CNRFC Ensemble Plot for EPRC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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LITTLE STONY CREEK - EAST PARK RESERVOIR (EPRC1)

Latitude:
39.36º N

Longitude:
122.52º W

Elevation:
1200 Feet

Location: Colusa County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

May 09 2025 at 8:27 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | EPRC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ063)

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 49 to 63 higher elevations and 58 to 64 lower elevations. Prevailing west winds up to 10 mph.

Saturday: Mostly sunny. Highs 66 to 81 higher elevations and 83 to 89 lower elevations. Prevailing west winds up to 10 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.

Saturday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Colder. Lows 40 to 55 higher elevations and 52 to 58 lower elevations. Prevailing west winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Highs 51 to 66 higher elevations and 70 to 78 lower elevations. Prevailing southwest winds up to 15 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph in the afternoon.

Sunday Night: Partly cloudy with a chance of rain showers. Colder. Lows 35 to 50.

Monday: Rain and snow showers. Highs 43 to 58.

Monday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain showers. Lows 34 to 49.

Tuesday and Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Highs 51 to 66. Lows 36 to 51.

Wednesday and Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Highs 58 to 73. Lows 40 to 55.

Thursday: Mostly sunny. Warmer. Highs 64 to 79.