Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 06/14/2025 1554Z
Data ending: 06/14/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: ARCC1 (Mad - Arcata, Nr 3 NE)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    3.7  Mean:    8.3  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.7 Mean:    8.3
2024       % of mean:    45% 

November   Obs:  152.3  Mean:   49.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  156.0 Mean:   57.9
2024       % of mean:    307% 

December   Obs:  265.3  Mean:  154.7  WY-to-date: Obs:  421.3 Mean:  212.6
2024       % of mean:    171% 

January    Obs:  195.4  Mean:  193.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  616.7 Mean:  405.8
2025       % of mean:    101% 

February   Obs:  339.7  Mean:  170.4  WY-to-date: Obs:  956.5 Mean:  574.7
2025       % of mean:    199% 

March      Obs:  226.1  Mean:  176.4  WY-to-date: Obs: 1182.6 Mean:  751.1
2025       % of mean:    128% 

April      Obs:  140.4  Mean:  104.2  WY-to-date: Obs: 1323.0 Mean:  855.3
2025       % of mean:    135% 

May        Obs:   14.2  Mean:   46.5  WY-to-date: Obs: 1337.2 Mean:  901.8
2025       % of mean:    31% 

June       Obs (thru 14@12Z):    3.4    Mean:   17.5  WY-to-date: Obs: 1340.5 Mean:  915.0
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     5     5     5     5     5
           Obs + Fcst:        8     8     8     8     8
           % of mean:                    48% 

July       Mean:    4.6
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          5     5     5     5     5
           % of mean:                   119% 

August     Mean:    2.9
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          4     4     4     4     4
           % of mean:                   146% 

September  Mean:    3.3
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          3     3     3     3     3
           % of mean:                    95% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date: 1340.5    Mean:  931.6
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    18    18    18    18    18
           Obs + Fcst:     1358  1358  1358  1358  1358
           % of mean:                   146%