National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
757 AM PLT SUN OCT 20 2019

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         10/25        10/30        11/04        11/09  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    5.7          5.7          5.8          6.3
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    5.6          5.6          5.7          5.9
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    5.6          5.6          5.7          5.8

FTJC1              MAX:    0.5          0.6          0.8          1.0
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.4          0.6          0.5          0.6
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.4          0.6          0.5          0.5

CEGC1              MAX:    0.9          0.8          1.9          4.1
TRINITY           PROB:    0.8          0.7          0.7          1.0
TRINITY LK         MIN:    0.8          0.7          0.6          0.6

SHDC1              MAX:   35.4         35.2         38.5         45.3
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   35.0         34.5         34.4         35.7
SHASTA             MIN:   35.0         34.5         34.3         34.0

ORDC1              MAX:   25.9         25.5         27.4         35.5
FEATHER           PROB:   25.7         25.0         24.6         24.9
OROVILLE           MIN:   25.7         25.0         24.5         24.0

HLEC1              MAX:    5.8          6.1          6.5          7.0
YUBA              PROB:    5.8          6.0          6.0          6.1
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:    5.8          6.0          6.0          6.0

FOLC1              MAX:   14.8         15.8         16.9         20.5
AMERICAN          PROB:   14.7         15.3         15.4         15.7
FOLSOM             MIN:   14.7         15.3         15.3         15.2

CMPC1              MAX:    1.2          1.3          1.5          2.1
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    1.2          1.1          1.2          1.2
PARDEE             MIN:    1.2          1.1          1.1          1.0

NMSC1              MAX:    1.6          1.7          2.7          3.4
STANISLAUS        PROB:    1.5          1.4          1.5          1.7
NEW MELONES        MIN:    1.5          1.4          1.4          1.4

NDPC1              MAX:    2.0          2.4          4.4          6.3
TUOLUMNE          PROB:    1.9          1.9          2.2          2.7
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:    1.9          1.9          2.0          2.0

POHC1              MAX:    0.4          0.4          0.6          0.9
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.5
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4

EXQC1              MAX:    1.2          1.4          2.2          2.7
MERCED            PROB:    1.1          1.1          1.3          1.6
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    1.1          1.1          1.2          1.3

FRAC1              MAX:    4.0          3.9          4.2          4.4
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:    4.0          3.6          3.4          3.5
MILLERTON          MIN:    4.0          3.6          3.4          3.3

PFTC1              MAX:    4.5          4.5          5.1          5.2
KINGS             PROB:    4.4          4.3          4.3          4.5
PINE FLAT          MIN:    4.4          4.3          4.3          4.3

TMDC1              MAX:    0.8          0.9          1.0          1.1
KAWEAH            PROB:    0.8          0.8          0.8          0.8
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    0.8          0.8          0.8          0.7

SCSC1              MAX:    0.5          0.5          0.6          0.6
TULE              PROB:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4

ISAC1              MAX:    3.8          3.8          4.1          4.3
KERN              PROB:    3.8          3.6          3.6          3.6
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    3.8          3.6          3.5          3.4

BCAC1              MAX:    1.3          1.3          1.3          1.4
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    1.3          1.3          1.3          1.3
BOCA               MIN:    1.3          1.3          1.3          1.3

FARC1              MAX:    4.0          3.9          4.0          4.0
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    3.9          3.8          3.8          3.7
FARAD              MIN:    3.9          3.8          3.7          3.7

WOOC1              MAX:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.3          0.3          0.3          0.3

GRDN2              MAX:    0.8          0.8          0.9          1.0
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.7          0.7          0.7          0.8
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:    0.7          0.7          0.7          0.7

STWN2              MAX:    1.4          1.4          1.7          1.9
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    1.3          1.3          1.4          1.4
CARSON CITY        MIN:    1.3          1.3          1.3          1.3

WWBC1              MAX:    0.5          0.4          0.4          0.3
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    0.5          0.4          0.3          0.3
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    0.5          0.4          0.3          0.3

BPRC1              MAX:    0.9          0.9          0.9          1.0
EAST WALKER       PROB:    0.9          0.8          0.8          0.9
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    0.9          0.8          0.8          0.8

PALN2              MAX:    1.3          1.4          1.4          1.5
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    1.3          1.2          1.2          1.3
PALISADE           MIN:    1.2          1.2          1.2          1.2

MHSN2              MAX:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

HREN2              MAX:    0.5          0.6          0.6          0.7
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.6
ELKO               MIN:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.5

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.6/   5.6/   5.7/   5.8
.ER WMSO3 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.6/   5.6/   5.7/   5.9
.ER WMSO3 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.7/   5.7/   5.8/   6.3
.ER FTJC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.6/   0.5/   0.5
.ER FTJC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.6/   0.5/   0.6
.ER FTJC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.6/   0.8/   1.0
.ER CEGC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.6/   0.6
.ER CEGC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.7/   0.7/   1.0
.ER CEGC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.8/   1.9/   4.1
.ER SHDC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   35.0/  34.5/  34.3/  34.0
.ER SHDC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   35.0/  34.5/  34.4/  35.7
.ER SHDC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   35.4/  35.2/  38.5/  45.3
.ER ORDC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   25.7/  25.0/  24.5/  24.0
.ER ORDC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   25.7/  25.0/  24.6/  24.9
.ER ORDC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   25.9/  25.5/  27.4/  35.5
.ER HLEC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.8/   6.0/   6.0/   6.0
.ER HLEC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.8/   6.0/   6.0/   6.1
.ER HLEC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.8/   6.1/   6.5/   7.0
.ER FOLC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   14.7/  15.3/  15.3/  15.2
.ER FOLC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   14.7/  15.3/  15.4/  15.7
.ER FOLC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   14.8/  15.8/  16.9/  20.5
.ER CMPC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.1/   1.1/   1.0
.ER CMPC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.1/   1.2/   1.2
.ER CMPC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.3/   1.5/   2.1
.ER NMSC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.4/   1.4/   1.4
.ER NMSC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.4/   1.5/   1.7
.ER NMSC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.6/   1.7/   2.7/   3.4
.ER NDPC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.9/   2.0/   2.0
.ER NDPC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.9/   1.9/   2.2/   2.7
.ER NDPC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   2.4/   4.4/   6.3
.ER POHC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER POHC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.5
.ER POHC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.6/   0.9
.ER EXQC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.1/   1.2/   1.3
.ER EXQC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.1/   1.3/   1.6
.ER EXQC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.4/   2.2/   2.7
.ER FRAC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   3.6/   3.4/   3.3
.ER FRAC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   3.6/   3.4/   3.5
.ER FRAC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   3.9/   4.2/   4.4
.ER PFTC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   4.3/   4.3/   4.3
.ER PFTC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.4/   4.3/   4.3/   4.5
.ER PFTC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.5/   4.5/   5.1/   5.2
.ER TMDC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.8/   0.7
.ER TMDC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.8/   0.8
.ER TMDC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.9/   1.0/   1.1
.ER SCSC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER SCSC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER SCSC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.6/   0.6
.ER ISAC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.6/   3.5/   3.4
.ER ISAC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.6/   3.6/   3.6
.ER ISAC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.8/   3.8/   4.1/   4.3
.ER BCAC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.3/   1.3/   1.3
.ER BCAC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.3/   1.3/   1.3
.ER BCAC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.3/   1.3/   1.4
.ER FARC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    3.9/   3.8/   3.7/   3.7
.ER FARC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.9/   3.8/   3.8/   3.7
.ER FARC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   3.9/   4.0/   4.0
.ER WOOC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WOOC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WOOC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.3/   0.3
.ER GRDN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER GRDN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.7/   0.8
.ER GRDN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.8/   0.8/   0.9/   1.0
.ER STWN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.3/   1.3/   1.3
.ER STWN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.3/   1.4/   1.4
.ER STWN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.4/   1.7/   1.9
.ER WWBC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WWBC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.3/   0.3
.ER WWBC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.4/   0.4/   0.3
.ER BPRC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.8/   0.8/   0.8
.ER BPRC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.8/   0.8/   0.9
.ER BPRC1 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.9/   1.0
.ER PALN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.2/   1.2/   1.2/   1.2
.ER PALN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.2/   1.2/   1.3
.ER PALN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.4/   1.4/   1.5
.ER MHSN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER MHSN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER HREN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.6
.ER HREN2 20191025 Z DH12/DC201910201200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.6/   0.6/   0.7

$$