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MERCED RIVER - YOSEMITE AT POHONO BRIDGE (POHC1)

Latitude: 37.72º N	Longitude: 119.67º W	Elevation: 3862 Feet
Location: Mariposa County in California		Bulletin Group: San Joaquin		River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jun 13, 2014 at 9:00 AM Pacific Time

Monitor Stage: N/A

Flood Stage: 10.0 Feet

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble File Download (Data in feet): POHC1

Please note: This is a verification/historic plot and does not reflect the latest forecast. Click here for the current product.

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Show:

		Observed
		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
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Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Impacts - E19 Information
7.0 Feet	River is closed to rafters and floatation.
9.5 Feet	Lower Pines and Housekeeping Camp begin flooding.
10.0 Feet	Merced River at Pohono Bridge begins to flood.
11.4 Feet	Water begins to overtop road curbs on Northside Drive. Swinging Bridge overtops.
12.0 Feet	Water on road at Northside Drive, Southside Drive, Sentinel Crossover, and Highway 140 near Cookie Cliff.
12.5 Feet	Northside Drive at Wosky Pond, El Capitan Crossover, and Sentinel Crossover are impassible to vehicles.
23.45 Feet	Flood of record - 01/02/1997. $178 Million damage to Yosemite Valley.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ324)

Today: Breezy. Partly sunny with slight chance of rain in the morning, then rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Locally heavy rainfall possible early in the afternoon. Highs 49 to 59. Southwest winds 10 to 25 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent.

Tonight: Much colder. Mostly cloudy. Snow, rain showers and slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then chance of snow showers and slight chance of thunderstorms after midnight. Snow may be heavy at times in the evening. Snow accumulation up to 7 inches. Total snow accumulation up to 8 inches. Lows 23 to 29. Southwest winds up to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 39 to 49. South winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 27 to 33. Northwest winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northeast after midnight.

Monday: Not as cool. Sunny. Highs 50 to 60. East winds up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.

Monday Night through Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 32 to 42. Highs 54 to 64.

Wednesday and Wednesday Night: Clear. Highs 58 to 68. Lows 38 to 44.

Thursday through Friday: Mostly clear. Highs 61 to 74. Lows 43 to 49.

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