CNRFC Ensemble Plot for RMSC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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CACHE CREEK - RUMSEY (RMSC1)

Latitude:
38.89º N

Longitude:
122.24º W

Elevation:
400 Feet

Location: Yolo County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jan 04 2026 at 8:17 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
12.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
14.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
16.9 Ft

Major
Flood:
17.0 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | RMSC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
17.0 Feet	Highway 16 is closed. The town of Rumsey is cut off due to high water.
17.0 Feet	Highway 16 is closed. The town of Rumsey is cut off due to high water.
14.0 Feet	Cache Creek leaves its banks flooding low lying orchards and farm land around the creek.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ017)

Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows around 47. South winds 10 to 15 mph.

Monday: Patchy fog in the morning. Rain likely. Highs 50 to 56. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy. Rain likely in the evening, then a slight chance of rain after midnight. Lows around 44. Southeast winds up to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Highs around 54. Light winds.

Tuesday Night: Mostly cloudy. A slight chance of rain after midnight. Lows around 44. Light winds.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a slight chance of rain. Highs around 52.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain. Lows around 40.

Thursday and Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Highs around 51. Lows around 39.

Friday: Partly cloudy. Highs around 50.

Friday Night through Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows around 38. Highs around 52.

Sunday: Partly cloudy. Highs around 52.

Flood Impacts
17.0 Feet	Highway 16 is closed. The town of Rumsey is cut off due to high water.
17.0 Feet	Highway 16 is closed. The town of Rumsey is cut off due to high water.
14.0 Feet	Cache Creek leaves its banks flooding low lying orchards and farm land around the creek.