CNRFC Ensemble Plot for BKCC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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BUTTE CREEK - CHICO (BKCC1)

Latitude:
39.73º N

Longitude:
121.71º W

Elevation:
341 Feet

Location: Butte County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jun 30 2025 at 9:06 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | BKCC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ016)

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 71. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs around 98. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 62 to 70. South winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs around 98. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 63 to 69. South winds around 10 mph shifting to the southeast up to 10 mph after midnight.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs around 93.

Thursday Night: Clear. Lows 57 to 63.

Independence Day through Monday: Clear. Highs 88 to 93. Lows 56 to 65.