CNRFC Ensemble Plot for SGEC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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STONY CREEK - STONY GORGE RESERVOIR (SGEC1)

Latitude:
39.58º N

Longitude:
122.53º W

Elevation:
800 Feet

Location: Glenn County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jan 06 2026 at 2:05 PM PST

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | SGEC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ016)

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog through the night. Lows 42 to 47. Light winds.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog through the day. Highs around 53. Light winds becoming south up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain in the evening, then partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain after midnight. Patchy fog through the night. Lows around 37. South winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light.

Thursday: Areas of frost and patchy fog in the morning. Mostly sunny. Highs around 48. Northwest winds up to 15 mph.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 32 to 38. North winds 10 to 15 mph.

Friday: Mostly sunny. Areas of frost. Highs around 50.

Friday Night: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog and frost. Lows around 35.

Saturday: Mostly cloudy. Areas of frost and patchy fog. Highs around 50.

Saturday Night and Sunday: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows around 38. Highs 50 to 56.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows around 39.

Monday: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Highs 52 to 58.

Monday Night and Tuesday: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows 38 to 44. Highs 54 to 62.