National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
957 AM PLT SAT APR 20 2019

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         04/25        04/30        05/05        05/10  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:   26.8         30.9         27.6         24.5
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:   24.5         26.6         23.8         20.0
CHILOQUIN          MIN:   24.1         24.8         21.8         17.7

FTJC1              MAX:   18.5         19.0         17.5         19.6
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:   17.5         16.5         14.1         13.8
FORT JONES         MIN:   16.4         14.0         11.4         11.2

CEGC1              MAX:   74.3         82.4         77.6         73.2
TRINITY           PROB:   68.7         67.7         57.3         51.6
TRINITY LK         MIN:   62.2         53.2         42.4         35.5

SHDC1              MAX:  191.6        168.6        148.7        152.6
SACRAMENTO        PROB:  164.0        148.5        129.0        114.9
SHASTA             MIN:  158.2        137.2        119.1        104.9

ORDC1              MAX:  216.0        236.2        202.6        176.7
FEATHER           PROB:  194.3        192.0        161.7        146.6
OROVILLE           MIN:  181.1        165.0        137.4        120.5

HLEC1              MAX:   63.5         56.6         56.9         57.1
YUBA              PROB:   62.4         55.4         54.6         53.5
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   62.0         54.9         53.8         53.0

FOLC1              MAX:  107.6        123.3        119.7        108.3
AMERICAN          PROB:  102.0        107.1         96.5         88.3
FOLSOM             MIN:   95.9         90.7         83.0         69.3

CMPC1              MAX:   43.5         54.6         55.5         53.2
MOKELUMNE         PROB:   39.5         44.9         41.2         38.8
PARDEE             MIN:   37.5         34.9         30.0         23.8

NMSC1              MAX:   81.5        105.1         95.1         80.3
STANISLAUS        PROB:   72.3         82.4         67.0         57.2
NEW MELONES        MIN:   65.6         60.6         50.0         39.3

NDPC1              MAX:  100.2        149.7        146.7        128.8
TUOLUMNE          PROB:   87.3        100.5         90.9         81.4
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   78.7         65.9         61.6         45.1

POHC1              MAX:   28.7         42.4         44.3         41.3
MERCED RIVER      PROB:   24.2         28.4         24.7         23.8
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:   21.1         18.4         16.5         12.1

EXQC1              MAX:   51.3         72.8         78.5         71.1
MERCED            PROB:   43.5         50.3         44.0         44.0
EXCHEQUER          MIN:   38.6         35.1         32.2         24.8

FRAC1              MAX:   80.0        114.6        124.9        129.4
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:   69.2         82.5         75.2         74.9
MILLERTON          MIN:   60.3         58.7         53.3         41.7

PFTC1              MAX:   84.3        131.0        157.0        135.4
KINGS             PROB:   70.5         88.0         90.3         82.3
PINE FLAT          MIN:   63.2         56.9         55.8         44.3

TMDC1              MAX:   28.2         40.5         39.9         32.3
KAWEAH            PROB:   24.2         29.9         26.3         21.0
LK KAWEAH          MIN:   21.8         21.8         17.3         13.6

SCSC1              MAX:    7.2          8.2          8.6          7.7
TULE              PROB:    6.3          6.9          6.2          5.4
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    5.8          5.4          4.8          4.0

ISAC1              MAX:   41.8         60.3         63.9         57.3
KERN              PROB:   38.2         48.2         46.6         43.8
LK ISABELLA        MIN:   36.1         39.1         35.5         32.1

BCAC1              MAX:   13.1         12.6         12.3         12.2
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:   13.0         12.5         12.1         12.0
BOCA               MIN:   12.9         12.4         12.1         11.9

FARC1              MAX:   43.3         47.7         48.3         48.9
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:   41.5         44.3         43.9         43.8
FARAD              MIN:   40.3         41.2         40.4         38.7

WOOC1              MAX:    5.7          8.2          7.5          7.2
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    4.9          6.4          5.4          5.1
WOODFORDS          MIN:    4.3          4.4          3.8          2.9

GRDN2              MAX:   16.8         24.2         22.9         23.4
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:   14.6         18.6         15.9         14.8
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:   13.0         13.0         10.7          9.4

STWN2              MAX:   17.9         28.0         25.1         25.9
CARSON RIVER      PROB:   15.8         21.0         17.1         15.8
CARSON CITY        MIN:   14.3         14.7         11.4          9.2

WWBC1              MAX:    9.0         14.2         15.2         16.3
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    7.0          9.7          9.8          8.7
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    5.4          6.0          5.3          4.3

BPRC1              MAX:    4.0          5.5          5.0          5.3
EAST WALKER       PROB:    3.2          4.1          2.9          2.5
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    2.7          2.7          1.9          1.3

PALN2              MAX:   23.2         28.1         29.4         30.2
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:   19.8         21.5         21.3         20.1
PALISADE           MIN:   19.2         18.3         17.1         15.0

MHSN2              MAX:    4.8          6.2          6.5          6.4
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    4.1          5.0          4.5          4.4
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    3.7          4.0          3.4          3.1

HREN2              MAX:   12.9         14.5         14.3         15.0
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:   10.2         11.1          9.8          9.4
ELKO               MIN:    9.3          8.9          7.8          6.9

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   24.1/  24.8/  21.8/  17.7
.ER WMSO3 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   24.5/  26.6/  23.8/  20.0
.ER WMSO3 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.8/  30.9/  27.6/  24.5
.ER FTJC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   16.4/  14.0/  11.4/  11.2
.ER FTJC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   17.5/  16.5/  14.1/  13.8
.ER FTJC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   18.5/  19.0/  17.5/  19.6
.ER CEGC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   62.2/  53.2/  42.4/  35.5
.ER CEGC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   68.7/  67.7/  57.3/  51.6
.ER CEGC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   74.3/  82.4/  77.6/  73.2
.ER SHDC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  158.2/ 137.2/ 119.1/ 104.9
.ER SHDC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  164.0/ 148.5/ 129.0/ 114.9
.ER SHDC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  191.6/ 168.6/ 148.7/ 152.6
.ER ORDC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  181.1/ 165.0/ 137.4/ 120.5
.ER ORDC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  194.3/ 192.0/ 161.7/ 146.6
.ER ORDC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  216.0/ 236.2/ 202.6/ 176.7
.ER HLEC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   62.0/  54.9/  53.8/  53.0
.ER HLEC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   62.4/  55.4/  54.6/  53.5
.ER HLEC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   63.5/  56.6/  56.9/  57.1
.ER FOLC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   95.9/  90.7/  83.0/  69.3
.ER FOLC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  102.0/ 107.1/  96.5/  88.3
.ER FOLC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  107.6/ 123.3/ 119.7/ 108.3
.ER CMPC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   37.5/  34.9/  30.0/  23.8
.ER CMPC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   39.5/  44.9/  41.2/  38.8
.ER CMPC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   43.5/  54.6/  55.5/  53.2
.ER NMSC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   65.6/  60.6/  50.0/  39.3
.ER NMSC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   72.3/  82.4/  67.0/  57.2
.ER NMSC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   81.5/ 105.1/  95.1/  80.3
.ER NDPC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   78.7/  65.9/  61.6/  45.1
.ER NDPC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   87.3/ 100.5/  90.9/  81.4
.ER NDPC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  100.2/ 149.7/ 146.7/ 128.8
.ER POHC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   21.1/  18.4/  16.5/  12.1
.ER POHC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   24.2/  28.4/  24.7/  23.8
.ER POHC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   28.7/  42.4/  44.3/  41.3
.ER EXQC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   38.6/  35.1/  32.2/  24.8
.ER EXQC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   43.5/  50.3/  44.0/  44.0
.ER EXQC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   51.3/  72.8/  78.5/  71.1
.ER FRAC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   60.3/  58.7/  53.3/  41.7
.ER FRAC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   69.2/  82.5/  75.2/  74.9
.ER FRAC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   80.0/ 114.6/ 124.9/ 129.4
.ER PFTC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   63.2/  56.9/  55.8/  44.3
.ER PFTC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   70.5/  88.0/  90.3/  82.3
.ER PFTC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   84.3/ 131.0/ 157.0/ 135.4
.ER TMDC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   21.8/  21.8/  17.3/  13.6
.ER TMDC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   24.2/  29.9/  26.3/  21.0
.ER TMDC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   28.2/  40.5/  39.9/  32.3
.ER SCSC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.8/   5.4/   4.8/   4.0
.ER SCSC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.3/   6.9/   6.2/   5.4
.ER SCSC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.2/   8.2/   8.6/   7.7
.ER ISAC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   36.1/  39.1/  35.5/  32.1
.ER ISAC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   38.2/  48.2/  46.6/  43.8
.ER ISAC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   41.8/  60.3/  63.9/  57.3
.ER BCAC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   12.9/  12.4/  12.1/  11.9
.ER BCAC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   13.0/  12.5/  12.1/  12.0
.ER BCAC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   13.1/  12.6/  12.3/  12.2
.ER FARC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   40.3/  41.2/  40.4/  38.7
.ER FARC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   41.5/  44.3/  43.9/  43.8
.ER FARC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   43.3/  47.7/  48.3/  48.9
.ER WOOC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   4.4/   3.8/   2.9
.ER WOOC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   6.4/   5.4/   5.1
.ER WOOC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   8.2/   7.5/   7.2
.ER GRDN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   13.0/  13.0/  10.7/   9.4
.ER GRDN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   14.6/  18.6/  15.9/  14.8
.ER GRDN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   16.8/  24.2/  22.9/  23.4
.ER STWN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   14.3/  14.7/  11.4/   9.2
.ER STWN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   15.8/  21.0/  17.1/  15.8
.ER STWN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   17.9/  28.0/  25.1/  25.9
.ER WWBC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.4/   6.0/   5.3/   4.3
.ER WWBC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    7.0/   9.7/   9.8/   8.7
.ER WWBC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.0/  14.2/  15.2/  16.3
.ER BPRC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.7/   2.7/   1.9/   1.3
.ER BPRC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.2/   4.1/   2.9/   2.5
.ER BPRC1 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   5.5/   5.0/   5.3
.ER PALN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   19.2/  18.3/  17.1/  15.0
.ER PALN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   19.8/  21.5/  21.3/  20.1
.ER PALN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.2/  28.1/  29.4/  30.2
.ER MHSN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.7/   4.0/   3.4/   3.1
.ER MHSN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   5.0/   4.5/   4.4
.ER MHSN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.8/   6.2/   6.5/   6.4
.ER HREN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.3/   8.9/   7.8/   6.9
.ER HREN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.2/  11.1/   9.8/   9.4
.ER HREN2 20190425 Z DH12/DC201904201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   12.9/  14.5/  14.3/  15.0

$$