CNRFC Ensemble Plot for SCRN2

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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STEAMBOAT CREEK - STEAMBOAT (SCRN2)

Latitude:
39.38º N

Longitude:
119.74º W

Elevation:
4600 Feet

Location: Washoe County in NV

River Group: Eastern Sierra

Issuance Time:

Feb 16 2026 at 9:44 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
3.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
4.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
4.8 Ft

Major
Flood:
6.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | SCRN2

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
6.8 Feet	Near Record flood with serious damage from Pleasant Valley to Vista, including the communities of Steamboat, Damonte Ranch, Mira Loma, Hidden Valley and the UNR agricultural farm. Livestock at the farm will need to be evacuated to higher ground. Impacts in Hidden Valley and UNR farm dependent on Truckee River level and backwater contribution. Similar level to 12/31/2005 and 2/17/1986 floods.
6.0 Feet	Major flooding with significant damage from Pleasant Valley to Vista, including communities of Steamboat, Damonte Ranch, Mira Loma, Hidden Valley and the UNR agricultural farm. Livestock at the farm may need to be evacuated to higher ground. Impacts in Hidden Valley and UNR farm dependent on Truckee River level and backwater contribution. Similar to January 1997 level.
4.8 Feet	Moderate flooding with some flood damage from Pleasant Valley to Vista, including the communities of Steamboat, Damonte Ranch, Mira Loma, Hidden Valley and the UNR agricultural farm. Multiple road closures likely. Impacts in Hidden Valley and UNR farm area dependent on Truckee River level and backwater contribution. Slightly exceeding the February 10, 2017 crest.
4.0 Feet	Flood Stage: Minor lowland flooding approaching and potentially closing several roads including Towne Drive, Anderew Lane, and Rhodes Road. High flows in local ditches may also cause or exacerbate flooding.
3.0 Feet	Monitor Stage; no flooding in reach, but some lowland inundation. Remove property from low lying areas, prepare for flooding if additional rises are expected, Excessive flow in local ditches could lead to localized impacts.