CNRFC Ensemble Plot for HETC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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TUOLUMNE RIVER - HETCH HETCHY RESERVOIR (HETC1)

Latitude:
37.95º N

Longitude:
119.79º W

Elevation:
3870 Feet

Location: Tuolumne County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

May 05 2025 at 8:26 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | HETC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ323)

Today: Sunny. Highs 45 to 61. North winds up to 10 mph shifting to the northwest in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 25 to 41. Northeast winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 49 to 63. East winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 31 to 45. West winds up to 10 mph shifting to the east after midnight.

Thursday: Warmer, sunny. Highs 54 to 68. East winds up to 5 mph shifting to the southwest in the afternoon.

Thursday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows 35 to 49.

Friday through Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Highs 57 to 73. Lows 36 to 51.

Sunday: Sunny. Highs 50 to 64.

Sunday Night and Monday: Cooler. Partly cloudy. Lows 28 to 40. Highs 39 to 53.