CNRFC Ensemble Plot for FRGC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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LITTLEJOHNS CREEK - FARMINGTON RESERVOIR (FRGC1)

Latitude:
37.92º N

Longitude:
120.94º W

Elevation:
180 Feet

Location: San Joaquin County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jan 07 2026 at 3:07 PM PST

Action/
Monitor:
N/A

Minor
Flood:
N/A

Moderate
Flood:
N/A

Major
Flood:
N/A

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | FRGC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ019)

Tonight: Partly cloudy. A slight chance of rain late in the night. Colder. Lows 36 to 43. West winds up to 10 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Thursday: Patchy dense fog in the morning. Mostly sunny. Highs 46 to 54. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Thursday Night: Mostly clear. Areas of frost after midnight. Lows around 34. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Friday: Areas of frost in the morning. Mostly sunny. Highs around 49. Light winds.

Friday Night: Mostly clear. Areas of frost and patchy fog after midnight. Lows around 35. Light winds.

Saturday: Partly cloudy. Areas of frost and patchy fog. Highs around 51.

Saturday Night: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Lows around 37.

Sunday and Sunday Night: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog. Highs around 51. Lows around 38.

Monday: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Highs around 53.

Monday Night: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows around 40.

Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Highs 53 to 58.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Patchy fog. Lows around 42.

Wednesday: Partly cloudy. Patchy fog. Highs 54 to 60.