National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
841 AM PLT FRI MAY 25 2018

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         05/30        06/04        06/09        06/14  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:   13.7         19.4         14.0         10.8
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:   11.3         11.9          9.0          7.2
CHILOQUIN          MIN:   10.4          9.8          7.4          6.3

FTJC1              MAX:    7.3          4.9          3.4          2.8
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    4.3          2.8          2.3          1.9
FORT JONES         MIN:    3.3          2.4          2.0          1.7

CEGC1              MAX:   29.1         13.8          8.8          6.8
TRINITY           PROB:   17.1          8.4          5.4          4.4
TRINITY LK         MIN:   12.4          6.7          4.9          4.1

SHDC1              MAX:   87.0         89.9         65.4         62.0
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   54.0         53.2         46.8         42.3
SHASTA             MIN:   50.0         46.9         42.6         39.7

ORDC1              MAX:   36.8         32.2         23.1         23.2
FEATHER           PROB:   26.2         21.1         18.4         16.4
OROVILLE           MIN:   23.8         19.4         17.0         15.3

HLEC1              MAX:   27.2         26.6         26.4         25.7
YUBA              PROB:   26.9         26.4         25.7         25.5
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   26.8         26.1         25.7         25.5

FOLC1              MAX:   47.2         33.4         29.0         26.4
AMERICAN          PROB:   36.6         29.4         25.9         24.3
FOLSOM             MIN:   33.9         28.0         25.3         24.0

CMPC1              MAX:   25.2         15.4         11.9         10.8
MOKELUMNE         PROB:   18.7         12.6          9.1          6.6
PARDEE             MIN:   13.6         10.6          6.9          4.9

NMSC1              MAX:   31.2         21.6         18.9         15.4
STANISLAUS        PROB:   23.4         18.3         15.2         12.3
NEW MELONES        MIN:   21.1         16.4         13.1         10.3

NDPC1              MAX:   65.8         49.4         48.7         41.0
TUOLUMNE          PROB:   51.0         42.4         37.3         30.0
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:   45.9         35.6         30.3         24.2

POHC1              MAX:   19.6         19.1         19.2         14.9
MERCED RIVER      PROB:   16.0         14.9         15.2         11.8
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:   13.9         11.8         11.0          8.8

EXQC1              MAX:   26.6         25.9         25.8         20.7
MERCED            PROB:   21.7         20.8         20.5         16.1
EXCHEQUER          MIN:   19.5         17.0         15.0         11.8

FRAC1              MAX:   69.1         70.8         75.0         59.5
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:   57.0         56.0         57.5         48.3
MILLERTON          MIN:   50.1         45.9         44.0         37.4

PFTC1              MAX:   63.9         64.3         65.9         53.9
KINGS             PROB:   54.0         52.4         51.0         44.6
PINE FLAT          MIN:   46.8         41.5         39.1         32.6

TMDC1              MAX:    9.9         11.9         11.5          8.8
KAWEAH            PROB:    8.1          9.2          8.7          7.4
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    6.9          7.3          6.5          5.2

SCSC1              MAX:    0.9          1.0          1.1          1.0
TULE              PROB:    0.7          0.8          0.9          0.9
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.7          0.7          0.8          0.6

ISAC1              MAX:   12.4         14.3         13.4         11.7
KERN              PROB:   11.2         11.1         10.4          9.3
LK ISABELLA        MIN:   10.1          9.5          8.4          7.1

BCAC1              MAX:    0.5          0.5          0.4          0.4
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    0.5          0.4          0.4          0.4
BOCA               MIN:    0.5          0.4          0.4          0.4

FARC1              MAX:   14.9         12.1         10.8          9.9
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:   13.5         11.1         10.0          9.2
FARAD              MIN:   12.6         10.8          9.7          9.0

WOOC1              MAX:    3.3          2.7          2.3          2.3
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    2.5          2.0          1.7          1.3
WOODFORDS          MIN:    2.1          1.7          1.3          1.1

STWN2              MAX:   14.2         12.0         11.0          8.9
CARSON RIVER      PROB:   10.6          9.1          7.9          6.3
CARSON CITY        MIN:    9.4          7.5          5.4          4.2

WWBC1              MAX:   13.5         12.3         12.5         10.3
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:   12.1         10.6          9.8          8.2
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:   10.4          8.2          7.1          6.0

BPRC1              MAX:    4.8          5.2          4.9          4.4
EAST WALKER       PROB:    4.1          4.3          4.2          3.5
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    3.8          3.5          3.2          2.8

PALN2              MAX:    8.1         14.6         16.6         10.9
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    6.8          9.1         10.2          8.1
PALISADE           MIN:    6.4          6.7          6.1          4.6

MHSN2              MAX:    1.6          2.6          2.0          1.6
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    1.3          1.6          1.3          1.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    1.2          1.1          0.9          0.7

HREN2              MAX:    5.9         10.0          9.7          7.3
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    4.4          6.7          6.6          4.9
ELKO               MIN:    3.9          3.8          3.6          2.9

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.4/   9.8/   7.4/   6.3
.ER WMSO3 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   11.3/  11.9/   9.0/   7.2
.ER WMSO3 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   13.7/  19.4/  14.0/  10.8
.ER FTJC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.3/   2.4/   2.0/   1.7
.ER FTJC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   2.8/   2.3/   1.9
.ER FTJC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    7.3/   4.9/   3.4/   2.8
.ER CEGC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   12.4/   6.7/   4.9/   4.1
.ER CEGC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   17.1/   8.4/   5.4/   4.4
.ER CEGC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   29.1/  13.8/   8.8/   6.8
.ER SHDC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   50.0/  46.9/  42.6/  39.7
.ER SHDC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   54.0/  53.2/  46.8/  42.3
.ER SHDC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   87.0/  89.9/  65.4/  62.0
.ER ORDC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   23.8/  19.4/  17.0/  15.3
.ER ORDC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   26.2/  21.1/  18.4/  16.4
.ER ORDC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   36.8/  32.2/  23.1/  23.2
.ER HLEC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   26.8/  26.1/  25.7/  25.5
.ER HLEC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   26.9/  26.4/  25.7/  25.5
.ER HLEC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   27.2/  26.6/  26.4/  25.7
.ER FOLC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   33.9/  28.0/  25.3/  24.0
.ER FOLC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   36.6/  29.4/  25.9/  24.3
.ER FOLC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   47.2/  33.4/  29.0/  26.4
.ER CMPC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   13.6/  10.6/   6.9/   4.9
.ER CMPC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   18.7/  12.6/   9.1/   6.6
.ER CMPC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   25.2/  15.4/  11.9/  10.8
.ER NMSC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   21.1/  16.4/  13.1/  10.3
.ER NMSC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   23.4/  18.3/  15.2/  12.3
.ER NMSC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   31.2/  21.6/  18.9/  15.4
.ER NDPC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   45.9/  35.6/  30.3/  24.2
.ER NDPC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   51.0/  42.4/  37.3/  30.0
.ER NDPC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   65.8/  49.4/  48.7/  41.0
.ER POHC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   13.9/  11.8/  11.0/   8.8
.ER POHC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   16.0/  14.9/  15.2/  11.8
.ER POHC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   19.6/  19.1/  19.2/  14.9
.ER EXQC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   19.5/  17.0/  15.0/  11.8
.ER EXQC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   21.7/  20.8/  20.5/  16.1
.ER EXQC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   26.6/  25.9/  25.8/  20.7
.ER FRAC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   50.1/  45.9/  44.0/  37.4
.ER FRAC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   57.0/  56.0/  57.5/  48.3
.ER FRAC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   69.1/  70.8/  75.0/  59.5
.ER PFTC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   46.8/  41.5/  39.1/  32.6
.ER PFTC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   54.0/  52.4/  51.0/  44.6
.ER PFTC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   63.9/  64.3/  65.9/  53.9
.ER TMDC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.9/   7.3/   6.5/   5.2
.ER TMDC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    8.1/   9.2/   8.7/   7.4
.ER TMDC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    9.9/  11.9/  11.5/   8.8
.ER SCSC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.8/   0.6
.ER SCSC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.8/   0.9/   0.9
.ER SCSC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   1.0/   1.1/   1.0
.ER ISAC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.1/   9.5/   8.4/   7.1
.ER ISAC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   11.2/  11.1/  10.4/   9.3
.ER ISAC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   12.4/  14.3/  13.4/  11.7
.ER BCAC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER BCAC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER BCAC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.4/   0.4
.ER FARC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   12.6/  10.8/   9.7/   9.0
.ER FARC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   13.5/  11.1/  10.0/   9.2
.ER FARC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   14.9/  12.1/  10.8/   9.9
.ER WOOC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.1/   1.7/   1.3/   1.1
.ER WOOC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.5/   2.0/   1.7/   1.3
.ER WOOC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.3/   2.7/   2.3/   2.3
.ER STWN2 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    9.4/   7.5/   5.4/   4.2
.ER STWN2 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.6/   9.1/   7.9/   6.3
.ER STWN2 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   14.2/  12.0/  11.0/   8.9
.ER WWBC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.4/   8.2/   7.1/   6.0
.ER WWBC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   12.1/  10.6/   9.8/   8.2
.ER WWBC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   13.5/  12.3/  12.5/  10.3
.ER BPRC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.5/   3.2/   2.8
.ER BPRC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   4.3/   4.2/   3.5
.ER BPRC1 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.8/   5.2/   4.9/   4.4
.ER PALN2 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    6.4/   6.7/   6.1/   4.6
.ER PALN2 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    6.8/   9.1/  10.2/   8.1
.ER PALN2 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    8.1/  14.6/  16.6/  10.9
.ER MHSN2 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.1/   0.9/   0.7
.ER MHSN2 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.6/   1.3/   1.1
.ER MHSN2 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.6/   2.6/   2.0/   1.6
.ER HREN2 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.9/   3.8/   3.6/   2.9
.ER HREN2 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   6.7/   6.6/   4.9
.ER HREN2 20180530 Z DH12/DC201805251200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.9/  10.0/   9.7/   7.3

$$