CNRFC Ensemble Plot for SCOC1

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EEL RIVER - SCOTIA (SCOC1)

Latitude:
40.49º N

Longitude:
124.1º W

Elevation:
36 Feet

Location: Humboldt County in CA

River Group: North Coast

Issuance Time:

May 05 2025 at 8:24 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
45.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
51.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
60.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
65.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | SCOC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
74.0 Feet	Extensive and severe flooding throughout the river valley with major damage to roads, bridges and structures. There will be numerous road closures including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254) and US Highway 101.
72.0 Feet	Extensive and severe flooding of all areas adjacent to the river is expected with possible damage to roads, bridges and other structures. Expect many road closures including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254) and possibly US Highway 101.
67.0 Feet	Expect significant flooding in all areas near the river with numerous road closures, including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
62.0 Feet	Flooding of many low lying areas near the river is likely. Numerous closures along the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
55.0 Feet	Flooding of low lying areas near Shively is likely, along with possible closure of portions of the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
52.0 Feet	Minor flooding in the Shively area is possible.
50.0 Feet	Flooding of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell is likely. Occupants of the park will need to move their vehicles to higher ground.
48.0 Feet	Flooding of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell is expected. Occupants of the park may need to move their vehicles to higher ground.
46.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in the northern portion of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell. Occupants of the park need to be ready to move their vehicles to higher ground.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ103)

Today: Sunny. Highs 62 to 76. Northwest wind around 10 mph.

Tonight: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows 41 to 51. Northwest wind around 10 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Patchy fog in the morning. Highs 58 to 68. Northwest wind around 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows 42 to 52. North wind around 10 mph.

Thursday: Partly cloudy. Highs 57 to 67. Northwest wind around 10 mph.

Thursday Night and Friday: Partly cloudy. Lows 39 to 49. Highs 57 to 72.

Friday Night through Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows 40 to 50. Highs 58 to 72.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of rain. Highs 54 to 64.

Sunday Night and Monday: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain. Lows 41 to 51. Highs 49 to 64.

Flood Impacts
74.0 Feet	Extensive and severe flooding throughout the river valley with major damage to roads, bridges and structures. There will be numerous road closures including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254) and US Highway 101.
72.0 Feet	Extensive and severe flooding of all areas adjacent to the river is expected with possible damage to roads, bridges and other structures. Expect many road closures including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254) and possibly US Highway 101.
67.0 Feet	Expect significant flooding in all areas near the river with numerous road closures, including the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
62.0 Feet	Flooding of many low lying areas near the river is likely. Numerous closures along the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
55.0 Feet	Flooding of low lying areas near Shively is likely, along with possible closure of portions of the Avenue of the Giants (Highway 254).
52.0 Feet	Minor flooding in the Shively area is possible.
50.0 Feet	Flooding of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell is likely. Occupants of the park will need to move their vehicles to higher ground.
48.0 Feet	Flooding of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell is expected. Occupants of the park may need to move their vehicles to higher ground.
46.0 Feet	Minor flooding is possible in the northern portion of the River's Edge RV Park in Rio Dell. Occupants of the park need to be ready to move their vehicles to higher ground.