CNRFC Ensemble Plot for POHC1

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MERCED RIVER - YOSEMITE AT POHONO BRIDGE (POHC1)

Latitude:
37.72º N

Longitude:
119.67º W

Elevation:
3862 Feet

Location: Mariposa County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jun 27 2025 at 8:23 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
10.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
12.5 Ft

Major
Flood:
20.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | POHC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
23.45 Feet	Flood of record...1/3/97. $178 million damage to Yosemite Valley.
13.6 Feet	Lift stations at Housekeeping Camp and Yosemite Creek flooded. Southside Drive at Chapel Meadow impassable.
12.5 Feet	Northside Drive at Wosky Pond, El Capitan crossover, and Sentinel crossover are impassable to vehicles.
12.0 Feet	Water on road at Northside Drive, Southside Drive, El Capitan crossover, Sentinel crossover, and Highway 140 near Cookie Cliff.
11.4 Feet	Water begins to overtop road curbs on Northside Drive. Swinging Bridge overtops.
10.0 Feet	Merced River at Pohono Bridge begins to rise out of its banks. Flood Stage.
9.5 Feet	Lower Pines and Housekeeping Camp begin flooding.
7.0 Feet	RIVER IS CLOSED TO RAFTERS AND FLOATATION DEVICES.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ324)

Today: Sunny. Highs 79 to 93. South winds up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest 5 to 15 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 60 to 68. West winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 79 to 93. East winds up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 59 to 67. West winds 5 to 10 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 80 to 92. East winds up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.

Monday Night through Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 57 to 68. Highs 77 to 92.

Independence Day: Sunny. Highs 76 to 88.

Flood Impacts
23.45 Feet	Flood of record...1/3/97. $178 million damage to Yosemite Valley.
13.6 Feet	Lift stations at Housekeeping Camp and Yosemite Creek flooded. Southside Drive at Chapel Meadow impassable.
12.5 Feet	Northside Drive at Wosky Pond, El Capitan crossover, and Sentinel crossover are impassable to vehicles.
12.0 Feet	Water on road at Northside Drive, Southside Drive, El Capitan crossover, Sentinel crossover, and Highway 140 near Cookie Cliff.
11.4 Feet	Water begins to overtop road curbs on Northside Drive. Swinging Bridge overtops.
10.0 Feet	Merced River at Pohono Bridge begins to rise out of its banks. Flood Stage.
9.5 Feet	Lower Pines and Housekeeping Camp begin flooding.
7.0 Feet	RIVER IS CLOSED TO RAFTERS AND FLOATATION DEVICES.