Hydrometeorological Discussion National Weather Service / California-Nevada RFC / Sacramento CA 620 AM PDT Wed Jul 8 2026 ...A FEW SCATTERED SHOWERS OVER NORTHEAST NV TODAY AND THURSDAY... ...MOISTURE ASSOCIATED WITH THE MONSOON ARRIVES EARLY NEXT WEEK... .METEOROLOGICAL CONDITIONS (WED AM - TUE AM)... Weak troffing continues to reside just off the west coast...while an upr ridge is centered over the Desert Southwest stretching back across southern CA and northern Baja. This continues southwest to westerly flow across much of the region today. Best chance of any precip over the next couple days will be northeast NV where the 08/00Z KLKN RAOB shows 0.67-inch PW...but much of this residing in the mid-levels with a rather dry profile in the lower part of the atmosphere. So...any precip that does develop will be rather scattered and mainly light. The overall pattern is then expected to transition with the upr ridge strengthening as it moves farther downstream across the Rocky Mountain states stretching over the northern Plains states. This will shift the overall flow to a more southeast to south direction across CA and NV...which will allow a surge of moisture with PW values greater than 1.00-inch to make its way mainly over the area. This will bring an increasing chance of scattered showers starting on Sunday...but really kicking into gear on Monday into Tuesday. For now...best placement of the showers and thunderstorms looks to be across the Sierra south of Lake Tahoe...coastal southern CA mountains...southeast CA deserts...and much of NV (except the far northwest corner of the state). Freezing levels currently range from 14500- to 17500-feet with a north to south gradient over the region. These will peak later Friday with an increase up to about 18000-feet near Las Vegas...before settling back down with a more west to east gradient of 15000-feet (west) to 17000-feet (east). Please Note: This product may NOT be routinely updated. Please refer to the following product issued by the CNRFC www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/Daily-Briefing for a graphical summary of weather and hydrologic conditions. |