Hydrometeorological Discussion National Weather Service / California-Nevada RFC / Sacramento CA 620 AM PDT Tue Jun 16 2026 ...WARM WITH PM SHOWERS/T-STORMS OVER THE SIERRA TUE-THU... ...COOLING FRI-SAT WITH INCREASING PRECIP CHANCES MAINLY NORTH... .METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (TUE AM - MON AM)... High pressure continues to dominate conditions across the eastern Pacific and west coast with the storm track focused well north of the area into British Columbia. This will continue to bring above normal temperatures for the next few days with anomalies of plus 5- to plus 20-degF during the afternoon hours. Also...with just enough moisture and instability from daytime heating...the potential exists for afternoon showers and t-storms to develop mainly over the crest of the Sierra with the best opportunity south of Lake Tahoe. Might also see some popup showers over the coastal mountains east of San Diego and portions of east-central NV. Finally...by the end of the week...the pattern will break with the upr ridge being pushed downstream of the area toward the Rocky Mountains and eventually the Great Plains. General troffing will setup along the west coast with cooler temperatures and an increasing chance of showers and t-storms on Friday into Saturday over the upper Klamath River basin down into northeast CA stretching down the northern/central Sierra and farther inland across much of northern NV. Amounts should average near or less than 0.25-inch with the potential for locally heavier totals under stronger cells. After this disturbance moves off to the east...look for slight anticyclonic flow to return to the west coast with temperatures rebounding above normal. Freezing levels through Thursday will generally range from 15000- to 17000-feet with some lowering this weekend (especially north) from around 13000- to 17000-feet...before jumping by approx 1000-feet by early next week. Please Note: This product may NOT be routinely updated. Please refer to the following product issued by the CNRFC www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/Daily-Briefing for a graphical summary of weather and hydrologic conditions. |