CNRFC Ensemble Plot for YWPC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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FEATHER RIVER - YUBA CITY WATER TREATMENT PLANT (YWPC1)

Latitude:
39.16º N

Longitude:
121.61º W

Elevation:
97 Feet

Location: Sutter County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jul 07 2025 at 7:14 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
66.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
80.5 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
81.7 Ft

Major
Flood:
84.7 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | YWPC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
85.5 Feet	Major Flooding - top of the levee along left bank of Feather River in Marysville.
85.4 Feet	Major Flooding - top of the levee along right bank of Feather River in Yuba City.
84.7 Feet	Major Flooding - top of the levee adjacent to Jack Slough and Feather River; east side of Feather River.
81.7 Feet	Moderate Flood Stage.
80.5 Feet	Minor Flood Stage - flood warning issuance level.
66.0 Feet	Monitor/Action Stage - toe of levee.
60.0 Feet	Low-lying orchards adjacent to the right bank in Yuba City experience some inundation.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ016)

Today: Sunny. Highs around 95. Southeast winds up to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 57 to 63. South winds up to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs around 90. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 57 to 63. South winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs around 93. Light winds.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 62 to 70.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs around 101.

Thursday Night through Sunday: Clear. Lows 63 to 73. Highs around 101.

Flood Impacts
85.5 Feet	Major Flooding - top of the levee along left bank of Feather River in Marysville.
85.4 Feet	Major Flooding - top of the levee along right bank of Feather River in Yuba City.
84.7 Feet	Major Flooding - top of the levee adjacent to Jack Slough and Feather River; east side of Feather River.
81.7 Feet	Moderate Flood Stage.
80.5 Feet	Minor Flood Stage - flood warning issuance level.
66.0 Feet	Monitor/Action Stage - toe of levee.
60.0 Feet	Low-lying orchards adjacent to the right bank in Yuba City experience some inundation.