National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
848 AM PLT WED NOV 14 2018

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         11/19        11/24        11/29        12/04  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    5.4          5.6          6.4          6.2
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    5.4          5.4          5.6          5.6
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    5.4          5.3          5.4          5.3

FTJC1              MAX:    0.2          0.8          1.3          3.0
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.2          0.3          0.3          0.4
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

CEGC1              MAX:    0.4          3.6          3.0         10.6
TRINITY           PROB:    0.2          0.9          0.8          1.2
TRINITY LK         MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

SHDC1              MAX:   29.0         43.2         49.7         82.5
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   28.2         31.3         30.1         32.5
SHASTA             MIN:   28.2         28.1         27.8         27.4

ORDC1              MAX:    8.1         16.6         21.9         43.5
FEATHER           PROB:    7.9          9.2          9.4         10.4
OROVILLE           MIN:    7.9          7.9          7.6          7.4

HLEC1              MAX:    3.0          4.3          5.5          9.2
YUBA              PROB:    2.9          3.3          3.9          5.6
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:    2.9          3.0          3.7          5.1

FOLC1              MAX:   10.4         11.9         13.7         25.8
AMERICAN          PROB:   10.3          9.8          9.9         10.3
FOLSOM             MIN:   10.3          9.2          9.1          9.0

CMPC1              MAX:    0.0          0.8          1.0          3.6
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    0.0          0.2          0.2          0.2
PARDEE             MIN:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.1

NMSC1              MAX:    0.8          2.3          2.9          6.9
STANISLAUS        PROB:    0.6          0.9          1.1          1.5
NEW MELONES        MIN:    0.6          0.7          0.7          0.7

NDPC1              MAX:    1.4          5.0          7.8         12.5
TUOLUMNE          PROB:    0.9          1.3          1.9          2.5
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:    0.9          0.9          1.0          1.0

POHC1              MAX:    0.2          0.3          0.7          1.2
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.3          0.3
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

EXQC1              MAX:    0.6          2.0          3.3          5.6
MERCED            PROB:    0.6          0.8          1.2          1.4
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    0.6          0.6          0.7          0.8

FRAC1              MAX:    2.0          2.7          7.3          7.0
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:    1.9          2.0          2.1          2.0
MILLERTON          MIN:    1.9          1.8          1.7          1.6

PFTC1              MAX:    1.0          1.8          2.5          4.7
KINGS             PROB:    0.9          1.2          1.4          1.5
PINE FLAT          MIN:    0.9          1.0          1.1          1.2

TMDC1              MAX:    0.4          0.8          2.9          4.6
KAWEAH            PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.5          0.6
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4

SCSC1              MAX:    0.1          0.6          0.8          1.0
TULE              PROB:    0.1          0.2          0.2          0.2
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

ISAC1              MAX:    2.0          3.0          4.0          5.1
KERN              PROB:    1.9          2.0          2.1          2.0
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    1.9          1.9          1.9          1.8

BCAC1              MAX:    0.4          0.5          0.5          0.5
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4
BOCA               MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4

FARC1              MAX:    4.4          4.7          4.8          5.2
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    4.4          4.4          4.5          4.7
FARAD              MIN:    4.4          4.4          4.5          4.6

WOOC1              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

GRDN2              MAX:    0.6          0.7          0.6          0.7
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.6          0.6          0.6          0.5
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:    0.6          0.5          0.5          0.5

STWN2              MAX:    1.0          1.3          1.3          1.4
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    0.9          0.9          1.0          1.0
CARSON CITY        MIN:    0.9          0.9          0.8          0.8

WWBC1              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.3
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

BPRC1              MAX:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4
EAST WALKER       PROB:    0.3          0.4          0.4          0.4
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3

PALN2              MAX:    0.4          0.4          0.5          0.6
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.5
PALISADE           MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4

MHSN2              MAX:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0

HREN2              MAX:    0.1          0.1          0.2          0.3
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.2
ELKO               MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.4/   5.3/   5.4/   5.3
.ER WMSO3 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.4/   5.4/   5.6/   5.6
.ER WMSO3 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.4/   5.6/   6.4/   6.2
.ER FTJC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER FTJC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.3/   0.3/   0.4
.ER FTJC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.8/   1.3/   3.0
.ER CEGC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER CEGC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.9/   0.8/   1.2
.ER CEGC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   3.6/   3.0/  10.6
.ER SHDC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   28.2/  28.1/  27.8/  27.4
.ER SHDC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   28.2/  31.3/  30.1/  32.5
.ER SHDC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   29.0/  43.2/  49.7/  82.5
.ER ORDC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.9/   7.9/   7.6/   7.4
.ER ORDC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    7.9/   9.2/   9.4/  10.4
.ER ORDC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    8.1/  16.6/  21.9/  43.5
.ER HLEC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.9/   3.0/   3.7/   5.1
.ER HLEC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.9/   3.3/   3.9/   5.6
.ER HLEC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.0/   4.3/   5.5/   9.2
.ER FOLC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.3/   9.2/   9.1/   9.0
.ER FOLC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.3/   9.8/   9.9/  10.3
.ER FOLC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   10.4/  11.9/  13.7/  25.8
.ER CMPC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.1
.ER CMPC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER CMPC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.8/   1.0/   3.6
.ER NMSC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER NMSC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.9/   1.1/   1.5
.ER NMSC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   2.3/   2.9/   6.9
.ER NDPC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   1.0/   1.0
.ER NDPC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   1.3/   1.9/   2.5
.ER NDPC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   5.0/   7.8/  12.5
.ER POHC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER POHC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.3/   0.3
.ER POHC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.3/   0.7/   1.2
.ER EXQC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.7/   0.8
.ER EXQC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.8/   1.2/   1.4
.ER EXQC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   2.0/   3.3/   5.6
.ER FRAC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.8/   1.7/   1.6
.ER FRAC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   2.0/   2.1/   2.0
.ER FRAC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   2.7/   7.3/   7.0
.ER PFTC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   1.0/   1.1/   1.2
.ER PFTC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   1.2/   1.4/   1.5
.ER PFTC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.8/   2.5/   4.7
.ER TMDC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER TMDC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.5/   0.6
.ER TMDC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.8/   2.9/   4.6
.ER SCSC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER SCSC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER SCSC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.6/   0.8/   1.0
.ER ISAC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.9/   1.9/   1.8
.ER ISAC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   2.0/   2.1/   2.0
.ER ISAC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   3.0/   4.0/   5.1
.ER BCAC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER BCAC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER BCAC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER FARC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   4.4/   4.5/   4.6
.ER FARC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   4.4/   4.5/   4.7
.ER FARC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   4.7/   4.8/   5.2
.ER WOOC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WOOC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WOOC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER GRDN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER GRDN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.6/   0.5
.ER GRDN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.7/   0.6/   0.7
.ER STWN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.8/   0.8
.ER STWN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   1.0/   1.0
.ER STWN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.3/   1.3/   1.4
.ER WWBC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WWBC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WWBC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.3
.ER BPRC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER BPRC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER BPRC1 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER PALN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER PALN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.5
.ER PALN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.5/   0.6
.ER MHSN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER MHSN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER MHSN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER HREN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20181119 Z DH12/DC201811141200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.2/   0.3

$$