CNRFC Ensemble Plot for PTTC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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DEL PUERTO CREEK - PATTERSON (PTTC1)

Latitude:
37.49º N

Longitude:
121.21º W

Elevation:
200 Feet

Location: Stanislaus County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

May 03 2025 at 9:51 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | PTTC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ019)

Today: Mostly cloudy. Highs 64 to 74. West winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 46 to 54. West winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Sunday: Mostly sunny. Warmer. Highs 71 to 80. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 40 mph.

Sunday Night: Clear. Lows 50 to 60. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph. Gusts up to 35 mph increasing to 45 mph after midnight.

Monday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 77 to 87. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 35 mph.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 51 to 59.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 78 to 87.

Tuesday Night through Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 51 to 58. Highs 78 to 87.

Thursday and Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Highs 80 to 89. Lows 52 to 61.

Friday: Sunny. Highs 83 to 92.