National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
824 AM PLT WED JUN 19 2019

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         06/24        06/29        07/04        07/09  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    6.2          5.9          6.1          5.6
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    6.2          5.8          5.6          5.4
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    6.2          5.8          5.6          5.4

FTJC1              MAX:    4.5          3.8          3.3          2.6
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    4.5          3.6          3.0          2.5
FORT JONES         MIN:    4.5          3.6          3.0          2.5

CEGC1              MAX:   26.0         21.1         19.5         14.9
TRINITY           PROB:   24.4         18.0         15.9         12.3
TRINITY LK         MIN:   23.2         15.8         13.7         10.5

SHDC1              MAX:   56.5         55.3         55.0         50.6
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   56.0         51.2         49.0         46.8
SHASTA             MIN:   55.6         50.4         47.5         45.4

ORDC1              MAX:   52.6         41.2         35.2         32.4
FEATHER           PROB:   51.6         39.2         32.7         29.2
OROVILLE           MIN:   50.9         37.1         30.1         26.9

HLEC1              MAX:   48.2         47.8         69.1         69.3
YUBA              PROB:   48.2         47.7         69.1         69.2
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   48.2         47.7         69.1         69.2

FOLC1              MAX:   74.0         64.1         57.0         51.8
AMERICAN          PROB:   72.2         61.5         54.2         48.8
FOLSOM             MIN:   70.7         58.8         51.3         47.0

CMPC1              MAX:   42.0         25.8         18.9         16.2
MOKELUMNE         PROB:   39.1         23.3         16.2         13.1
PARDEE             MIN:   36.8         20.8         13.9         11.2

NMSC1              MAX:   44.8         30.6         23.6         18.1
STANISLAUS        PROB:   42.7         28.1         21.1         16.2
NEW MELONES        MIN:   41.1         25.5         18.3         14.4

NDPC1              MAX:  111.4         94.1         81.2         65.0
TUOLUMNE          PROB:  102.1         78.6         68.4         54.7
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   95.3         63.6         55.8         47.4

POHC1              MAX:   35.5         25.3         21.7         18.7
MERCED RIVER      PROB:   32.7         21.8         18.5         15.6
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:   30.7         17.9         14.6         12.9

EXQC1              MAX:   51.8         37.2         32.1         27.9
MERCED            PROB:   48.2         32.3         27.6         23.5
EXCHEQUER          MIN:   45.5         27.7         22.1         19.9

FRAC1              MAX:  143.7        121.0        107.3         91.8
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:  130.0        101.7         92.0         78.9
MILLERTON          MIN:  119.2         80.8         71.1         65.5

PFTC1              MAX:  152.4        122.7        106.4         91.9
KINGS             PROB:  137.2        103.6         92.4         77.3
PINE FLAT          MIN:  127.0         84.2         71.4         61.7

TMDC1              MAX:   30.3         22.2         18.7         16.4
KAWEAH            PROB:   28.1         19.4         16.2         13.3
LK KAWEAH          MIN:   26.4         16.7         13.2         11.1

SCSC1              MAX:    4.1          3.4          2.8          2.5
TULE              PROB:    4.0          3.2          2.6          2.2
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    3.9          2.9          2.4          2.0

ISAC1              MAX:   55.5         46.3         40.7         38.9
KERN              PROB:   52.2         41.5         36.8         30.9
LK ISABELLA        MIN:   50.4         37.5         31.5         27.2

BCAC1              MAX:    4.0          4.0          4.0          4.0
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    4.0          4.0          4.0          4.0
BOCA               MIN:    4.0          4.0          4.0          4.0

FARC1              MAX:   23.7         21.2         19.6         18.5
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:   23.4         20.9         19.4         18.4
FARAD              MIN:   23.1         20.7         19.3         18.3

WOOC1              MAX:    4.5          3.1          2.3          2.1
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    4.3          2.6          2.1          1.7
WOODFORDS          MIN:    4.1          2.4          1.7          1.4

GRDN2              MAX:   21.1         17.2         12.0         10.3
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:   19.0         14.4         10.6          8.6
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:   17.5         12.4          8.8          7.3

STWN2              MAX:   21.5         17.0         10.9          9.1
CARSON RIVER      PROB:   19.4         13.9          9.6          7.5
CARSON CITY        MIN:   17.9         11.9          7.6          6.0

WWBC1              MAX:   21.4         17.7         15.6         15.1
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:   19.5         14.8         13.1         12.5
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:   17.8         12.5          9.7          9.3

BPRC1              MAX:   10.8          9.3          8.5          8.0
EAST WALKER       PROB:    9.9          7.9          7.5          6.8
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    9.2          6.9          6.1          5.8

PALN2              MAX:   32.3         24.6         18.6         13.8
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:   32.2         23.7         16.7         12.6
PALISADE           MIN:   32.1         23.5         16.5         12.4

MHSN2              MAX:    2.3          1.6          1.3          1.3
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    2.3          1.5          1.0          0.7
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    2.3          1.5          1.0          0.7

HREN2              MAX:   17.5         11.8          8.6          4.6
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:   17.4         10.9          7.0          3.9
ELKO               MIN:   17.3         10.7          6.9          3.8

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.2/   5.8/   5.6/   5.4
.ER WMSO3 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.2/   5.8/   5.6/   5.4
.ER WMSO3 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.2/   5.9/   6.1/   5.6
.ER FTJC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   3.6/   3.0/   2.5
.ER FTJC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   3.6/   3.0/   2.5
.ER FTJC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   3.8/   3.3/   2.6
.ER CEGC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   23.2/  15.8/  13.7/  10.5
.ER CEGC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   24.4/  18.0/  15.9/  12.3
.ER CEGC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.0/  21.1/  19.5/  14.9
.ER SHDC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   55.6/  50.4/  47.5/  45.4
.ER SHDC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   56.0/  51.2/  49.0/  46.8
.ER SHDC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   56.5/  55.3/  55.0/  50.6
.ER ORDC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   50.9/  37.1/  30.1/  26.9
.ER ORDC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   51.6/  39.2/  32.7/  29.2
.ER ORDC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   52.6/  41.2/  35.2/  32.4
.ER HLEC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   48.2/  47.7/  69.1/  69.2
.ER HLEC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   48.2/  47.7/  69.1/  69.2
.ER HLEC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   48.2/  47.8/  69.1/  69.3
.ER FOLC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   70.7/  58.8/  51.3/  47.0
.ER FOLC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   72.2/  61.5/  54.2/  48.8
.ER FOLC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   74.0/  64.1/  57.0/  51.8
.ER CMPC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   36.8/  20.8/  13.9/  11.2
.ER CMPC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   39.1/  23.3/  16.2/  13.1
.ER CMPC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   42.0/  25.8/  18.9/  16.2
.ER NMSC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   41.1/  25.5/  18.3/  14.4
.ER NMSC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   42.7/  28.1/  21.1/  16.2
.ER NMSC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   44.8/  30.6/  23.6/  18.1
.ER NDPC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   95.3/  63.6/  55.8/  47.4
.ER NDPC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  102.1/  78.6/  68.4/  54.7
.ER NDPC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  111.4/  94.1/  81.2/  65.0
.ER POHC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   30.7/  17.9/  14.6/  12.9
.ER POHC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   32.7/  21.8/  18.5/  15.6
.ER POHC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   35.5/  25.3/  21.7/  18.7
.ER EXQC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   45.5/  27.7/  22.1/  19.9
.ER EXQC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   48.2/  32.3/  27.6/  23.5
.ER EXQC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   51.8/  37.2/  32.1/  27.9
.ER FRAC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  119.2/  80.8/  71.1/  65.5
.ER FRAC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  130.0/ 101.7/  92.0/  78.9
.ER FRAC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  143.7/ 121.0/ 107.3/  91.8
.ER PFTC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  127.0/  84.2/  71.4/  61.7
.ER PFTC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  137.2/ 103.6/  92.4/  77.3
.ER PFTC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  152.4/ 122.7/ 106.4/  91.9
.ER TMDC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   26.4/  16.7/  13.2/  11.1
.ER TMDC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   28.1/  19.4/  16.2/  13.3
.ER TMDC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   30.3/  22.2/  18.7/  16.4
.ER SCSC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.9/   2.9/   2.4/   2.0
.ER SCSC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   3.2/   2.6/   2.2
.ER SCSC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   3.4/   2.8/   2.5
.ER ISAC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   50.4/  37.5/  31.5/  27.2
.ER ISAC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   52.2/  41.5/  36.8/  30.9
.ER ISAC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   55.5/  46.3/  40.7/  38.9
.ER BCAC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   4.0/   4.0/   4.0
.ER BCAC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   4.0/   4.0/   4.0
.ER BCAC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   4.0/   4.0/   4.0
.ER FARC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   23.1/  20.7/  19.3/  18.3
.ER FARC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   23.4/  20.9/  19.4/  18.4
.ER FARC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.7/  21.2/  19.6/  18.5
.ER WOOC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   2.4/   1.7/   1.4
.ER WOOC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   2.6/   2.1/   1.7
.ER WOOC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   3.1/   2.3/   2.1
.ER GRDN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   17.5/  12.4/   8.8/   7.3
.ER GRDN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   19.0/  14.4/  10.6/   8.6
.ER GRDN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   21.1/  17.2/  12.0/  10.3
.ER STWN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   17.9/  11.9/   7.6/   6.0
.ER STWN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   19.4/  13.9/   9.6/   7.5
.ER STWN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   21.5/  17.0/  10.9/   9.1
.ER WWBC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   17.8/  12.5/   9.7/   9.3
.ER WWBC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   19.5/  14.8/  13.1/  12.5
.ER WWBC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   21.4/  17.7/  15.6/  15.1
.ER BPRC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.2/   6.9/   6.1/   5.8
.ER BPRC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.9/   7.9/   7.5/   6.8
.ER BPRC1 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   10.8/   9.3/   8.5/   8.0
.ER PALN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   32.1/  23.5/  16.5/  12.4
.ER PALN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   32.2/  23.7/  16.7/  12.6
.ER PALN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   32.3/  24.6/  18.6/  13.8
.ER MHSN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.3/   1.5/   1.0/   0.7
.ER MHSN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.3/   1.5/   1.0/   0.7
.ER MHSN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.3/   1.6/   1.3/   1.3
.ER HREN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   17.3/  10.7/   6.9/   3.8
.ER HREN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   17.4/  10.9/   7.0/   3.9
.ER HREN2 20190624 Z DH12/DC201906191200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   17.5/  11.8/   8.6/   4.6

$$