CNRFC Ensemble Plot for DCMC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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DRY CREEK - MODESTO (DCMC1)

Latitude:
37.66º N

Longitude:
120.92º W

Elevation:
88 Feet

Location: Stanislaus County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jun 16 2025 at 6:23 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | DCMC1

Cursor readout:River Level (Feet) Flow (CFS)

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ019)

Today: Sunny. Highs 83 to 91. Northwest winds up to 15 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 50 to 58. Northwest winds up to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 87 to 94. Northwest winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 55 to 63. Northwest winds up to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 92 to 100. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 55 to 63.

juneteenth: Sunny. Highs 86 to 94.

Thursday Night through Friday Night: Clear. Lows 50 to 57. Highs 83 to 93.

Saturday and Saturday Night: Clear. Highs 76 to 84. Lows 50 to 60.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 82 to 90.