CNRFC Ensemble Plot for PATC1

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4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
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SAN JOAQUIN RIVER - PATTERSON (PATC1)

Latitude:
37.49º N

Longitude:
121.08º W

Elevation:
97 Feet

Location: Stanislaus County in CA

River Group: San Joaquin

Issuance Time:

Jun 30 2025 at 1:07 PM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
48.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
54.7 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
57.3 Ft

Major
Flood:
58.3 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Threshold Exceedance Plot Product Information

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | PATC1

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)

		Prob. of Threshold Exceedance
		Model Traces

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
58.3 Feet	Stages above 58.3 feet result in flooding outside the levee. Top of levee.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ019)

Tonight: Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Northwest winds up to 15 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 91 to 99. Northwest winds up to 10 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 58 to 68. Northwest winds up to 15 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 92 to 99. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 59 to 67. West winds up to 15 mph.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs 87 to 95.

Thursday Night: Clear. Lows 54 to 60.

Independence Day through Monday: Clear. Highs 85 to 95. Lows 53 to 63.

Flood Impacts
58.3 Feet	Stages above 58.3 feet result in flooding outside the levee. Top of levee.