National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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BEAR CREEK - MCKEE ROAD (MEEC1)
Latitude: 37.31º NLongitude: 120.44º WElevation: 187 Feet
Location: Merced County in CaliforniaRiver Group: San Joaquin
Monitor Stage: 17.0 FeetFlood Stage: 23.0 Feet

Historical Stage/Flow Data
Water Year
Peak Discharge (cfs)
Stage (feet)
Date
 Most Recent 5 Years
2024
2,390
14.80
Feb 8, 2024
2023
7,390
26.16
Jan 10, 2023
2022
580
8.01
Dec 28, 2021
2021
1,860
12.25
Jan 29, 2021
2020
2,310
13.51
Apr 6, 2020
 Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - November 1956 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
1956*
9,500
22.90
Dec 25, 1955
2006
7,711
24.65
Apr 4, 2006
1958
7,400
16.90
Mar 16, 1958
2023
7,390
26.16
Jan 10, 2023
1965
5,640
--
Jan 7, 1965
1973
5,542
17.35
Feb 11, 1973
1962
5,380
--
Feb 15, 1962
 * Possible backwater effect
Location Photographs
ESRI™ Locator Map
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ302)
Today: Sunny. Highs in the upper 90s. Northwest winds up to 10 mph.

Tonight: Clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph.

Sunday: Not as warm. Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Sunday Night: Clear. Lows in the upper 40s. Northwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

Monday: Cooler, sunny. Highs in the lower 70s. Northwest winds 5 to 15 mph.

Monday Night and Tuesday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s.

Tuesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 40s.

Wednesday: Sunny. Highs around 80.

Wednesday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 50s.

Thursday: Sunny. Highs in the mid 80s.

Thursday Night and Friday: Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 80s.
Flood Impacts
27.2 FeetOn 1/10/23, the 26.18 foot Flood of Record took water up to the top of the levee system at the north end of Morse Drive and Thurman Court. This levee system has since been raised to 27.2 feet.
26.18 FeetWater impacts the bottom of the M Street and G Street Bridges. Water escapes its banks at E South Bear Creek Drive between Glen Avenue and Cameron Lane.Flood of Record - 1/10/2023
24.65 Feet2nd highest crest from 4/4/2006.
24.0 FeetAt 24 feet, the water flows towards the low point of Cooper Drive, businesses begin to flood.
23.0 FeetThe beechwood subdivision and the trailer park along the southern end of Bear Creek Drive floods in addition to Applegate Park on the south side of Bear Creek Drive.
17.0 FeetStorm drains begin to back up. Street flooding occurs primarily north of Bear Creek Drive and east of M Street.
16.0 FeetSouth bike path along Bear Creek floods downstream of the G Street bridge.
Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS San Joaquin Valley-Hanford Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.