National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
904 AM PLT SAT AUG 17 2019

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         08/22        08/27        09/01        09/06  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    4.9          5.0          5.2          5.5
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    4.9          4.9          5.0          5.1
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    4.9          4.9          5.0          5.1

FTJC1              MAX:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.3
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.3

CEGC1              MAX:    2.1          1.9          2.0          1.8
TRINITY           PROB:    2.1          1.8          1.7          1.6
TRINITY LK         MIN:    2.1          1.8          1.7          1.6

SHDC1              MAX:   35.6         35.6         35.9         34.9
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   35.5         34.6         34.2         34.0
SHASTA             MIN:   35.5         34.6         34.2         33.9

ORDC1              MAX:   10.3         10.3         10.2         10.5
FEATHER           PROB:   10.3          9.9          9.6          9.2
OROVILLE           MIN:   10.3          9.9          9.5          9.2

HLEC1              MAX:   23.0         22.8         22.9         22.9
YUBA              PROB:   23.0         22.8         22.8         22.8
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   23.0         22.8         22.8         22.8

FOLC1              MAX:   24.3         25.4         25.6         25.3
AMERICAN          PROB:   24.3         25.2         25.1         24.9
FOLSOM             MIN:   24.3         25.2         25.1         24.9

CMPC1              MAX:    1.3          1.2          1.4          1.3
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    1.3          1.2          1.1          1.1
PARDEE             MIN:    1.2          1.2          1.1          1.1

NMSC1              MAX:    3.9          3.5          3.5          3.2
STANISLAUS        PROB:    3.8          3.4          3.1          2.8
NEW MELONES        MIN:    3.8          3.4          3.1          2.8

NDPC1              MAX:    6.5          5.6          5.9          5.8
TUOLUMNE          PROB:    6.5          5.5          4.8          4.1
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:    6.5          5.5          4.7          4.1

POHC1              MAX:    2.0          1.9          2.2          2.0
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    1.9          1.7          1.4          1.2
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    1.9          1.6          1.4          1.2

EXQC1              MAX:    2.7          2.7          2.8          2.6
MERCED            PROB:    2.7          2.3          1.9          1.6
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    2.6          2.2          1.9          1.6

FRAC1              MAX:    9.5          8.2          7.5          7.0
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:    9.5          8.2          7.2          6.4
MILLERTON          MIN:    9.5          8.2          7.2          6.4

PFTC1              MAX:   11.3          9.9          9.2          8.6
KINGS             PROB:   11.3          9.6          8.5          7.6
PINE FLAT          MIN:   11.3          9.6          8.4          7.6

TMDC1              MAX:    1.9          1.3          1.1          1.0
KAWEAH            PROB:    1.8          1.3          1.0          0.8
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    1.8          1.3          1.0          0.8

SCSC1              MAX:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.3
TULE              PROB:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.2
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.2

ISAC1              MAX:    7.1          6.2          5.7          5.3
KERN              PROB:    7.0          6.2          5.5          5.0
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    7.0          6.2          5.5          5.0

BCAC1              MAX:    1.0          1.0          1.0          1.0
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    1.0          1.0          1.0          1.0
BOCA               MIN:    1.0          1.0          1.0          1.0

FARC1              MAX:    6.7          6.5          6.6          6.5
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    6.7          6.5          6.4          6.3
FARAD              MIN:    6.7          6.5          6.4          6.3

WOOC1              MAX:    0.4          0.4          0.3          0.3
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.3          0.3
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.3          0.3

GRDN2              MAX:    1.6          1.5          1.5          1.3
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    1.5          1.4          1.3          1.2
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:    1.5          1.4          1.3          1.2

STWN2              MAX:    0.5          0.4          0.5          0.4
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.3          0.3
CARSON CITY        MIN:    0.4          0.3          0.3          0.3

WWBC1              MAX:    1.5          1.4          1.4          1.3
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    1.5          1.4          1.3          1.3
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    1.5          1.4          1.3          1.3

BPRC1              MAX:    1.7          1.5          1.5          1.4
EAST WALKER       PROB:    1.7          1.5          1.4          1.3
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    1.7          1.5          1.4          1.2

PALN2              MAX:    1.1          0.6          0.3          0.2
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    1.1          0.6          0.3          0.2
PALISADE           MIN:    1.1          0.6          0.3          0.2

MHSN2              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

HREN2              MAX:    1.8          1.3          1.0          0.7
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    1.8          1.3          1.0          0.7
ELKO               MIN:    1.8          1.3          1.0          0.7

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   4.9/   5.0/   5.1
.ER WMSO3 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   4.9/   5.0/   5.1
.ER WMSO3 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   5.0/   5.2/   5.5
.ER FTJC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER FTJC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER FTJC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER CEGC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.1/   1.8/   1.7/   1.6
.ER CEGC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.1/   1.8/   1.7/   1.6
.ER CEGC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.1/   1.9/   2.0/   1.8
.ER SHDC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   35.5/  34.6/  34.2/  33.9
.ER SHDC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   35.5/  34.6/  34.2/  34.0
.ER SHDC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   35.6/  35.6/  35.9/  34.9
.ER ORDC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.3/   9.9/   9.5/   9.2
.ER ORDC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.3/   9.9/   9.6/   9.2
.ER ORDC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   10.3/  10.3/  10.2/  10.5
.ER HLEC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   23.0/  22.8/  22.8/  22.8
.ER HLEC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   23.0/  22.8/  22.8/  22.8
.ER HLEC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   23.0/  22.8/  22.9/  22.9
.ER FOLC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   24.3/  25.2/  25.1/  24.9
.ER FOLC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   24.3/  25.2/  25.1/  24.9
.ER FOLC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   24.3/  25.4/  25.6/  25.3
.ER CMPC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.2/   1.1/   1.1
.ER CMPC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.2/   1.1/   1.1
.ER CMPC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.2/   1.4/   1.3
.ER NMSC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.4/   3.1/   2.8
.ER NMSC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.4/   3.1/   2.8
.ER NMSC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.9/   3.5/   3.5/   3.2
.ER NDPC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.5/   5.5/   4.7/   4.1
.ER NDPC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.5/   5.5/   4.8/   4.1
.ER NDPC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.5/   5.6/   5.9/   5.8
.ER POHC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.6/   1.4/   1.2
.ER POHC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.7/   1.4/   1.2
.ER POHC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   1.9/   2.2/   2.0
.ER EXQC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.6/   2.2/   1.9/   1.6
.ER EXQC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.7/   2.3/   1.9/   1.6
.ER EXQC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.7/   2.7/   2.8/   2.6
.ER FRAC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.5/   8.2/   7.2/   6.4
.ER FRAC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.5/   8.2/   7.2/   6.4
.ER FRAC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.5/   8.2/   7.5/   7.0
.ER PFTC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   11.3/   9.6/   8.4/   7.6
.ER PFTC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   11.3/   9.6/   8.5/   7.6
.ER PFTC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   11.3/   9.9/   9.2/   8.6
.ER TMDC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.3/   1.0/   0.8
.ER TMDC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.3/   1.0/   0.8
.ER TMDC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.3/   1.1/   1.0
.ER SCSC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.2
.ER SCSC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.2
.ER SCSC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER ISAC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    7.0/   6.2/   5.5/   5.0
.ER ISAC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    7.0/   6.2/   5.5/   5.0
.ER ISAC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.1/   6.2/   5.7/   5.3
.ER BCAC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.0/   1.0/   1.0
.ER BCAC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.0/   1.0/   1.0
.ER BCAC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.0/   1.0/   1.0
.ER FARC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.7/   6.5/   6.4/   6.3
.ER FARC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.7/   6.5/   6.4/   6.3
.ER FARC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.7/   6.5/   6.6/   6.5
.ER WOOC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WOOC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WOOC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER GRDN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.4/   1.3/   1.2
.ER GRDN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.4/   1.3/   1.2
.ER GRDN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.6/   1.5/   1.5/   1.3
.ER STWN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER STWN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER STWN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.5/   0.4
.ER WWBC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.4/   1.3/   1.3
.ER WWBC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.4/   1.3/   1.3
.ER WWBC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.4/   1.4/   1.3
.ER BPRC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.5/   1.4/   1.2
.ER BPRC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.5/   1.4/   1.3
.ER BPRC1 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.5/   1.5/   1.4
.ER PALN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.6/   0.3/   0.2
.ER PALN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.6/   0.3/   0.2
.ER PALN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.6/   0.3/   0.2
.ER MHSN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER MHSN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER MHSN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.3/   1.0/   0.7
.ER HREN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.3/   1.0/   0.7
.ER HREN2 20190822 Z DH12/DC201908171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.3/   1.0/   0.7

$$