National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
909 AM PLT MON SEP 17 2018

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         09/22        09/27        10/02        10/07  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    5.3          5.6          6.0          6.2
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    5.3          5.4          5.6          5.7
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    5.3          5.4          5.5          5.6

FTJC1              MAX:    0.1          0.4          0.3          0.3
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

CEGC1              MAX:    0.6          1.8          1.1          1.5
TRINITY           PROB:    0.5          0.6          0.5          0.5
TRINITY LK         MIN:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.4

SHDC1              MAX:   24.9         29.4         28.7         31.2
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   24.6         24.9         25.2         25.7
SHASTA             MIN:   24.6         24.8         25.1         25.3

ORDC1              MAX:   16.2         16.8         18.0         19.0
FEATHER           PROB:   16.1         15.8         15.7         15.8
OROVILLE           MIN:   16.1         15.8         15.7         15.7

HLEC1              MAX:    5.9          6.4          6.5          7.0
YUBA              PROB:    5.9          6.1          6.2          6.5
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:    5.9          6.1          6.2          6.5

FOLC1              MAX:   18.8         20.1         20.7         20.6
AMERICAN          PROB:   18.7         19.3         19.2         19.2
FOLSOM             MIN:   18.7         19.3         19.2         19.1

CMPC1              MAX:    0.3          0.4          0.4          0.5
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    0.3          0.2          0.2          0.2
PARDEE             MIN:    0.3          0.2          0.2          0.1

NMSC1              MAX:    0.8          0.9          1.1          1.5
STANISLAUS        PROB:    0.8          0.7          0.6          0.6
NEW MELONES        MIN:    0.8          0.7          0.6          0.6

NDPC1              MAX:    0.6          0.9          2.3          2.0
TUOLUMNE          PROB:    0.6          0.6          0.6          0.6
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:    0.6          0.6          0.6          0.6

POHC1              MAX:    0.3          0.3          0.4          0.5
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    0.3          0.2          0.2          0.2
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    0.3          0.2          0.2          0.1

EXQC1              MAX:    0.8          0.5          0.9          0.9
MERCED            PROB:    0.8          0.4          0.3          0.3
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    0.8          0.4          0.3          0.3

FRAC1              MAX:    1.1          1.4          2.1          2.4
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:    1.1          1.2          1.4          1.6
MILLERTON          MIN:    1.1          1.2          1.4          1.5

PFTC1              MAX:    2.3          2.4          2.7          2.7
KINGS             PROB:    2.2          2.1          2.0          2.0
PINE FLAT          MIN:    2.2          2.1          2.0          1.9

TMDC1              MAX:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.4
KAWEAH            PROB:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3

SCSC1              MAX:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
TULE              PROB:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0

ISAC1              MAX:    1.8          1.8          1.8          1.9
KERN              PROB:    1.7          1.7          1.7          1.7
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    1.7          1.7          1.7          1.7

BCAC1              MAX:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4
BOCA               MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4

FARC1              MAX:    5.0          5.1          5.2          5.3
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    4.9          5.0          5.0          5.1
FARAD              MIN:    4.9          4.9          5.0          5.1

WOOC1              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

STWN2              MAX:    0.3          0.4          0.6          0.7
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    0.2          0.3          0.4          0.4
CARSON CITY        MIN:    0.2          0.3          0.4          0.4

WWBC1              MAX:    0.4          0.4          0.5          0.4
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.3          0.3
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.3          0.3

BPRC1              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
EAST WALKER       PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.1          0.1
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.1          0.1

PALN2              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.3          0.3
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.3
PALISADE           MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.3

MHSN2              MAX:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    0.0          0.0          0.1          0.1
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.0          0.0          0.1          0.1
ELKO               MIN:    0.0          0.0          0.1          0.1

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.3/   5.4/   5.5/   5.6
.ER WMSO3 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.3/   5.4/   5.6/   5.7
.ER WMSO3 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.3/   5.6/   6.0/   6.2
.ER FTJC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER FTJC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER FTJC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER CEGC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.4
.ER CEGC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.6/   0.5/   0.5
.ER CEGC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   1.8/   1.1/   1.5
.ER SHDC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   24.6/  24.8/  25.1/  25.3
.ER SHDC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   24.6/  24.9/  25.2/  25.7
.ER SHDC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   24.9/  29.4/  28.7/  31.2
.ER ORDC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   16.1/  15.8/  15.7/  15.7
.ER ORDC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   16.1/  15.8/  15.7/  15.8
.ER ORDC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   16.2/  16.8/  18.0/  19.0
.ER HLEC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   6.1/   6.2/   6.5
.ER HLEC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   6.1/   6.2/   6.5
.ER HLEC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.9/   6.4/   6.5/   7.0
.ER FOLC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   18.7/  19.3/  19.2/  19.1
.ER FOLC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   18.7/  19.3/  19.2/  19.2
.ER FOLC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   18.8/  20.1/  20.7/  20.6
.ER CMPC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.2/   0.2/   0.1
.ER CMPC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER CMPC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.4/   0.4/   0.5
.ER NMSC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.6/   0.6
.ER NMSC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.6/   0.6
.ER NMSC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.9/   1.1/   1.5
.ER NDPC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.6/   0.6
.ER NDPC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.6/   0.6
.ER NDPC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.9/   2.3/   2.0
.ER POHC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.2/   0.2/   0.1
.ER POHC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER POHC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.4/   0.5
.ER EXQC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER EXQC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER EXQC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.5/   0.9/   0.9
.ER FRAC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.2/   1.4/   1.5
.ER FRAC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.2/   1.4/   1.6
.ER FRAC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.4/   2.1/   2.4
.ER PFTC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   2.1/   2.0/   1.9
.ER PFTC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   2.1/   2.0/   2.0
.ER PFTC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.3/   2.4/   2.7/   2.7
.ER TMDC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER TMDC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER TMDC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.4
.ER SCSC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER SCSC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER SCSC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER ISAC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.7/   1.7/   1.7
.ER ISAC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.7/   1.7/   1.7
.ER ISAC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.8/   1.8/   1.9
.ER BCAC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER BCAC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER BCAC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER FARC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   4.9/   5.0/   5.1
.ER FARC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   5.0/   5.0/   5.1
.ER FARC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.0/   5.1/   5.2/   5.3
.ER WOOC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WOOC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WOOC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER STWN2 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.3/   0.4/   0.4
.ER STWN2 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.3/   0.4/   0.4
.ER STWN2 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.4/   0.6/   0.7
.ER WWBC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WWBC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WWBC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.5/   0.4
.ER BPRC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.1/   0.1
.ER BPRC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.1/   0.1
.ER BPRC1 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER PALN2 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.3
.ER PALN2 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.3
.ER PALN2 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.3/   0.3
.ER MHSN2 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20180922 Z DH12/DC201809171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.1/   0.1

$$