CNRFC Ensemble Plot for THLC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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LAKE TAHOE - TAHOE CITY (THLC1)

Latitude:
39.18º N

Longitude:
120.12º W

Elevation:
6219 Feet

Location: Placer County in CA

River Group: Eastern Sierra

Issuance Time:

Jan 09 2026 at 2:09 PM PST

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in feet): Forecast Group | THLC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ072)

Tonight: Clear. Lows 4 to 14. Light winds.

Saturday: Partly cloudy. Highs 35 to 40. Light winds.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows 11 to 21. Light winds.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Highs 40 to 50. Light winds.

Sunday Night: Clear. Lows 13 to 23. Light winds.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 43 to 48.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 19 to 29.

Tuesday through Friday: Clear. Highs 44 to 54. Lows 21 to 31.

Flood Impacts
6,229.1 Feet	Flood Stage. Flooding begins to occur around the shores of Lake Tahoe, especially on the side of the Lake to which the wind is blowing (i.e., if there is a S wind, the N shore would have worst flooding)