CNRFC Ensemble Plot for RMSC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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CACHE CREEK - RUMSEY (RMSC1)

Latitude:
38.89º N

Longitude:
122.24º W

Elevation:
400 Feet

Location: Yolo County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jun 30 2025 at 9:06 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
12.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
14.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
16.9 Ft

Major
Flood:
17.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | RMSC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
17.0 Feet	Highway 16 is closed. The town of Rumsey is cut off due to high water.
17.0 Feet	Highway 16 is closed. The town of Rumsey is cut off due to high water.
14.0 Feet	Cache Creek leaves its banks flooding low lying orchards and farm land around the creek.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ017)

Today: Sunny. Highs 91 to 101. South winds up to 10 mph. Gusts up to 25 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 56 to 66. South winds up to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 90 to 100. South winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 56 to 66. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Thursday: Mostly sunny. Highs 88 to 96. South winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 20 mph.

Thursday Night: Clear. Lows 54 to 62.

Independence Day: Sunny. Highs 83 to 91.

Friday Night through Monday: Clear. Lows 52 to 61. Highs 84 to 94.

Flood Impacts
17.0 Feet	Highway 16 is closed. The town of Rumsey is cut off due to high water.
17.0 Feet	Highway 16 is closed. The town of Rumsey is cut off due to high water.
14.0 Feet	Cache Creek leaves its banks flooding low lying orchards and farm land around the creek.