extensive damage to railroads, roads, bridges, buildings, irrigation structures and ranchland. Heavy livestock losses occur. Total loss will probably exceed 10 million dollars in the reach. Many roads are closed or destroyed. This is about 7600 cfs.
9.5 Feet	Major lowland flooding occurs with damage to roads, railroads, and buildings along the river from Carlin to Battle Mountain. Lower portions of Carlin and Beowawe flood. Significant losses occur to livestock, irrigation structures, and pasture. This is about 6900 cfs.
9.0 Feet	Significant to major lowland flooding occurs with moderate damage from Carlin to Battle Mountain. Moderate damage occurs to low-lying structures, rural roads and bridges. Ranch buildings and livestock affected. Erosion degrades pastures. This is about 6200 cfs.
8.5 Feet	Significant lowland flooding occurs with minor damage from Carlin to Battle Mountain. Some damage occurs to low lying structures. A few rural roads flood. This is about 5500 cfs.
8.0 Feet	Moderate lowland flooding occurs from Carlin to Battle Mountain. This is about 4900 cfs.
7.5 Feet	Minor to moderate lowland flooding occurs from Carlin to Battle Mountain. This is about 4300 cfs.
7.0 Feet	Minor lowland flooding begins between Carlin and Battle Mountains. This is about 3650 cfs.
6.0 Feet	This is monitoring stage. No flooding occurs. This is about 2600 cfs.
5.2 Feet	This is below monitoring stage. No flooding occurs. This is about 1800 cfs. NOTE: 1 cfs (cubic feet per second) is approximately 7.48 gallons of flow per second.