CNRFC Ensemble Plot for POHC1

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MERCED RIVER - YOSEMITE AT POHONO BRIDGE (POHC1)

Latitude:
37.72º N

Longitude:
119.67º W

Elevation:
3862 Feet

Location: Mariposa County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

May 10 2025 at 8:53 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
10.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
12.5 Ft

Major
Flood:
20.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | POHC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
23.45 Feet	Flood of record...1/3/97. $178 million damage to Yosemite Valley.
13.6 Feet	Lift stations at Housekeeping Camp and Yosemite Creek flooded. Southside Drive at Chapel Meadow impassable.
12.5 Feet	Northside Drive at Wosky Pond, El Capitan crossover, and Sentinel crossover are impassable to vehicles.
12.0 Feet	Water on road at Northside Drive, Southside Drive, El Capitan crossover, Sentinel crossover, and Highway 140 near Cookie Cliff.
11.4 Feet	Water begins to overtop road curbs on Northside Drive. Swinging Bridge overtops.
10.0 Feet	Merced River at Pohono Bridge begins to rise out of its banks. Flood Stage.
9.5 Feet	Lower Pines and Housekeeping Camp begin flooding.
7.0 Feet	RIVER IS CLOSED TO RAFTERS AND FLOATATION DEVICES.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ324)

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 52 to 58. Northeast winds up to 10 mph.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 65 to 75. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph increasing to 15 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph shifting to the south up to 5 mph after midnight.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 52 to 64. South winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the southwest 10 to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Monday Night: Colder. Mostly cloudy in the evening then becoming partly cloudy. Lows 35 to 41. Southwest winds 5 to 15 mph decreasing to up to 5 mph after midnight.

Tuesday: Partly sunny. Chance of rain showers in the afternoon. Highs 45 to 55. Chance of showers 40 percent.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 34 to 40.

Wednesday and Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Highs 55 to 65. Lows 41 to 47.

Thursday: Warmer, sunny. Highs 61 to 71.

Thursday Night through Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 46 to 53. Highs 63 to 73.

Saturday: Sunny. Highs 62 to 74.

Flood Impacts
23.45 Feet	Flood of record...1/3/97. $178 million damage to Yosemite Valley.
13.6 Feet	Lift stations at Housekeeping Camp and Yosemite Creek flooded. Southside Drive at Chapel Meadow impassable.
12.5 Feet	Northside Drive at Wosky Pond, El Capitan crossover, and Sentinel crossover are impassable to vehicles.
12.0 Feet	Water on road at Northside Drive, Southside Drive, El Capitan crossover, Sentinel crossover, and Highway 140 near Cookie Cliff.
11.4 Feet	Water begins to overtop road curbs on Northside Drive. Swinging Bridge overtops.
10.0 Feet	Merced River at Pohono Bridge begins to rise out of its banks. Flood Stage.
9.5 Feet	Lower Pines and Housekeeping Camp begin flooding.
7.0 Feet	RIVER IS CLOSED TO RAFTERS AND FLOATATION DEVICES.