CNRFC Ensemble Plot for YLOC1

Short-Rng Pks	10D Prob	10 Accum
4x5D Prob	Mnth Prob	Seas Trnd
WY Trend	WY Accum	Multi-Yr Accum
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CACHE CREEK - YOLO (YLOC1)

Latitude:
38.73º N

Longitude:
121.81º W

Elevation:
86 Feet

Location: Yolo County in CA

River Group: Lower Sacramento

Issuance Time:

Jun 02 2025 at 8:02 AM PDT

Action/
Monitor:
75.0 Ft

Minor
Flood:
81.0 Ft

Moderate
Flood:
81.5 Ft

Major
Flood:
84.1 Ft

Please Note:

Ensemble forecasts produced by CNRFC only consider meteorological uncertainty and do not account for hydrologic uncertainty.

Short-Range Peak Exceedance Plot Product Info. Plot Type:

CSV Ensemble Files (Data in kcfs): Forecast Group | YLOC1

Cursor readout:River Level (Feet) Flow (CFS)

Show:

		Official Forecast (Deterministic)
		Ensemble Mean
		Model Traces

	Hourly Probabilities
		0-5% chance
		5-25% chance
		25-40% chance
		40-60% chance

What information is considered in this forecast?

Verification / Historical Plots
<-- Previous Forecast	Forecast Date: Forecast Cycle:

Location Photographs
Upstream Photo	Gage House Photo	Downstream Photo

ESRI™ Locator Map

Flood Impacts
84.1 Feet	Stages above 84.1 feet results in flooding outside the levees. Top of levee.
81.0 Feet	Overflow is expected on the non-leveed south bank, upstream from the start of the south-side levee. Water begins moving southeast toward the city of Woodland. Target elevation is subject to change slightly, as additional data is acquired.
75.0 Feet	Yolo County and CA DWR begin patrolling levee sections of Cache Creek. Yolo County OES alert responding agencies to the potential impacts from the rising creek levels.

Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ017)

Tonight: Clear. Lows 52 to 59. South winds up to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Tuesday: Sunny. Highs 86 to 95. South winds up to 10 mph shifting to the west with gusts to around 25 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Clear. Lows 54 to 63. Southwest winds up to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs 88 to 95. Southwest winds up to 10 mph.

Wednesday Night: Clear. Lows 54 to 61. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs 84 to 93.

Thursday Night: Clear. Lows 54 to 60.

Friday through Saturday: Clear. Highs 88 to 98. Lows 54 to 63.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows 56 to 64.

Sunday through Monday: Clear. Highs 90 to 100. Lows 55 to 64.

Flood Impacts
84.1 Feet	Stages above 84.1 feet results in flooding outside the levees. Top of levee.
81.0 Feet	Overflow is expected on the non-leveed south bank, upstream from the start of the south-side levee. Water begins moving southeast toward the city of Woodland. Target elevation is subject to change slightly, as additional data is acquired.
75.0 Feet	Yolo County and CA DWR begin patrolling levee sections of Cache Creek. Yolo County OES alert responding agencies to the potential impacts from the rising creek levels.