CNRFC Ensemble Plot for CMIC1

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COYOTE CREEK - MILPITAS AT HIGHWAY 237 (CMIC1)

Latitude:
37.42º N

Longitude:
121.93º W

Elevation:
10 Feet

Location: Santa Clara County in CA

River Group: Central Coast

Issuance Time:

Feb 12 2026 at 9:14 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
11.5 Ft

Minor
Flood:
13.5 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
15.5 Ft

Major
Flood:
17.5 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | CMIC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
18.0 Feet	Moderate Flooding: Watson Park inundated. Banks are overtopped at Charcot Ave with flooding along Paragon Drive. Higher flows may result in overland flows northwest of Watson Park and northeast of Charcot Ave toward Montague Expressway.
15.5 Feet	Minor Flooding: Watson Park begins to flood.
14.5 Feet	Action Stage.