CNRFC Ensemble Plot for CLUC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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SACRAMENTO RIVER - COLUSA BRIDGE (CLUC1)

Latitude:
39.21º N

Longitude:
122.00º W

Elevation:
70 Feet

Location: Colusa County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jun 30 2025 at 9:06 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
63.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
70.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
72.0 Ft

Major
Flood:
73.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | CLUC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
73.0 Feet	Stages above 73.0 feet result in major flooding of the area outside the levees. Top of levee.
67.2 Feet	Water moves into parking lot and patio of RV Park located 0.7 miles downstream of gauge on left bank of river.
65.0 Feet	Water impacts the parking lot of RV Park 4 miles downstream of gauge on left bank of river. RV Park is located inside the levee.
63.0 Feet	Monitor Stage. The Colusa-Sacramento River State Recreation Area begins to experience high water impacts.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ016)

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 71. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs around 98. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 62 to 70. South winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs around 98. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 63 to 69. South winds around 10 mph shifting to the southeast up to 10 mph after midnight.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs around 93.

Thursday Night: Clear. Lows 57 to 63.

Independence Day through Monday: Clear. Highs 88 to 93. Lows 56 to 65.

Flood Impacts
73.0 Feet	Stages above 73.0 feet result in major flooding of the area outside the levees. Top of levee.
67.2 Feet	Water moves into parking lot and patio of RV Park located 0.7 miles downstream of gauge on left bank of river.
65.0 Feet	Water impacts the parking lot of RV Park 4 miles downstream of gauge on left bank of river. RV Park is located inside the levee.
63.0 Feet	Monitor Stage. The Colusa-Sacramento River State Recreation Area begins to experience high water impacts.