CNRFC Ensemble Plot for SCPC1

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SANTA CLARA RIVER - PIRU (SCPC1)

Latitude:
34.40º N

Longitude:
118.74º W

Elevation:
710 Feet

Location: Ventura County in CA

River Group: Southern California

Issuance Time:

Jun 28 2026 at 7:41 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
12.8 Ft

Minor
Flood:
13.1 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
14.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
14.2 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | SCPC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
14.0 Feet	Combined with flow from piru creek may cuase flooding south of fillmore upstream of the highway 23 bridge.
13.6 Feet	Damage possible to Torrey Road bridge.
13.4 Feet	Torrey Road bridge approaches my become damaged.
12.8 Feet	Torrey Road bridge approaches become flooded.
12.6 Feet	Potential for bank erosion along the channel including an area that was an historic landfill.

Flood Impacts
14.0 Feet	Combined with flow from piru creek may cuase flooding south of fillmore upstream of the highway 23 bridge.
13.6 Feet	Damage possible to Torrey Road bridge.
13.4 Feet	Torrey Road bridge approaches my become damaged.
12.8 Feet	Torrey Road bridge approaches become flooded.
12.6 Feet	Potential for bank erosion along the channel including an area that was an historic landfill.