CNRFC Ensemble Plot for TISC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
Historical	Verification	Custom

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SACRAMENTO RIVER - TISDALE WEIR (TISC1)

Latitude:
39.03º N

Longitude:
121.82º W

Elevation:
45 Feet

Location: Sutter County in CA

River Group: Upper Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jun 30 2025 at 9:07 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
44.1 Ft

Minor
Flood:
51.6 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
54.6 Ft

Major
Flood:
55.6 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | TISC1

Cursor readout:

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
55.6 Feet	Stages above 55.6 feet results in flooding outside the levees. Top of levee.
44.1 Feet	Tisdale Weir crest elevation. Overflow begins into the Tisdale Bypass. This water eventually ends up in the Sutter Bypass.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ016)

Today: Sunny. Highs around 96. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Tonight: Mostly clear. Lows 63 to 71. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs around 98. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 62 to 70. South winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs around 98. Southeast winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 63 to 69.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs around 93.

Thursday Night through Sunday: Clear. Lows 56 to 64. Highs 88 to 93.

Flood Impacts
55.6 Feet	Stages above 55.6 feet results in flooding outside the levees. Top of levee.
44.1 Feet	Tisdale Weir crest elevation. Overflow begins into the Tisdale Bypass. This water eventually ends up in the Sutter Bypass.