CNRFC Ensemble Plot for NHGC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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CALAVERAS RIVER - NEW HOGAN RESERVOIR (NHGC1)

Latitude:
38.16º N

Longitude:
120.81º W

Elevation:
554 Feet

Location: Calaveras County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jan 10 2026 at 11:13 AM PST

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | NHGC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ067)

Tonight: Mostly cloudy. Lows 36 to 42. Light winds.

Sunday: Partly cloudy in the morning then clearing. Highs 53 to 61. Light winds.

Sunday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 36 to 44. Light winds.

Monday: Sunny. Highs 53 to 63. Light winds.

Monday Night: Clear. Lows 38 to 46. Light winds.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 56 to 68.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 40 to 48.

Wednesday through Saturday: Clear. Highs 57 to 71. Lows 40 to 50.