National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
1000 AM PLT WED FEB 20 2019

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         02/25        03/02        03/07        03/12  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    6.9          6.9         16.0         25.9
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    6.9          5.9          9.4         15.7
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    6.9          5.9          5.8          7.5

FTJC1              MAX:    6.7          8.7         17.2         24.4
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    6.2          6.0          8.4         10.7
FORT JONES         MIN:    6.1          4.7          4.7          5.5

CEGC1              MAX:   15.6         27.1         60.0         81.0
TRINITY           PROB:   14.7         16.3         24.1         30.6
TRINITY LK         MIN:   14.5         11.7         14.1         17.6

SHDC1              MAX:  108.7        177.5        304.0        347.7
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   97.9         99.6        131.7        144.2
SHASTA             MIN:   93.9         74.4         84.0         85.9

ORDC1              MAX:   80.1        110.4        329.5        290.5
FEATHER           PROB:   78.1         62.0        108.1        100.3
OROVILLE           MIN:   76.0         49.4         54.4         65.1

HLEC1              MAX:   26.5         43.0         72.3         60.5
YUBA              PROB:   25.6         27.4         32.1         28.4
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   24.7         22.7         22.9         21.4

FOLC1              MAX:   74.3        123.1        226.4        157.4
AMERICAN          PROB:   67.8         63.8         88.9         81.3
FOLSOM             MIN:   66.1         52.2         57.8         54.4

CMPC1              MAX:   11.3         20.6         50.9         42.5
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    9.9         13.3         20.6         20.8
PARDEE             MIN:    9.5         10.2         14.1         13.4

NMSC1              MAX:   23.2         30.5         60.5         48.1
STANISLAUS        PROB:   21.1         18.1         25.8         26.2
NEW MELONES        MIN:   19.8         14.5         15.6         15.0

NDPC1              MAX:   34.0         49.5        100.1         81.5
TUOLUMNE          PROB:   30.3         28.6         45.0         43.4
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   27.7         23.1         24.7         25.6

POHC1              MAX:    3.4          3.0          9.6         10.9
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    3.4          2.3          3.5          4.3
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    3.3          2.1          1.8          1.7

EXQC1              MAX:   22.2         27.3         63.1         36.6
MERCED            PROB:   19.7         17.4         23.8         21.2
EXCHEQUER          MIN:   17.5         13.0         12.8         11.5

FRAC1              MAX:   28.6         36.0         72.0         49.4
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:   26.2         23.9         28.1         26.5
MILLERTON          MIN:   24.4         20.4         19.7         17.2

PFTC1              MAX:   26.2         32.6         68.8         49.5
KINGS             PROB:   24.4         21.4         28.4         27.0
PINE FLAT          MIN:   22.6         18.0         17.3         16.3

TMDC1              MAX:    7.5          8.5         22.4         15.2
KAWEAH            PROB:    7.0          6.4          9.4          8.5
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    6.7          5.5          5.7          5.6

SCSC1              MAX:    3.4          4.7         13.4          7.8
TULE              PROB:    3.0          2.5          3.6          3.3
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    2.8          2.0          2.3          1.8

ISAC1              MAX:    8.2          7.8         16.5         13.9
KERN              PROB:    8.0          6.9          8.3          7.9
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    7.9          6.3          6.1          6.1

BCAC1              MAX:    1.2          1.2          1.6          2.1
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    1.2          1.1          1.3          1.4
BOCA               MIN:    1.2          1.1          1.1          1.1

FARC1              MAX:    3.9          3.7          6.2          7.6
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    3.9          3.5          3.9          4.2
FARAD              MIN:    3.9          3.5          3.3          3.3

WOOC1              MAX:    0.2          0.1          0.2          0.2
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.2          0.1          0.1          0.1
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.2          0.1          0.1          0.1

GRDN2              MAX:    2.0          1.8          3.3          3.9
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    2.0          1.4          1.7          2.0
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:    2.0          1.3          1.3          1.3

STWN2              MAX:    4.1          3.5          5.4          6.3
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    4.1          2.9          3.6          3.7
CARSON CITY        MIN:    4.1          2.7          2.5          2.7

WWBC1              MAX:    0.7          0.4          0.6          1.2
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    0.7          0.4          0.4          0.4
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    0.7          0.4          0.3          0.3

BPRC1              MAX:    0.5          0.7          2.3          2.1
EAST WALKER       PROB:    0.5          0.4          0.8          1.0
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    0.5          0.4          0.4          0.4

PALN2              MAX:    2.2          2.5          5.4          6.7
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    2.2          2.2          3.1          4.1
PALISADE           MIN:    2.2          2.2          2.1          2.6

MHSN2              MAX:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    0.4          0.2          0.3          1.5
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.4          0.2          0.2          0.4
ELKO               MIN:    0.4          0.2          0.2          0.2

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.9/   5.9/   5.8/   7.5
.ER WMSO3 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.9/   5.9/   9.4/  15.7
.ER WMSO3 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.9/   6.9/  16.0/  25.9
.ER FTJC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.1/   4.7/   4.7/   5.5
.ER FTJC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.2/   6.0/   8.4/  10.7
.ER FTJC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.7/   8.7/  17.2/  24.4
.ER CEGC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   14.5/  11.7/  14.1/  17.6
.ER CEGC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   14.7/  16.3/  24.1/  30.6
.ER CEGC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   15.6/  27.1/  60.0/  81.0
.ER SHDC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   93.9/  74.4/  84.0/  85.9
.ER SHDC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   97.9/  99.6/ 131.7/ 144.2
.ER SHDC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  108.7/ 177.5/ 304.0/ 347.7
.ER ORDC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   76.0/  49.4/  54.4/  65.1
.ER ORDC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   78.1/  62.0/ 108.1/ 100.3
.ER ORDC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   80.1/ 110.4/ 329.5/ 290.5
.ER HLEC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   24.7/  22.7/  22.9/  21.4
.ER HLEC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   25.6/  27.4/  32.1/  28.4
.ER HLEC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.5/  43.0/  72.3/  60.5
.ER FOLC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   66.1/  52.2/  57.8/  54.4
.ER FOLC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   67.8/  63.8/  88.9/  81.3
.ER FOLC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   74.3/ 123.1/ 226.4/ 157.4
.ER CMPC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.5/  10.2/  14.1/  13.4
.ER CMPC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.9/  13.3/  20.6/  20.8
.ER CMPC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   11.3/  20.6/  50.9/  42.5
.ER NMSC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   19.8/  14.5/  15.6/  15.0
.ER NMSC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   21.1/  18.1/  25.8/  26.2
.ER NMSC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.2/  30.5/  60.5/  48.1
.ER NDPC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   27.7/  23.1/  24.7/  25.6
.ER NDPC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   30.3/  28.6/  45.0/  43.4
.ER NDPC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   34.0/  49.5/ 100.1/  81.5
.ER POHC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.3/   2.1/   1.8/   1.7
.ER POHC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   2.3/   3.5/   4.3
.ER POHC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   3.0/   9.6/  10.9
.ER EXQC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   17.5/  13.0/  12.8/  11.5
.ER EXQC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   19.7/  17.4/  23.8/  21.2
.ER EXQC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   22.2/  27.3/  63.1/  36.6
.ER FRAC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   24.4/  20.4/  19.7/  17.2
.ER FRAC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   26.2/  23.9/  28.1/  26.5
.ER FRAC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   28.6/  36.0/  72.0/  49.4
.ER PFTC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   22.6/  18.0/  17.3/  16.3
.ER PFTC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   24.4/  21.4/  28.4/  27.0
.ER PFTC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.2/  32.6/  68.8/  49.5
.ER TMDC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.7/   5.5/   5.7/   5.6
.ER TMDC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    7.0/   6.4/   9.4/   8.5
.ER TMDC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.5/   8.5/  22.4/  15.2
.ER SCSC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.8/   2.0/   2.3/   1.8
.ER SCSC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.0/   2.5/   3.6/   3.3
.ER SCSC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.4/   4.7/  13.4/   7.8
.ER ISAC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.9/   6.3/   6.1/   6.1
.ER ISAC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    8.0/   6.9/   8.3/   7.9
.ER ISAC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    8.2/   7.8/  16.5/  13.9
.ER BCAC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.1/   1.1/   1.1
.ER BCAC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.1/   1.3/   1.4
.ER BCAC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.2/   1.6/   2.1
.ER FARC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.9/   3.5/   3.3/   3.3
.ER FARC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.9/   3.5/   3.9/   4.2
.ER FARC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.9/   3.7/   6.2/   7.6
.ER WOOC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER WOOC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER WOOC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.1/   0.2/   0.2
.ER GRDN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   1.3/   1.3/   1.3
.ER GRDN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   1.4/   1.7/   2.0
.ER GRDN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   1.8/   3.3/   3.9
.ER STWN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   2.7/   2.5/   2.7
.ER STWN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   2.9/   3.6/   3.7
.ER STWN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   3.5/   5.4/   6.3
.ER WWBC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WWBC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER WWBC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.4/   0.6/   1.2
.ER BPRC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER BPRC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.8/   1.0
.ER BPRC1 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.7/   2.3/   2.1
.ER PALN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   2.2/   2.1/   2.6
.ER PALN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   2.2/   3.1/   4.1
.ER PALN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   2.5/   5.4/   6.7
.ER MHSN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.2/   0.2/   0.4
.ER HREN2 20190225 Z DH12/DC201902201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.2/   0.3/   1.5

$$