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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
1116 AM PLT SUN JAN 20 2019

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         01/25        01/30        02/04        02/09  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:   11.9          8.3          9.6         11.1
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:   10.9          7.3          6.2          5.9
CHILOQUIN          MIN:   10.4          6.4          5.1          4.9

FTJC1              MAX:   18.8          8.0         18.6         15.6
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:   14.9          6.1          6.6          6.0
FORT JONES         MIN:   13.2          5.4          4.6          4.1

CEGC1              MAX:   46.1         20.5         69.0         67.2
TRINITY           PROB:   34.0         17.8         21.6         20.7
TRINITY LK         MIN:   29.3         15.7         14.4         12.7

SHDC1              MAX:  233.4         98.2        277.4        272.5
SACRAMENTO        PROB:  176.8         87.5         96.5         90.7
SHASTA             MIN:  159.7         82.6         65.0         55.1

ORDC1              MAX:  151.8         79.4        198.9        211.3
FEATHER           PROB:  106.3         61.1         70.7         63.7
OROVILLE           MIN:   93.1         53.9         45.0         38.9

HLEC1              MAX:   26.3          8.1         31.5         30.7
YUBA              PROB:   15.1          7.0         10.1          8.6
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   11.4          6.4          5.8          5.5

FOLC1              MAX:  105.7         43.5        131.6        118.0
AMERICAN          PROB:   62.8         36.5         45.5         40.0
FOLSOM             MIN:   54.4         32.1         28.3         24.7

CMPC1              MAX:   11.0          6.8         17.7         17.7
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    8.3          5.2          5.9          6.0
PARDEE             MIN:    6.5          4.6          4.0          3.8

NMSC1              MAX:   31.9         13.1         34.0         41.9
STANISLAUS        PROB:   18.4          9.6         11.3         11.0
NEW MELONES        MIN:   13.3          7.8          6.7          6.1

NDPC1              MAX:   42.0         18.6         49.7         54.6
TUOLUMNE          PROB:   24.7         13.9         20.2         17.9
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   17.0         11.4         10.3         11.2

POHC1              MAX:    2.6          2.2          3.8          4.0
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    2.2          1.6          1.8          2.0
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    2.0          1.4          1.1          1.1

EXQC1              MAX:   24.2         10.0         27.9         30.3
MERCED            PROB:   13.9          7.0          9.0          9.4
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    9.5          5.9          5.4          5.6

FRAC1              MAX:   28.6         17.3         39.5         32.5
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:   20.1         13.7         14.7         14.5
MILLERTON          MIN:   15.6         12.0         10.0          9.7

PFTC1              MAX:   20.0         12.3         25.8         27.2
KINGS             PROB:   13.2          8.4          9.8          9.3
PINE FLAT          MIN:   10.5          6.9          5.5          5.1

TMDC1              MAX:    5.0          4.6         14.0          9.3
KAWEAH            PROB:    2.7          2.2          3.2          3.5
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    2.2          1.7          1.6          1.6

SCSC1              MAX:    4.1          2.6          6.4          5.9
TULE              PROB:    2.2          1.8          2.0          1.7
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    1.7          1.4          1.3          1.1

ISAC1              MAX:    6.1          4.8         12.1         10.6
KERN              PROB:    4.9          3.4          4.2          4.1
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    4.6          3.1          3.2          3.1

BCAC1              MAX:    1.8          1.8          1.9          1.9
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    1.7          1.7          1.7          1.7
BOCA               MIN:    1.7          1.7          1.7          1.7

FARC1              MAX:    3.1          3.2          4.5          4.2
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    2.9          2.9          2.9          3.0
FARAD              MIN:    2.9          2.7          2.7          2.7

WOOC1              MAX:    0.1          0.2          0.2          0.2
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

GRDN2              MAX:    1.3          1.1          1.8          1.6
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    1.2          1.0          0.8          0.8
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:    1.2          0.9          0.7          0.6

STWN2              MAX:    3.5          2.2          4.4          3.6
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    2.4          1.8          1.7          1.7
CARSON CITY        MIN:    1.9          1.6          1.4          1.4

WWBC1              MAX:    0.5          0.4          0.5          0.5
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    0.5          0.4          0.3          0.4
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    0.5          0.4          0.3          0.3

BPRC1              MAX:    0.7          0.8          1.9          1.3
EAST WALKER       PROB:    0.6          0.6          0.7          0.6
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    0.6          0.4          0.4          0.4

PALN2              MAX:    1.7          1.5          1.9          2.2
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    1.5          1.3          1.1          1.2
PALISADE           MIN:    1.5          1.2          0.9          0.8

MHSN2              MAX:    0.0          0.1          0.1          0.1
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.0          0.1          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.0          0.1          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    0.5          0.4          0.4          0.5
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.5          0.4          0.3          0.2
ELKO               MIN:    0.5          0.4          0.3          0.2

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.4/   6.4/   5.1/   4.9
.ER WMSO3 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.9/   7.3/   6.2/   5.9
.ER WMSO3 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   11.9/   8.3/   9.6/  11.1
.ER FTJC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   13.2/   5.4/   4.6/   4.1
.ER FTJC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   14.9/   6.1/   6.6/   6.0
.ER FTJC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   18.8/   8.0/  18.6/  15.6
.ER CEGC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   29.3/  15.7/  14.4/  12.7
.ER CEGC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   34.0/  17.8/  21.6/  20.7
.ER CEGC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   46.1/  20.5/  69.0/  67.2
.ER SHDC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1  159.7/  82.6/  65.0/  55.1
.ER SHDC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  176.8/  87.5/  96.5/  90.7
.ER SHDC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  233.4/  98.2/ 277.4/ 272.5
.ER ORDC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   93.1/  53.9/  45.0/  38.9
.ER ORDC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1  106.3/  61.1/  70.7/  63.7
.ER ORDC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  151.8/  79.4/ 198.9/ 211.3
.ER HLEC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   11.4/   6.4/   5.8/   5.5
.ER HLEC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   15.1/   7.0/  10.1/   8.6
.ER HLEC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.3/   8.1/  31.5/  30.7
.ER FOLC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   54.4/  32.1/  28.3/  24.7
.ER FOLC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   62.8/  36.5/  45.5/  40.0
.ER FOLC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1  105.7/  43.5/ 131.6/ 118.0
.ER CMPC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.5/   4.6/   4.0/   3.8
.ER CMPC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    8.3/   5.2/   5.9/   6.0
.ER CMPC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   11.0/   6.8/  17.7/  17.7
.ER NMSC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   13.3/   7.8/   6.7/   6.1
.ER NMSC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   18.4/   9.6/  11.3/  11.0
.ER NMSC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   31.9/  13.1/  34.0/  41.9
.ER NDPC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   17.0/  11.4/  10.3/  11.2
.ER NDPC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   24.7/  13.9/  20.2/  17.9
.ER NDPC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   42.0/  18.6/  49.7/  54.6
.ER POHC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   1.4/   1.1/   1.1
.ER POHC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   1.6/   1.8/   2.0
.ER POHC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.6/   2.2/   3.8/   4.0
.ER EXQC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.5/   5.9/   5.4/   5.6
.ER EXQC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   13.9/   7.0/   9.0/   9.4
.ER EXQC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   24.2/  10.0/  27.9/  30.3
.ER FRAC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   15.6/  12.0/  10.0/   9.7
.ER FRAC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   20.1/  13.7/  14.7/  14.5
.ER FRAC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   28.6/  17.3/  39.5/  32.5
.ER PFTC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.5/   6.9/   5.5/   5.1
.ER PFTC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   13.2/   8.4/   9.8/   9.3
.ER PFTC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   20.0/  12.3/  25.8/  27.2
.ER TMDC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   1.7/   1.6/   1.6
.ER TMDC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.7/   2.2/   3.2/   3.5
.ER TMDC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.0/   4.6/  14.0/   9.3
.ER SCSC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.4/   1.3/   1.1
.ER SCSC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.2/   1.8/   2.0/   1.7
.ER SCSC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   2.6/   6.4/   5.9
.ER ISAC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.6/   3.1/   3.2/   3.1
.ER ISAC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.9/   3.4/   4.2/   4.1
.ER ISAC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    6.1/   4.8/  12.1/  10.6
.ER BCAC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.7/   1.7/   1.7
.ER BCAC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.7/   1.7/   1.7
.ER BCAC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.8/   1.8/   1.9/   1.9
.ER FARC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.9/   2.7/   2.7/   2.7
.ER FARC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.9/   2.9/   2.9/   3.0
.ER FARC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.1/   3.2/   4.5/   4.2
.ER WOOC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER WOOC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER WOOC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER GRDN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   0.9/   0.7/   0.6
.ER GRDN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.0/   0.8/   0.8
.ER GRDN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.1/   1.8/   1.6
.ER STWN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.6/   1.4/   1.4
.ER STWN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.4/   1.8/   1.7/   1.7
.ER STWN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.5/   2.2/   4.4/   3.6
.ER WWBC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WWBC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.3/   0.4
.ER WWBC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.5/   0.5
.ER BPRC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER BPRC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.7/   0.6
.ER BPRC1 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.8/   1.9/   1.3
.ER PALN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.2/   0.9/   0.8
.ER PALN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.3/   1.1/   1.2
.ER PALN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.7/   1.5/   1.9/   2.2
.ER MHSN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.3/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.3/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20190125 Z DH12/DC201901201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.4/   0.5

$$