National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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20-Day Snowmelt Guidance (Raw Model Output)

ZCZC RNOHFSESP
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE / CALIFORNIA-NEVADA RFC / SACRAMENTO CA
CALIFORNIA DEPARTMENT OF WATER RESOURCES / SACRAMENTO CA
848 AM PLT SAT NOV 17 2018

CHPS/ESP MODEL GUIDANCE (SRC=D)
SEE WWW.CNRFC.NOAA.GOV/WATER_RESOURCES_UPDATE.PHP FOR ADDITIONAL INFORMATION

5-DAY STREAMFLOW VOLUMES IN 1000AF

                        <------ 5 DAY PERIODS ENDING AT 12Z ON ------>   
                         11/22        11/27        12/02        12/07  
                         -----        -----        -----        -----   
WMSO3              MAX:    5.5          6.3          6.4          7.0
WILLIAMSON RIVER  PROB:    5.5          5.8          5.8          5.8
CHILOQUIN          MIN:    5.5          5.6          5.6          5.5

FTJC1              MAX:    0.6          3.4          2.8          8.6
SCOTT RIVER       PROB:    0.3          0.5          0.4          0.9
FORT JONES         MIN:    0.3          0.3          0.2          0.2

CEGC1              MAX:    2.5          6.5          8.7          9.6
TRINITY           PROB:    1.1          2.0          1.0          2.3
TRINITY LK         MIN:    0.5          0.5          0.3          0.3

SHDC1              MAX:   42.2         66.5         67.4        106.4
SACRAMENTO        PROB:   31.2         37.0         33.5         37.2
SHASTA             MIN:   29.1         30.2         28.0         27.6

ORDC1              MAX:   12.6         28.1         35.2         58.9
FEATHER           PROB:    9.2         12.6         11.4         13.9
OROVILLE           MIN:    8.5          9.3          8.1          8.1

HLEC1              MAX:   11.6         13.0         15.5         19.3
YUBA              PROB:   10.9         11.4         11.0         11.3
ENGLEBRIGHT FNF    MIN:   10.7         10.9         10.8         10.8

FOLC1              MAX:   10.0         16.6         25.8         43.2
AMERICAN          PROB:    9.0         10.8          9.9         10.3
FOLSOM             MIN:    8.8          9.7          8.8          8.6

CMPC1              MAX:    0.5          1.6          3.1          6.5
MOKELUMNE         PROB:    0.2          0.4          0.3          0.4
PARDEE             MIN:    0.1          0.2          0.1          0.1

NMSC1              MAX:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0
STANISLAUS        PROB:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0
NEW MELONES        MIN:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0

NDPC1              MAX:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0
TUOLUMNE          PROB:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0
NEW DON PEDRO      MIN:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0

POHC1              MAX:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0
MERCED RIVER      PROB:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0
POHONO BRIDGE      MIN:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0

EXQC1              MAX:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0
MERCED            PROB:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0
EXCHEQUER          MIN:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0

FRAC1              MAX:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0
SAN JOAQUIN       PROB:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0
MILLERTON          MIN:-9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0      -9999.0

PFTC1              MAX:    2.0          3.6          4.1          8.4
KINGS             PROB:    1.5          1.9          1.6          1.8
PINE FLAT          MIN:    1.4          1.5          1.4          1.4

TMDC1              MAX:    0.4          1.9          1.8          5.0
KAWEAH            PROB:    0.4          0.5          0.5          0.5
LK KAWEAH          MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4

SCSC1              MAX:    0.4          0.9          0.6          1.5
TULE              PROB:    0.2          0.3          0.2          0.3
LK SUCCESS         MIN:    0.1          0.2          0.1          0.1

ISAC1              MAX:    2.7          3.9          3.5          5.3
KERN              PROB:    2.1          2.3          2.0          2.3
LK ISABELLA        MIN:    2.0          2.0          1.9          1.9

BCAC1              MAX:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.5
LITTLE TRUCKEE    PROB:    0.4          0.5          0.5          0.5
BOCA               MIN:    0.4          0.4          0.4          0.4

FARC1              MAX:    3.1          3.2          3.4          3.5
TRUCKEE RIVER     PROB:    3.0          3.0          3.0          3.1
FARAD              MIN:    2.9          2.9          3.0          3.1

WOOC1              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
WF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
WOODFORDS          MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

GRDN2              MAX:    0.7          0.7          0.7          0.7
EF CARSON RIVER   PROB:    0.6          0.6          0.6          0.6
GARDNERVILLE       MIN:    0.6          0.6          0.6          0.5

STWN2              MAX:    1.1          1.5          1.4          1.7
CARSON RIVER      PROB:    1.0          1.3          1.1          1.1
CARSON CITY        MIN:    1.0          1.1          0.9          0.9

WWBC1              MAX:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.3
W WALKER RIVER    PROB:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2
BLO LITTLE WALKER  MIN:    0.2          0.2          0.2          0.2

BPRC1              MAX:    0.6          0.6          0.6          0.7
EAST WALKER       PROB:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.5
BRIDGEPORT         MIN:    0.5          0.5          0.5          0.4

PALN2              MAX:    0.5          0.6          0.7          0.8
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.4          0.5          0.5          0.6
PALISADE           MIN:    0.4          0.5          0.5          0.5

MHSN2              MAX:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
MARYS RIVER       PROB:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0
ABV HOT SPRGS CK   MIN:    0.0          0.0          0.0          0.0

HREN2              MAX:    0.1          0.2          0.3          0.3
HUMBOLDT RIVER    PROB:    0.1          0.2          0.2          0.2
ELKO               MIN:    0.1          0.1          0.1          0.1

MAX:  REASONABLE MAXIMUM (10% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
PROB: MOST PROBABLE      (50% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)
MIN:  REASONABLE MINIMUM (90% PROBABILITY OF EXCEEDANCE)

FORECASTS EXPRESSED IN SHEF:
.ER WMSO3 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   5.6/   5.6/   5.5
.ER WMSO3 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   5.8/   5.8/   5.8
.ER WMSO3 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    5.5/   6.3/   6.4/   7.0
.ER FTJC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.3/   0.2/   0.2
.ER FTJC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.3/   0.5/   0.4/   0.9
.ER FTJC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   3.4/   2.8/   8.6
.ER CEGC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.3/   0.3
.ER CEGC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   2.0/   1.0/   2.3
.ER CEGC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.5/   6.5/   8.7/   9.6
.ER SHDC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   29.1/  30.2/  28.0/  27.6
.ER SHDC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   31.2/  37.0/  33.5/  37.2
.ER SHDC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   42.2/  66.5/  67.4/ 106.4
.ER ORDC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    8.5/   9.3/   8.1/   8.1
.ER ORDC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.2/  12.6/  11.4/  13.9
.ER ORDC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   12.6/  28.1/  35.2/  58.9
.ER HLEC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1   10.7/  10.9/  10.8/  10.8
.ER HLEC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1   10.9/  11.4/  11.0/  11.3
.ER HLEC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   11.6/  13.0/  15.5/  19.3
.ER FOLC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    8.8/   9.7/   8.8/   8.6
.ER FOLC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    9.0/  10.8/   9.9/  10.3
.ER FOLC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1   10.0/  16.6/  25.8/  43.2
.ER CMPC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.2/   0.1/   0.1
.ER CMPC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.4/   0.3/   0.4
.ER CMPC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   1.6/   3.1/   6.5
.ER NMSC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER NMSC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER NMSC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER NDPC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER NDPC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER NDPC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER POHC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER POHC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER POHC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER EXQC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER EXQC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER EXQC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER FRAC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER FRAC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER FRAC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1 -9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0/-9999.0
.ER PFTC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.4/   1.5/   1.4/   1.4
.ER PFTC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.5/   1.9/   1.6/   1.8
.ER PFTC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   3.6/   4.1/   8.4
.ER TMDC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER TMDC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER TMDC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   1.9/   1.8/   5.0
.ER SCSC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.2/   0.1/   0.1
.ER SCSC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.3/   0.2/   0.3
.ER SCSC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.9/   0.6/   1.5
.ER ISAC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.0/   2.0/   1.9/   1.9
.ER ISAC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    2.1/   2.3/   2.0/   2.3
.ER ISAC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    2.7/   3.9/   3.5/   5.3
.ER BCAC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.4/   0.4/   0.4
.ER BCAC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER BCAC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER FARC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    2.9/   2.9/   3.0/   3.1
.ER FARC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    3.0/   3.0/   3.0/   3.1
.ER FARC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    3.1/   3.2/   3.4/   3.5
.ER WOOC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WOOC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WOOC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER GRDN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.6/   0.5
.ER GRDN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.6/   0.6
.ER GRDN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.7/   0.7/   0.7/   0.7
.ER STWN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.1/   0.9/   0.9
.ER STWN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    1.0/   1.3/   1.1/   1.1
.ER STWN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    1.1/   1.5/   1.4/   1.7
.ER WWBC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WWBC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER WWBC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.2/   0.2/   0.2/   0.3
.ER BPRC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.4
.ER BPRC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER BPRC1 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.6/   0.6/   0.6/   0.7
.ER PALN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.5/   0.5/   0.5
.ER PALN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.4/   0.5/   0.5/   0.6
.ER PALN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.5/   0.6/   0.7/   0.8
.ER MHSN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER MHSN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER MHSN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.0/   0.0/   0.0/   0.0
.ER HREN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ9/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.1/   0.1/   0.1
.ER HREN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ5/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.2/   0.2/   0.2
.ER HREN2 20181122 Z DH12/DC201811171200/DUE/DVD05/QCVFEZ1/DID05
.ER1    0.1/   0.2/   0.3/   0.3

$$