Hydrometeorological Discussion National Weather Service / California Nevada RFC / Sacramento CA 830 AM PDT Mon Apr 13 2026 ...SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CA TODAY... ...LIGHT PRECIPITATION ON WEDNESDAY WITH PASSING FRONT... ...POTENTIAL FOR MORE PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEKEND WITH SYSTEM OUT OF GULF OF ALASKA... .METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (MON AM - SUN AM)... The upper trough has begun shifting down the CA coast and will spread scattered shower activity inland throughout the day today. The base of the upper-level trough, which was previously cutoff, now sits off the coast of Point Conception and will swing through Southern California before cutting off again somewhere around the southern Sierra. Precipitation is forecast to be relatively light throughout today with the potential for locally heavy amounts where stronger cells initiate and track. 24-hour totals are currently highest over the mountains of the southern Sierra and Peninsular ranges of ~.5 inches. A brief dry period is expected on Tuesday as the upper low departs the region before another trough swings into the Pacific Northwest and the cold front digs far enough south to spread precipitation across the northern portions of the forecast area. Models have generally trended upwards over the previous several runs and are now placing ~1 inch over the Smith basin with a few tenths over the Shasta Drainage and up to a quarter of an inch down to the central Sierra. No precipitation is currently forecast for the lower elevations in the Sac Valley. Another Dry period is expected for most of Thursday and Friday before models begin hinting at another bout of rain Saturday into Sunday with a digging trough out of the Gulf of Alaska. Uncertainty is currently high as this trough cutoffs just offshore and precipitation will be highly dependent on how close the low gets to shore and its exact track. Freezing levels will start the period ranging from 5k feet across the north to ~8k feet across the far south before rising behind the departing low. Levels are forecast to lower under the next system to below 4k feet across the north (6k feet around I-80 corridor) while staying above 10k feet across much of the south. Please Note: This product may NOT be routinely updated. Please refer to the following product issued by the CNRFC www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/Daily-Briefing for a graphical summary of weather and hydrologic conditions. |