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| Latitude: 37.31º N | Longitude: 120.44º W | Elevation: 187 Feet | |
| Location: Merced County in California | River Group: San Joaquin | ||
| Monitor Stage: 17.0 Feet | Flood Stage: 23.0 Feet |

Historical Stage/Flow Data |
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Note: Water Year 2025 is currently showing peak daily mean values. These will be updated to instantaneous peaks in the coming months. |
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Water Year
|
Peak Discharge (cfs)
|
Stage (feet)
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Date
|
| Most Recent 5 Years | |||
| 2025 | 2,571 | 15.04 | Feb 15, 2025 |
| 2024 | 2,390 | 14.80 | Feb 8, 2024 |
| 2023 | 7,513 | 26.16 | Jan 10, 2023 |
| 2022 | 580 | 8.01 | Dec 28, 2021 |
| 2021 | 1,860 | 12.25 | Jan 29, 2021 |
| Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - November 1956 to Present) - Ranked by Flow | |||
| 1956* | 9,500 | 22.90 | Dec 25, 1955 |
| 2006 | 7,711 | 24.65 | Apr 4, 2006 |
| 1958 | 7,400 | 16.90 | Mar 16, 1958 |
| 2023 | 7,390 | 26.16 | Jan 10, 2023 |
| 1965 | 5,640 | -- | Jan 7, 1965 |
| 1973 | 5,542 | 17.35 | Feb 11, 1973 |
| * Possible backwater effect | |||
| Location Photographs | ||
| ESRI™ Locator Map |
| Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast (CAZ302) |
| Tonight: Rain. Near steady temperature around 50. Southeast winds up to 10 mph. Chance of rain near 100 percent. New Years Day: Not as cool. Rain and slight chance of thunderstorms in the morning, then rain showers likely and slight chance of thunderstorms in the afternoon. Highs in the lower 60s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy. A 40 percent chance of rain in the evening. Lows in the upper 40s. Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph. Friday: Mostly cloudy. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph. Friday Night: Rain likely after midnight. Near steady temperature in the mid 50s. Southeast winds 5 to 15 mph with gusts to around 30 mph. Chance of rain 70 percent. Saturday: Rain in the morning, then rain showers in the afternoon. Near steady temperature in the mid 50s. Chance of precipitation near 100 percent. Saturday Night and Sunday: Rain showers. Near steady temperature in the mid 50s. Chance of showers 90 percent. Sunday Night: Rain showers in the evening, then rain showers likely after midnight. Lows in the upper 40s. Chance of showers 80 percent. Monday: Rain showers likely. Highs in the mid 50s. Chance of showers 70 percent. Monday Night: Cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Lows in the upper 40s. Tuesday: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the morning. Highs in the lower 50s. Chance of rain 40 percent. Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Wednesday: Partly sunny with a 30 percent chance of rain. Highs in the lower 50s. |
| Flood Impacts | |
| 27.2 Feet | On 1/10/23, the 26.18 foot Flood of Record took water up to the top of the levee system at the north end of Morse Drive and Thurman Court. This levee system has since been raised to 27.2 feet. |
| 26.18 Feet | Water impacts the bottom of the M Street and G Street Bridges. Water escapes its banks at E South Bear Creek Drive between Glen Avenue and Cameron Lane.Flood of Record - 1/10/2023 |
| 24.65 Feet | 2nd highest crest from 4/4/2006. |
| 24.0 Feet | At 24 feet, the water flows towards the low point of Cooper Drive, businesses begin to flood. |
| 23.0 Feet | The beechwood subdivision and the trailer park along the southern end of Bear Creek Drive floods in addition to Applegate Park on the south side of Bear Creek Drive. |
| 17.0 Feet | Storm drains begin to back up. Street flooding occurs primarily north of Bear Creek Drive and east of M Street. |
| 16.0 Feet | South bike path along Bear Creek floods downstream of the G Street bridge. |
| Product Disclaimer |
This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS San Joaquin Valley-Hanford Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only. |