Hydrometeorological Discussion National Weather Service / California Nevada RFC / Sacramento CA 710 AM PDT Thu Apr 30 2026 ...A FEW SIERRA AND EASTERN NV SHOWERS TODAY INTO FRI... ...LOW PRESSURE MOVING IN FOR THE WEEKEND INTO EARLY NEXT WEEK... .METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (THU AM - WED AM)... A narrow wavelength upr ridge stretches from the eastern Pacific just off the CA coast toward the north-northeast reaching over western Canada. Over the interior...cyclonic flow aloft is situated across the Great Basin and and Rocky Mountain states. Models do hint at light precip developing over the southern Sierra as well as eastern NV...but with little if any developing yesterday in a similar flow regime...not overly confident on anything forming in the way of measurable precip later this afternoon and early evening. The more interesting feature of note is a s/wv trof approaching 140W over the northeast Pacific this morning. Look for this feature to make its way just off Vancouver Island and the Pacific Northwest as the the upr ridge slides inland tomorrow. As this occurs...there may be some scattered precip developing over the northern CA coastal mountains...and the crest of the southern OR Cascades during the afternoon and early evening hours. In fact...SPC does draw an area of general thunderstorms in their Day 2 Convective Outlook for these locations. Then...into the weekend this disturbance will form a cutoff low and slide southward along or just inside of 130W before settling just west of the central CA coast. For Saturday...scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible in the northeast quadrant of this upr low...in an area of diffluent flow aloft. This looks to set up over the upr Klamath River basin...northeast CA Plateau...and the northern/central Sierra. The SPC Day 3 Convective Outlook does highlight these areas with the potential for general thunderstorms. The better day of the weekend for more widespread precip will be on Sunday as the upr low starts to drift closer to the coast and reaches 125W at the latitude of Monterey during the afternoon hours. Models area showing the best precip setting up from the Trinity Mountains east across the Shasta Lake drainage and then down much of Sierra with the focus being the northern and central portions. Light precip will be possible into the northern two-thirds of NV. On Monday...the upr low continues its slow track and finally starts to make its way inland across central CA. The best precip is still anticipated to fall over the northeast quadrant of this feature...which continues to focus on the Trinity Mountains east over the Shasta Lake drainage and northeast CA Plateau along with stretching down the northern/central Sierra as well as western NV. Finally by Tuesday...the system will weaken and begin to move off toward the east with scattered light precip remaining over the Sierra and portions of northern/eastern NV. Behind this system...look for an upr ridge to begin to move toward the west coast with warmer and drier conditions on tap for the rest of the next week. Freezing levels are currently ranging from 8500-feet over northeast NV to 11500-feet along coastal locations. As the high pressure ridge slides overhead on Friday...look for freezing levels to range from 10000-feet northwest to 13000-feet along the CA/MX border. Then...with the upr low moving toward the region...look for freezing levels to initially drop along coastal sections on Sunday down to about 9500-feet...but still elevated inland. By Monday into Tuesday with the upr low moving across the region...the core of the system will bring freezing levels down to about 7500-feet for central CA...but slightly higher elsewhere away from the primary circulation. Please Note: This product may NOT be routinely updated. Please refer to the following product issued by the CNRFC www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/Daily-Briefing for a graphical summary of weather and hydrologic conditions. |