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Hydrometeorological Discussion
National Weather Service / California Nevada RFC / Sacramento CA
830 AM PDT Mon Apr 13 2026

...SCATTERED SHOWER ACTIVITY OVER CENTRAL AND SOUTHERN CA TODAY...
...LIGHT PRECIPITATION ON WEDNESDAY WITH PASSING FRONT...
...POTENTIAL FOR MORE PRECIPITATION OVER THE WEEKEND WITH SYSTEM OUT 
OF GULF OF ALASKA...

.METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (MON AM - SUN AM)...

The upper trough has begun shifting down the CA coast and will 
spread scattered shower activity inland throughout the day today. 
The base of the upper-level trough, which was previously cutoff, now 
sits off the coast of Point Conception and will swing through 
Southern California before cutting off again somewhere around the 
southern Sierra. 

Precipitation is forecast to be relatively light throughout today 
with the potential for locally heavy amounts where stronger cells 
initiate and track. 24-hour totals are currently highest over the 
mountains of the southern Sierra and Peninsular ranges of ~.5 
inches. 

A brief dry period is expected on Tuesday as the upper low departs 
the region before another trough swings into the Pacific Northwest 
and the cold front digs far enough south to spread precipitation 
across the northern portions of the forecast area. Models have 
generally trended upwards over the previous several runs and are now 
placing ~1 inch over the Smith basin with a few tenths over the 
Shasta Drainage and up to a quarter of an inch down to the central 
Sierra. No precipitation is currently forecast for the lower 
elevations in the Sac Valley. 

Another Dry period is expected for most of Thursday and Friday 
before models begin hinting at another bout of rain Saturday into 
Sunday with a digging trough out of the Gulf of Alaska. Uncertainty 
is currently high as this trough cutoffs just offshore and 
precipitation will be highly dependent on how close the low gets to 
shore and its exact track. 

Freezing levels will start the period ranging from 5k feet across 
the north to ~8k feet across the far south before rising behind the 
departing low. Levels are forecast to lower under the next system to 
below 4k feet across the north (6k feet around I-80 corridor) while 
staying above 10k feet across much of the south. 

Please Note: This product may NOT be routinely updated.
Please refer to the following product issued by the CNRFC
www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/Daily-Briefing for a graphical summary of
weather and hydrologic conditions.