National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
859 AM PLT WED AUG 15 2018

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         08/20        08/25        08/30        09/04  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    4.7          4.7          4.8          4.8
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    4.6          4.6          4.6          4.7
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    4.6          4.6          4.6          4.7

FTJC1              MAX:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0

CEGC1              MAX:    0.9          0.9          1.0          1.1
TRINITY           PROB:    0.9          0.8          0.8          0.7
TRINITY LK         MIN:    0.9          0.8          0.8          0.7

SHDC1              MAX:   29.4         29.5         29.6         30.2
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   29.2         29.0         28.9         28.9
SHASTA             MIN:   29.2         29.0         28.9         28.9

ORDC1              MAX:   18.6         18.7         18.5         18.2
FEATHER           PROB:   18.6         18.3         18.0         17.8
OROVILLE           MIN:   18.6         18.3         18.0         17.7

HLEC1              MAX:   10.9         11.2         11.1         11.1
YUBA              PROB:   10.9         11.1         11.1         11.0
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   10.9         11.1         11.1         11.0

FOLC1              MAX:   14.9         14.9         14.8         14.8
AMERICAN          PROB:   14.9         14.7         14.7         14.6
FOLSOM             MIN:   14.9         14.7         14.7         14.6

CMPC1              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.3
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1
PARDEE             MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

NMSC1              MAX:    1.5          1.4          1.2          1.2
STANISLAUS        PROB:    1.5          1.3          1.1          1.0
NEW MELONES        MIN:    1.5          1.3          1.1          1.0

NDPC1              MAX:    1.3          1.1          1.0          1.1
TUOLUMNE          PROB:    1.3          1.0          0.9          0.8
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:    1.3          1.0          0.9          0.8

POHC1              MAX:    0.7          0.6          0.6          0.5
MERCED RIVER      PROB:    0.7          0.6          0.6          0.5
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:    0.7          0.6          0.6          0.5

EXQC1              MAX:    0.9          0.9          0.8          0.7
MERCED            PROB:    0.9          0.8          0.8          0.7
EXCHEQUER          MIN:    0.9          0.8          0.8          0.7

FRAC1              MAX:    4.2          3.9          3.5          3.4
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:    4.1          3.6          3.2          2.8
MILLERTON          MIN:    4.0          3.6          3.2          2.8

PFTC1              MAX:    4.3          4.0          3.6          3.4
KINGS             PROB:    4.0          3.6          3.3          3.0
PINE FLAT          MIN:    4.0          3.5          3.2          2.9

TMDC1              MAX:    1.0          0.9          0.8          0.8
KAWEAH            PROB:    1.0          0.9          0.8          0.8
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    1.0          0.9          0.8          0.8

SCSC1              MAX:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
TULE              PROB:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0

ISAC1              MAX:    2.5          2.4          2.3          2.2
KERN              PROB:    2.5          2.3          2.3          2.2
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    2.5          2.3          2.2          2.1

BCAC1              MAX:    0.9          0.9          0.9          0.9
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    0.9          0.9          0.9          0.9
BOCA               MIN:    0.9          0.9          0.9          0.9

FARC1              MAX:    5.6          5.5          5.5          5.4
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    5.6          5.5          5.4          5.3
FARAD              MIN:    5.6          5.5          5.4          5.3

WOOC1              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

STWN2              MAX:    0.2          0.1          0.1          0.1
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    0.2          0.1          0.1          0.0
CARSON CITY        MIN:    0.2          0.1          0.1          0.0

WWBC1              MAX:    1.1          1.0          0.9          0.8
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    1.1          0.9          0.9          0.8
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    1.0          0.9          0.9          0.8

BPRC1              MAX:    0.6          0.5          0.5          0.5
EAST WALKER       PROB:    0.6          0.5          0.5          0.4
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    0.6          0.5          0.5          0.4

PALN2              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
PALISADE           MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

MHSN2              MAX:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0

HREN2              MAX:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
ELKO               MIN:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.6/   4.6/   4.6/   4.7
.ER WMSO3 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.6/   4.6/   4.6/   4.7
.ER WMSO3 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.7/   4.7/   4.8/   4.8
.ER FTJC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER FTJC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER FTJC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER CEGC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.8/   0.8/   0.7
.ER CEGC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.8/   0.8/   0.7
.ER CEGC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   1.0/   1.1
.ER SHDC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   29.2/  29.0/  28.9/  28.9
.ER SHDC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   29.2/  29.0/  28.9/  28.9
.ER SHDC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   29.4/  29.5/  29.6/  30.2
.ER ORDC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   18.6/  18.3/  18.0/  17.7
.ER ORDC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   18.6/  18.3/  18.0/  17.8
.ER ORDC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   18.6/  18.7/  18.5/  18.2
.ER HLEC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.9/  11.1/  11.1/  11.0
.ER HLEC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.9/  11.1/  11.1/  11.0
.ER HLEC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   10.9/  11.2/  11.1/  11.1
.ER FOLC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   14.9/  14.7/  14.7/  14.6
.ER FOLC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   14.9/  14.7/  14.7/  14.6
.ER FOLC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   14.9/  14.9/  14.8/  14.8
.ER CMPC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER CMPC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER CMPC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.3
.ER NMSC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.3/   1.1/   1.0
.ER NMSC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.3/   1.1/   1.0
.ER NMSC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.4/   1.2/   1.2
.ER NDPC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.0/   0.9/   0.8
.ER NDPC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.0/   0.9/   0.8
.ER NDPC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.3/   1.1/   1.0/   1.1
.ER POHC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.6/   0.6/   0.5
.ER POHC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.6/   0.6/   0.5
.ER POHC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.6/   0.6/   0.5
.ER EXQC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.8/   0.8/   0.7
.ER EXQC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.8/   0.8/   0.7
.ER EXQC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.8/   0.7
.ER FRAC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   3.6/   3.2/   2.8
.ER FRAC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.1/   3.6/   3.2/   2.8
.ER FRAC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.2/   3.9/   3.5/   3.4
.ER PFTC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   3.5/   3.2/   2.9
.ER PFTC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    4.0/   3.6/   3.3/   3.0
.ER PFTC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    4.3/   4.0/   3.6/   3.4
.ER TMDC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.9/   0.8/   0.8
.ER TMDC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.9/   0.8/   0.8
.ER TMDC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.9/   0.8/   0.8
.ER SCSC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER SCSC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER SCSC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER ISAC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.5/   2.3/   2.2/   2.1
.ER ISAC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.5/   2.3/   2.3/   2.2
.ER ISAC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.5/   2.4/   2.3/   2.2
.ER BCAC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.9/   0.9
.ER BCAC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.9/   0.9
.ER BCAC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.9/   0.9/   0.9/   0.9
.ER FARC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.6/   5.5/   5.4/   5.3
.ER FARC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.6/   5.5/   5.4/   5.3
.ER FARC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.6/   5.5/   5.5/   5.4
.ER WOOC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WOOC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WOOC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER STWN2 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.1/   0.1/   0.0
.ER STWN2 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.1/   0.1/   0.0
.ER STWN2 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER WWBC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   0.9/   0.9/   0.8
.ER WWBC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   0.9/   0.9/   0.8
.ER WWBC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.0/   0.9/   0.8
.ER BPRC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.5/   0.4
.ER BPRC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.5/   0.4
.ER BPRC1 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER PALN2 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER PALN2 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER PALN2 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER MHSN2 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER MHSN2 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER MHSN2 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER HREN2 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER HREN2 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER HREN2 20180820 Z DH12/DC201808151200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0

$$