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Hydrometeorological Discussion
National Weather Service / California Nevada RFC / Sacramento CA
740 AM PDT Fri May 1 2026

...LOW PRESSURE IMPACTS THE REGION THIS WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT 
WEEK...

.METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (FRI AM - THU AM)...

A narrow wavelength upr ridge is situated from just off the southern 
CA coast north-northeast to the interior of the Pacific Northwest 
stretching up into west-central Canada. This feature is sandwiched 
between two areas of low pressure with the first over the Great 
Basin moving off toward the southeast and another upstream just west 
of Vancouver Island. This second area of low pressure will drop 
southward through the weekend...increasing the likelihood of precip 
each day into early next week with the peak being Sunday into Monday.

For today...the exiting low over the Great Basin may generate some 
build ups over the southern Sierra with the potential for some stray 
showers developing. Also...with afternoon heating and the 
approaching system down the west coast...there may be some scattered 
showers and even a thunderstorm per SPC across the northern CA 
coastal mountains mainly from the Eel River basin northward.

The area of low pressure will settle off the CA coast on Saturday 
into Sunday with increasing diffluent flow aloft in the northeast 
quadrant of this feature. This places the best opportunity for 
precip from the Trinity Mountains eastward across the Shasta Lake 
drainage and northeast CA Plateau along with the northern/central 
Sierra. The SPC Day 2 Convective Outlook does highlight these areas 
for the potential of general thunderstorm activity.

Monday into Tuesday sees the primary circulation reaching its 
farthest south location off the central CA coast before slowly 
swinging inland and exiting the region across the lower Colorado 
River basin. On Monday...best precip will be aligned along the 
length of the Sierra and then points east across the northern half 
of NV. These locations are also inside a broad area of general 
thunderstorms drawn on the SPC Day 3 Convective Outlook. 

After this system exits to the east...an upr ridge will slide across 
the area for dry and warmer conditions during the middle of next 
week. 

Freezing levels are currently from 9000-feet across northeast NV to 
12000-feet or so along coastal locations. Into Saturday...as the 
Great Basin low moves out...a broad area of 11000- to 13000-feet 
will spread across the entire area. Then as the area of low pressure 
moves across central and southern CA into southern NV...the core of 
the system will bring freezing levels down to 7000- to 8000-feet 
from later Sunday into later Tuesday.


Please Note: This product may NOT be routinely updated.
Please refer to the following product issued by the CNRFC
www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/Daily-Briefing for a graphical summary of
weather and hydrologic conditions.