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Hydrometeorological Discussion
National Weather Service / California Nevada RFC / Sacramento CA
655 AM PST Fri Jan 23 2026

...SCATTERED LIGHT PRECIP SOUTH AND EAST TODAY INTO SATURDAY...
...POTENTIAL FOR A SYSTEM MOVING ACROSS NORTHERN/CENTRAL AREAS 
MIDWEEK...

.METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (FRI AM - THU AM)...

The latest setup shows an upr low spinning west of northern 
Baja...in the vicinity of 30N/120W...while a secondary disturbance 
is diving southeast from the Pacific Northwest to the Great Basin 
through the upstream side of the broad upr trof encompassing much of 
the nation this morning. Over the eastern Pacific...a narrow 
wavelength upr ridge is currently situated between 130W and 140W 
extending northward into the Gulf of Alaska. 

Overall...look for the upr low and eventually the s/wv trof moving 
toward the region from the north to generate some scattered light 
precip mainly over coastal southern CA and eastern NV along with the 
potential of some showers across the far southern Sierra as well. 
Given the limited available moisture...amounts will be near or less 
than 0.10-inch.

By the latter half of the weekend...the upr low will have shifted to 
the east-northeast quickly followed by the s/wv trof swinging across 
the Great Basin. In their wake...look for the upr ridge to slide 
over the west coast...which will bring dry conditions to the region 
for Sunday and Monday. Then by Tuesday into Wednesday...models are 
struggling with a potential system moving toward the west coast. 
Yesterday...the GFS was bringing precip down along the northern CA 
coast for Tuesday into Wednesday...but now takes the majority of the 
forcing north of the region across the Pacific Northwest with only 
some rather light precip over far northwest CA. The EC and GEM are 
forming a cutoff low west of the SF Bay Area that splits off from 
the general upr trof...and then spreads mainly light precip across 
portions of northern/central CA. Low confidence toward the end of 
the forecast follows close to the latest WPC QPF and NBM...which 
keeps light precip mainly along coastal sections between the CA/OR 
border and Big Sur coast. Amounts at this time are near or less than 
0.10-inch. 


Please Note: This product may NOT be routinely updated.
Please refer to the following product issued by the CNRFC
www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/Daily-Briefing for a graphical summary of
weather and hydrologic conditions.