...RETURN TO DRY PATTERN AS ANOMALOUS RIDGE BUILDS ACROSS THE WEST...
...POTENTIAL FOR PRECIPITATION RETURN LATER IN THE WEEK AS MULTIPLE
SYSTEMS APPROACH THE COAST...

.METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (SAT AM - FRI AM)...

A return to a dry pattern is anticipated over the weekend with
remnant light shower activity over the next several hours. Any
shower activity is expected to be light and spotty. An anomalous
ridge will begin building across the West as the current system
continues exiting the region forming a surface high off the coast of
Oregon and NorCal bringing several days of dry weather across the
region.

This ridge aloft and surface high will begin to weaken around
Wednesday and multiple systems will begin approaching the forecast
area. As the ridge weakens, a system off the coast of the Baja
Peninsula begins to approach from the south as another frontal
system off the PNW coast begins to dig southward. Guidance currently
disagrees quite substantially on the phasing of these two systems
which creates considerable uncertainty in the resulting precipitation
over California beginning Wednesday. Precipitation over southern
California may begin as early as Wednesday as the northward
propagating low begins extending a plume of higher PWAT values
inland across the southern California Bight. This precipitation may
begin spreading northward as the low continues shifting to the north
and interacts with the frontal system moving inland off the PNW and
NorCal coast, increasing precipitation chances across California
through Friday.

Morning forecasts generally followed guidance from the NBM and WPC,
spreading over an inch of accumulation over the Transverse mountains
and Big Sur coast in the 3-day window ending 12Z Friday.
Accumulations further north are currently lighter with 0.5 to 1.0
inch forecast for the higher elevations of the Sierra and Cape
Mendocino. Generally <.25 inches over lower elevations throughout
the Central Valley. Expect accumulations to be adjusted as guidance
is updated and the event approaches.

Freezing levels are expected to rise substantially over the coming
days under the anomalous ridge to >12k feet before lower under the
uncertain pattern change beginning Wednesday.

Please Note: This product may NOT be routinely updated.
Please refer to the following product issued by the CNRFC
www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/Daily-Briefing for a graphical summary of
weather and hydrologic conditions.