Raw ESP April-July Streamflow Volumes
ZCZC RNOHFSAJV
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
753 AM PLT MON JUN 1 2026
CHPS/ESP RAW MODEL GUIDANCE
See www.cnrfc.noaa.gov/water_resources_update.php for additional information
APRIL-JULY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF (SRC=E)
06/01 05/31 05/29 05/25 05/18
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
WMSO3 10%: 127 128 122 114 106
WILLIAMSON RIVER 90%: 125 125 118 108 102
CHILOQUIN PROB: 126 125 119 110 103
OBS: 85 84 81 76 69
(AVG: 276) %AVG: 46% 45% 43% 40% 37%
DELTA: 0% 3% 6% 8%
FTJC1 10%: 43 43 43 43 46
SCOTT RIVER 90%: 43 43 43 42 44
FORT JONES PROB: 43 43 43 43 44
OBS: 41 41 40 38 36
(AVG: 164) %AVG: 26% 26% 26% 26% 27%
DELTA: 0% 0% 0% -1%
CEGC1 10%: 227 228 228 224 222
TRINITY 90%: 223 222 223 217 210
TRINITY LK PROB: 223 223 224 218 211
OBS: 184 182 179 172 159
(AVG: 578) %AVG: 39% 39% 39% 38% 36%
DELTA: 0% -0% 1% 2%
SHDC1 10%: 1119 1119 1122 1104 1103
SACRAMENTO 90%: 1097 1097 1100 1079 1071
SHASTA PROB: 1099 1099 1104 1088 1080
OBS: 716 708 688 651 588
(AVG: 1698) %AVG: 65% 65% 65% 64% 64%
DELTA: -0% -0% 1% 1%
ORDC1 10%: 1041 1040 1039 1030 1049
FEATHER 90%: 1031 1029 1028 1013 1016
OROVILLE PROB: 1032 1031 1030 1019 1022
OBS: 788 780 768 739 700
(AVG: 1543) %AVG: 67% 67% 67% 66% 66%
DELTA: 0% 0% 1% 1%
06/01 05/31 05/29 05/25 05/18
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
HLEC1 10%: 516 516 516 521 519
YUBA 90%: 512 512 512 509 506
ENGLEBRIGHT PROB: 512 513 513 511 508
OBS: 444 442 438 427 407
(AVG: 942) %AVG: 54% 54% 54% 54% 54%
DELTA: -0% -0% 0% 0%
FOLC1 10%: 763 763 764 776 792
AMERICAN 90%: 755 754 754 748 741
FOLSOM PROB: 756 756 755 753 750
OBS: 687 684 676 659 626
(AVG: 1188) %AVG: 64% 64% 64% 63% 63%
DELTA: 0% 0% 0% 0%
CMPC1 10%: 235 235 234 239 249
MOKELUMNE 90%: 230 230 229 226 226
PARDEE PROB: 231 231 230 230 230
OBS: 202 200 197 191 179
(AVG: 443) %AVG: 52% 52% 52% 52% 52%
DELTA: 0% 0% 0% 0%
NMSC1 10%: 366 365 366 377 388
STANISLAUS 90%: 350 349 350 347 347
NEW MELONES PROB: 354 353 354 356 354
OBS: 295 292 288 276 255
(AVG: 674) %AVG: 52% 52% 53% 53% 53%
DELTA: 0% -0% -0% -0%
NDPC1 10%: 662 665 665 684 753
TUOLUMNE 90%: 629 635 640 637 675
NEW DON PEDRO PROB: 641 643 647 658 689
OBS: 486 483 474 449 418
(AVG: 1205) %AVG: 53% 53% 54% 55% 57%
DELTA: -0% -0% -1% -4%
06/01 05/31 05/29 05/25 05/18
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
POHC1 10%: 222 223 224 229 241
MERCED RIVER 90%: 209 209 212 208 214
POHONO BRIDGE PROB: 214 214 216 214 219
OBS: 155 153 150 143 128
(AVG: 384) %AVG: 56% 56% 56% 56% 57%
DELTA: -0% -1% -0% -1%
EXQC1 10%: 322 323 324 332 349
MERCED 90%: 308 308 312 306 314
EXCHEQUER PROB: 313 313 316 313 320
OBS: 241 238 234 224 204
(AVG: 613) %AVG: 51% 51% 52% 51% 52%
DELTA: -0% -1% -0% -1%
FRAC1 10%: 710 712 716 736 761
SAN JOAQUIN 90%: 673 674 684 674 682
MILLERTON PROB: 693 693 696 696 701
OBS: 461 457 448 420 374
(AVG: 1243) %AVG: 56% 56% 56% 56% 56%
DELTA: 0% -0% -0% -1%
PFTC1 10%: 686 684 686 691 708
KINGS 90%: 652 652 655 645 651
PINE FLAT PROB: 672 670 670 661 669
OBS: 443 436 424 400 354
(AVG: 1226) %AVG: 55% 55% 55% 54% 55%
DELTA: 0% 0% 1% 0%
TMDC1 10%: 113 112 114 114 117
KAWEAH 90%: 110 110 109 106 107
LK KAWEAH PROB: 111 110 110 108 109
OBS: 90 89 86 82 74
(AVG: 283) %AVG: 39% 39% 39% 38% 39%
DELTA: 0% 0% 1% 1%
06/01 05/31 05/29 05/25 05/18
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
SCSC1 10%: 21 21 21 21 21
TULE 90%: 21 21 21 20 20
LK SUCCESS PROB: 21 21 21 20 20
OBS: 18 18 18 17 16
(AVG: 62) %AVG: 34% 34% 33% 33% 33%
DELTA: 0% 1% 1% 1%
ISAC1 10%: 242 241 248 244 248
KERN 90%: 226 226 235 227 226
LK ISABELLA PROB: 233 233 242 232 237
OBS: 162 160 156 148 133
(AVG: 464) %AVG: 50% 50% 52% 50% 51%
DELTA: -0% -2% 0% -1%
BCAC1 10%: 39 39 39 40 40
LITTLE TRUCKEE 90%: 39 39 39 38 39
BOCA PROB: 39 39 39 39 39
OBS: 34 34 33 32 30
(AVG: 80) %AVG: 49% 48% 48% 48% 49%
DELTA: 0% 0% 0% -1%
FARC1 10%: 135 135 135 135 137
TRUCKEE RIVER 90%: 134 134 134 133 135
FARAD PROB: 134 134 134 134 135
OBS: 108 108 106 102 95
(AVG: 252) %AVG: 53% 53% 53% 53% 54%
DELTA: -0% 0% 0% -0%
WOOC1 10%: 30 30 30 30 29
WF CARSON RIVER 90%: 30 30 30 29 28
WOODFORDS PROB: 30 30 30 29 28
OBS: 23 22 22 21 19
(AVG: 54) %AVG: 55% 55% 55% 54% 52%
DELTA: 0% -0% 1% 3%
06/01 05/31 05/29 05/25 05/18
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
GRDN2 10%: 92 92 92 92 91
EF CARSON RIVER 90%: 92 92 91 88 84
GARDNERVILLE PROB: 92 92 91 88 84
OBS: 72 71 69 66 59
(AVG: 192) %AVG: 48% 48% 48% 46% 44%
DELTA: 0% 0% 2% 4%
STWN2 10%: 64 64 64 64 61
CARSON RIVER 90%: 64 64 63 61 57
CARSON CITY PROB: 64 64 64 61 57
OBS: 61 60 59 57 51
(AVG: 187) %AVG: 34% 34% 34% 33% 30%
DELTA: 0% 0% 2% 4%
FTCN2 10%: 58 57 57 57 53
CARSON RIVER 90%: 57 57 57 55 50
FORT CHURCHILL PROB: 58 57 57 55 50
OBS: 56 55 54 51 46
(AVG: 178) %AVG: 32% 32% 32% 31% 28%
DELTA: 0% 0% 2% 4%
WWBC1 10%: 88 88 89 94 104
W WALKER RIVER 90%: 83 83 83 83 89
BLO LITTLE WALKER PROB: 84 84 85 88 94
OBS: 64 63 61 56 47
(AVG: 162) %AVG: 52% 52% 53% 55% 58%
DELTA: 0% -0% -2% -6%
BPRC1 10%: 25 25 25 31 31
EAST WALKER 90%: 23 23 23 23 22
BRIDGEPORT PROB: 24 24 24 25 24
OBS: 17 16 15 14 11
(AVG: 64) %AVG: 37% 37% 37% 39% 37%
DELTA: -0% 0% -1% -0%
06/01 05/31 05/29 05/25 05/18
----- ----- ----- ----- -----
PALN2 10%: 20 20 20 23 22
HUMBOLDT RIVER 90%: 20 20 20 20 19
PALISADE PROB: 20 20 20 21 19
OBS: 18 18 18 17 16
(AVG: 219) %AVG: 9% 9% 9% 9% 9%
DELTA: 0% 0% -0% 0%
MHSN2 10%: 5 5 5 5 5
MARYS RIVER 90%: 4 4 4 4 4
ABV HOT SPRGS CK PROB: 4 4 4 5 4
OBS: 4 4 4 4 4
(AVG: 35) %AVG: 13% 13% 12% 13% 11%
DELTA: 0% 0% -0% 2%
HREN2 10%: 8 8 8 9 9
HUMBOLDT RIVER 90%: 8 8 8 8 8
ELKO PROB: 8 8 8 8 8
OBS: 8 8 8 8 7
(AVG: 128) %AVG: 6% 6% 6% 6% 6%
DELTA: -0% -0% -0% 0%
10%: (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
90%: (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
OBS: OBSERVED TO DATE (INCLUDED IN MAX/MIN/PROB)
%AVG: MOST PROBABLE (ESPRESSED AS PERCENT OF AVERAGE)
DELTA: CHANGE IN MOST PROBABLE (EXPRESSED AS PERCENT OF AVERAGE)
$$
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