Raw ESP April-July Streamflow Volumes
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NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
1024 AM PLT THU APR 25 2024
CHPS/ESP RAW MODEL GUIDANCE
See www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/water_resources_update.php for additional information
APRIL-JULY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF (SRC=E)
04/25 04/24 04/22 04/18 04/11
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
WMSO3 10%: 259 256 238 221 221
WILLIAMSON RIVER 90%: 222 219 212 183 179
CHILOQUIN PROB: 235 234 220 196 194
OBS: 66 62 55 41 23
(AVG: 275) %AVG: 86% 85% 80% 71% 71%
DELTA: 1% 6% 14% 15%
FTJC1 10%: 212 211 218 219 166
SCOTT RIVER 90%: 171 168 169 171 119
FORT JONES PROB: 182 180 180 181 128
OBS: 57 54 47 36 17
(AVG: 162) %AVG: 113% 111% 111% 112% 79%
DELTA: 1% 1% 1% 33%
CEGC1 10%: 823 825 821 861 783
TRINITY 90%: 680 678 675 681 599
TRINITY LK PROB: 711 710 708 720 641
OBS: 214 201 175 133 67
(AVG: 565) %AVG: 126% 126% 125% 128% 114%
DELTA: 0% 0% -2% 12%
SHDC1 10%: 1806 1798 1816 1971 2011
SACRAMENTO 90%: 1479 1481 1479 1517 1487
SHASTA PROB: 1553 1555 1554 1620 1630
OBS: 519 499 460 377 227
(AVG: 1693) %AVG: 92% 92% 92% 96% 96%
DELTA: -0% -0% -4% -5%
ORDC1 10%: 1906 1903 1911 2071 2122
FEATHER 90%: 1616 1604 1595 1581 1548
OROVILLE PROB: 1687 1681 1668 1676 1680
OBS: 692 663 589 462 263
(AVG: 1496) %AVG: 113% 112% 112% 112% 112%
DELTA: 0% 1% 1% 0%
04/25 04/24 04/22 04/18 04/11
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
HLEC1 10%: 978 983 983 1097 1090
YUBA 90%: 816 811 817 811 769
ENGLEBRIGHT PROB: 854 850 865 887 847
OBS: 276 260 225 164 84
(AVG: 926) %AVG: 92% 92% 93% 96% 91%
DELTA: 0% -1% -4% 1%
FOLC1 10%: 1357 1335 1333 1515 1553
AMERICAN 90%: 1139 1136 1120 1116 1156
FOLSOM PROB: 1220 1199 1191 1240 1244
OBS: 402 380 331 247 132
(AVG: 1166) %AVG: 105% 103% 102% 106% 107%
DELTA: 2% 2% -2% -2%
CMPC1 10%: 483 476 486 516 541
MOKELUMNE 90%: 405 406 402 404 422
PARDEE PROB: 433 428 426 451 452
OBS: 118 109 92 64 32
(AVG: 431) %AVG: 100% 99% 99% 104% 105%
DELTA: 1% 2% -4% -4%
NMSC1 10%: 795 772 781 813 870
STANISLAUS 90%: 657 647 649 651 671
NEW MELONES PROB: 701 693 691 714 738
OBS: 209 193 164 112 58
(AVG: 653) %AVG: 107% 106% 106% 109% 113%
DELTA: 1% 2% -2% -6%
NDPC1 10%: 1424 1378 1420 1499 1557
TUOLUMNE 90%: 1210 1202 1201 1203 1266
NEW DON PEDRO PROB: 1260 1248 1251 1307 1340
OBS: 291 268 224 157 86
(AVG: 1175) %AVG: 107% 106% 106% 111% 114%
DELTA: 1% 1% -4% -7%
04/25 04/24 04/22 04/18 04/11
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
POHC1 10%: 455 446 461 474 486
MERCED RIVER 90%: 403 400 399 400 408
POHONO BRIDGE PROB: 414 414 415 427 436
OBS: 77 70 55 33 14
(AVG: 372) %AVG: 111% 111% 111% 115% 117%
DELTA: 0% -0% -3% -6%
EXQC1 10%: 686 673 696 727 763
MERCED 90%: 603 603 602 602 612
EXCHEQUER PROB: 625 621 624 645 660
OBS: 153 144 120 82 47
(AVG: 593) %AVG: 106% 105% 105% 109% 111%
DELTA: 1% 0% -3% -6%
FRAC1 10%: 1391 1379 1400 1449 1504
SAN JOAQUIN 90%: 1219 1218 1221 1214 1210
MILLERTON PROB: 1286 1282 1289 1324 1345
OBS: 258 235 199 135 71
(AVG: 1201) %AVG: 107% 107% 107% 110% 112%
DELTA: 0% -0% -3% -5%
PFTC1 10%: 1209 1177 1187 1300 1316
KINGS 90%: 1073 1059 1066 1068 1056
PINE FLAT PROB: 1119 1102 1110 1139 1126
OBS: 192 173 141 95 47
(AVG: 1183) %AVG: 95% 93% 94% 96% 95%
DELTA: 1% 1% -2% -1%
TMDC1 10%: 288 280 281 314 327
KAWEAH 90%: 247 245 242 245 246
LK KAWEAH PROB: 260 257 256 263 265
OBS: 58 53 45 32 16
(AVG: 272) %AVG: 96% 94% 94% 97% 97%
DELTA: 1% 1% -1% -2%
04/25 04/24 04/22 04/18 04/11
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
SCSC1 10%: 67 66 66 74 79
TULE 90%: 61 60 60 59 56
LK SUCCESS PROB: 62 61 61 62 61
OBS: 26 25 22 17 9
(AVG: 58) %AVG: 108% 106% 105% 108% 106%
DELTA: 1% 3% -0% 2%
ISAC1 10%: 547 511 501 548 549
KERN 90%: 501 459 455 465 422
LK ISABELLA PROB: 523 484 475 500 474
OBS: 88 83 70 52 25
(AVG: 439) %AVG: 119% 110% 108% 114% 108%
DELTA: 9% 11% 5% 11%
BCAC1 10%: 84 83 84 89 90
LITTLE TRUCKEE 90%: 70 69 69 68 69
BOCA PROB: 74 74 74 76 75
OBS: 22 20 17 12 5
(AVG: 80) %AVG: 94% 93% 94% 95% 95%
DELTA: 0% -0% -2% -1%
FARC1 10%: 272 270 266 293 290
TRUCKEE RIVER 90%: 237 235 234 233 235
FARAD PROB: 250 247 246 254 254
OBS: 67 62 53 36 16
(AVG: 258) %AVG: 97% 96% 95% 98% 98%
DELTA: 1% 2% -1% -1%
WOOC1 10%: 54 54 55 59 59
WF CARSON RIVER 90%: 45 46 45 45 47
WOODFORDS PROB: 49 49 49 51 51
OBS: 11 11 9 5 2
(AVG: 53) %AVG: 93% 93% 92% 97% 97%
DELTA: -0% 0% -5% -4%
04/25 04/24 04/22 04/18 04/11
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
GRDN2 10%: 187 190 187 205 210
EF CARSON RIVER 90%: 153 153 152 153 157
GARDNERVILLE PROB: 165 163 161 169 171
OBS: 37 35 28 18 8
(AVG: 184) %AVG: 89% 89% 88% 92% 93%
DELTA: 1% 2% -3% -4%
STWN2 10%: 179 185 182 201 215
CARSON RIVER 90%: 142 143 141 143 153
CARSON CITY PROB: 153 154 151 160 170
OBS: 42 38 32 23 11
(AVG: 177) %AVG: 87% 87% 85% 90% 96%
DELTA: -0% 2% -4% -9%
FTCN2 10%: 165 169 167 187 206
CARSON RIVER 90%: 130 129 128 130 144
FORT CHURCHILL PROB: 141 139 137 147 161
OBS: 37 34 28 20 11
(AVG: 168) %AVG: 84% 83% 82% 88% 96%
DELTA: 1% 2% -4% -12%
WWBC1 10%: 158 154 154 164 169
W WALKER RIVER 90%: 122 123 122 122 125
BLO LITTLE WALKER PROB: 133 133 134 140 144
OBS: 18 16 13 8 3
(AVG: 158) %AVG: 84% 85% 85% 89% 91%
DELTA: -0% -1% -4% -7%
BPRC1 10%: 63 62 64 76 65
EAST WALKER 90%: 45 46 46 48 45
BRIDGEPORT PROB: 51 52 54 57 52
OBS: 7 7 6 4 2
(AVG: 60) %AVG: 84% 86% 89% 94% 87%
DELTA: -1% -5% -10% -2%
04/25 04/24 04/22 04/18 04/11
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
PALN2 10%: 362 363 372 391 411
HUMBOLDT RIVER 90%: 252 244 252 236 241
PALISADE PROB: 305 300 305 292 302
OBS: 67 63 57 45 23
(AVG: 213) %AVG: 144% 141% 143% 138% 142%
DELTA: 2% 0% 6% 2%
MHSN2 10%: 51 50 53 67 72
MARYS RIVER 90%: 39 38 38 44 44
ABV HOT SPRGS CK PROB: 42 42 42 49 51
OBS: 12 11 10 7 3
(AVG: 34) %AVG: 123% 122% 123% 143% 148%
DELTA: 0% -1% -20% -25%
HREN2 10%: 231 226 232 237 258
HUMBOLDT RIVER 90%: 157 154 153 150 162
ELKO PROB: 192 186 182 186 202
OBS: 35 33 30 24 15
(AVG: 125) %AVG: 154% 149% 146% 149% 162%
DELTA: 5% 8% 5% -8%
10%: (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
90%: (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
OBS: OBSERVED TO DATE (INCLUDED IN MAX/MIN/PROB)
%AVG: MOST PROBABLE (ESPRESSED AS PERCENT OF AVERAGE)
DELTA: CHANGE IN MOST PROBABLE (EXPRESSED AS PERCENT OF AVERAGE)
$$
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