CNRFC Ensemble Plot for NHGC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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CALAVERAS RIVER - NEW HOGAN RESERVOIR (NHGC1)

Latitude:
38.16º N

Longitude:
120.81º W

Elevation:
554 Feet

Location: Calaveras County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jul 06 2025 at 8:13 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | NHGC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ067)

Today: Sunny. Highs 85 to 95. Light winds becoming southwest up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tonight: Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Prevailing west winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 82 to 92. Light winds becoming southwest up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 55 to 65. Prevailing west winds up to 10 mph in the evening becoming light.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 83 to 93. Light winds becoming west up to 10 mph in the afternoon.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 60 to 68.

Thursday: Sunny, warmer. Highs 90 to 100.

Thursday Night through Sunday: Clear. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 90 to 101.