CNRFC Ensemble Plot for TWDC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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CUYAMA RIVER - TWITCHELL RESERVOIR (TWDC1)

Latitude:
34.98º N

Longitude:
120.32º W

Elevation:
740 Feet

Location: Santa Barbara County in CA

River Group: Southern California

Issuance Time:

Jan 10 2026 at 8:43 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | TWDC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ341)

Tonight: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 30s to mid 40s.

Sunday: Partly cloudy in the morning then sunny. Highs around 70.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 30s to mid 40s.

Monday: Sunny. Highs around 70.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds around 15 mph after midnight.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows in the mid to upper 40s.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs in the lower to mid 70s.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows around 50.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 50.

Friday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 70s.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows around 50.

Saturday: Partly cloudy in the morning then sunny. Highs in the lower 70s.