CNRFC Ensemble Plot for HCHC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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BEAR CREEK - HOLSTEN CHIMNEY CANYON (HCHC1)

Latitude:
38.96º N

Longitude:
122.34º W

Elevation:
920 Feet

Location: Colusa County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jan 08 2026 at 2:33 PM PST

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | HCHC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ063)

Today: Mostly sunny. Not as cool. Highs 42 to 57. Prevailing north winds up to 10 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 33 to 41. Light winds.

Saturday: Partly cloudy in the morning then becoming mostly cloudy. Highs 43 to 56. Light winds.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Lows 35 to 45. Prevailing northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Sunday: Mostly cloudy in the morning then becoming partly cloudy. Not as cool. Highs 49 to 62. Prevailing northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 36 to 46.

Monday: Mostly sunny. Warmer. Highs 52 to 67.

Monday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 42 to 52.

Tuesday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 57 to 71.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 44 to 54.

Wednesday through Thursday: Clear. Highs 58 to 73. Lows 44 to 54.