National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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TUOLUMNE RIVER - MODESTO (MDSC1)
Latitude: 37.63º NLongitude: 120.99º WElevation: 60 Feet
Location: Stanislaus County in CaliforniaRiver Group: San Joaquin
Monitor Stage: 50.5 FeetFlood Stage: 55.0 Feet

Observed Data Credit
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Raw streamflow data is provided by the US Geological Survey (USGS).
View USGS Data for this station location.

Historical Stage/Flow Data
Note: Water Year 2025 is currently showing peak daily mean values. These will be updated to instantaneous peaks in the coming months.
Water Year
Peak Discharge (cfs)
Stage (feet)
Date
 Most Recent 5 Years
2025* 1,420 40.56 Mar 19, 2025
2024* 5,750 48.86 Mar 3, 2024
2023* 10,800 54.79 Mar 31, 2023
2022* 1,710 41.32 Apr 17, 2022
2021* 2,220 42.45 Apr 16, 2021
 Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - February 1895 to Present)** - Ranked by Flow
1951* 57,000 69.19 Dec 9, 1950
1997* 55,800 71.21*** Jan 4, 1997
1956* 37,600 66.43 Dec 25, 1955
1969* 32,600 65.42 Jan 27, 1969
1895 19,600 20.70 Feb 13, 1895
1940* 18,200 63.10 Mar 27, 1940
 * Discharge affected to unknown degree by regulation or diversion
 ** Most recent continuous record back to 1943 with segmented periods back to Feb 1895
 *** Backwater effect caused by debris on railroad trestle 1500 ft downstream of gage
Location Photographs
ESRI™ Locator Map
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ019)
Tonight: A chance of rain early in the evening, then rain in the late evening and overnight. Lows 45 to 51. Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 25 mph.

washingtons birthday: Rain. Patchy fog. Highs 49 to 54. East winds 10 to 15 mph shifting to the south in the afternoon. Gusts up to 25 mph.

Monday Night: Mostly cloudy. Patchy fog in the evening. Rain in the evening, then a chance of rain after midnight. Lows 39 to 44. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Tuesday: Rain, breezy. Highs 44 to 51. South winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph increasing to 15 to 25 mph with gusts to around 40 mph in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Rain showers and a slight chance of thunderstorms in the evening, then rain likely after midnight. Lows 34 to 39. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Highs 46 to 51.

Wednesday Night: Rain likely. Lows around 38.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with rain likely. Highs 46 to 52.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows 33 to 38.

Friday through Saturday: Partly cloudy with a slight chance of rain. Highs 48 to 57. Lows 33 to 40.

Saturday Night and Sunday: Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain. Lows around 41. Highs around 58.
Flood Impacts
67.0 FeetExtensive flooding occurs. Flows in excess of 40,000 cfs could cause extensive damage to residential, industrial and commercial development in Modesto downstream of gage.
55.0 FeetThis is channel capacity through downtown Modesto.
Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS Sacramento Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.