CNRFC Ensemble Plot for ALRC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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ALAMITOS CREEK - ALMADEN RESERVOIR (ALRC1)

Latitude:
37.17º N

Longitude:
121.83º W

Elevation:
610 Feet

Location: Santa Clara County in CA

River Group: Central Coast

Issuance Time:

Jan 11 2026 at 8:20 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | ALRC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ512)

rest of Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Monday: Sunny. Highs in the upper 50s to mid 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows in the mid 40s to lower 50s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs in the 60s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows in the mid 40s. Northeast winds 5 to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs in the 60s.

Wednesday Night and Thursday: Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.

Friday: Sunny. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s.

Friday Night and Saturday: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s to lower 70s.

Saturday Night and Sunday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the 60s.