Hydrometeorological Discussion National Weather Service / California-Nevada RFC / Sacramento CA 1245 PM PST Fri Nov 13 2026 ...SERIES OF SYSTEMS IMPACTING THE REGION INTO THE MIDDLE OF NEXT WEEK... .METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (FRI PM - THU AM)... The s/wv trof axis is approaching the north coast this afternoon...while the sfc cold front plows inland at a good clip. Radar imagery shows the heaviest precip aligned ahead of the frontal boundary from the northern Sierra back across the southern Sacramento and northern San Joaquin Valleys before reaching the coast near the Monterey Bay area. Precip gauges since 13/18Z indicate some two hour totals close to or even exceeding 1.00-inch over the Marin Headlands...southern Napa County and the Santa Cruz Mountains. Minor adjustments upwards were made over the entire SF Bay Area to account for current radar trends and gauge reports with increases from 0.10- to 0.25-inch. Elsewhere...the current period shows a decrease along the north coast around 0.10- to 0.25-inch with the cold front making quicker progress inland. This system will shift inland this evening and overnight with the best precip moving over north-central NV and the central/southern Sierra back toward the Point Conception area before tapering off across eastern NV and southern CA tonight. Tomorrow is mainly a break day with a transitory upr ridge sliding across the area before the next system approaches the coast on Sunday and lingering through Monday. This s/wv trof will dig offshore and then shift inland bringing the best precip to the northern half of the region...diminishing across southern CA. Still plenty of questions for the Tuesday into Wednesday system as models are struggling with both the timing and trajectory of the s/wv trof approaching the coast. Few changes were made this far out in the forecast period...as to not jump around too much. Please Note: This product may NOT be routinely updated. Please refer to the following product issued by the CNRFC www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/Daily-Briefing for a graphical summary of weather and hydrologic conditions. |