National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

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BEAR CREEK - MCKEE ROAD (MEEC1)
Latitude: 37.31º NLongitude: 120.44º WElevation: 187 Feet
Location: Merced County in CaliforniaBulletin Group: San JoaquinRiver Group: San Joaquin
Action/Monitor: 17.0 FeetMinor Flood: 23.0 FeetModerate Flood: 24.6 FeetMajor Flood: 25.6 Feet

Observed Data Credit
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Raw streamflow data is provided by the US Army Corps of Engineers.
View US Army Corps of Engineers Data for this station location.

Historical Mean Daily Stage/Flow Data
Water Year
Peak Discharge (cfs)
Stage (feet)
Date
 Most Recent 5 Years
2025 2,571 15.04 Feb 15, 2025
2024 2,390 14.80 Feb 8, 2024
2023 7,390 26.16 Jan 10, 2023
2022 580 8.01 Dec 28, 2021
2021 1,860 12.25 Jan 29, 2021
 Historical High Stage/Flow Events (Period of Record - November 1956 to Present) - Ranked by Flow
1956* 9,500 22.90 Dec 25, 1955
2006 7,711 24.65 Apr 4, 2006
1958 7,400 16.90 Mar 16, 1958
2023 7,390 26.16 Jan 10, 2023
1965 5,640 -- Jan 7, 1965
1973 5,542 17.35 Feb 11, 1973
 * Possible backwater effect
Location Photographs
ESRI™ Locator Map
Flood Impacts
27.2 FeetOn 1/10/23, the 26.18 foot Flood of Record took water up to the top of the levee system at the north end of Morse Drive and Thurman Court. This levee system has since been raised to 27.2 feet.
26.18 FeetWater impacts the bottom of the M Street and G Street Bridges. Water escapes its banks at E South Bear Creek Drive between Glen Avenue and Cameron Lane.Flood of Record - 1/10/2023
24.65 Feet2nd highest crest from 4/4/2006.
24.0 FeetAt 24 feet, the water flows towards the low point of Cooper Drive, businesses begin to flood.
23.0 FeetThe beechwood subdivision and the trailer park along the southern end of Bear Creek Drive floods in addition to Applegate Park on the south side of Bear Creek Drive.
17.0 FeetStorm drains begin to back up. Street flooding occurs primarily north of Bear Creek Drive and east of M Street.
16.0 FeetSouth bike path along Bear Creek floods downstream of the G Street bridge.
Official 7 Day National Weather Service Forecast   (CAZ302)
Tonight: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain in the evening, then partly cloudy after midnight. Lows in the lower 40s. Southeast winds up to 5 mph.

Tuesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. East winds up to 5 mph shifting to the west in the afternoon.

Tuesday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds up to 5 mph.

Wednesday: Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s. Southeast winds up to 5 mph.

Wednesday Night: Partly cloudy in the evening then becoming cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Southeast winds up to 5 mph.

Thursday: Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of rain. Highs in the mid 50s.

Thursday Night: Mostly cloudy. Chance of rain in the evening. Lows in the mid 40s. Chance of rain 40 percent.

Friday: Partly sunny. Highs in the upper 50s.

Friday Night and Saturday: Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.

Saturday Night: Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 40s.

Sunday through Monday: Partly cloudy. Highs in the lower 60s. Lows in the lower 40s.
Product Disclaimer

This river graphic is not intended to serve as a substitute for official flood watches, warnings, advisories, or statements issued by the NWS San Joaquin Valley-Hanford Weather Forecast Office. Observations are preliminary and subject to change. River levels identified as "forecast" should be consistent with those contained in official NWS products. River levels identified as "guidance" have significant uncertainty due to future weather or reservoir regulation and are provided for planning purposes only.