National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

*** IMPORTANT ***  Week of June 16 - Website Data Outage - Due to a major computer upgrade the week of June 16, nearly all data on the CNRFC web site will not be updated. We anticipate the down time to be approximately 4 days. The latest deterministic hydrologic forecasts for official forecast points will continue to be available at the National Water Prediction Service during this time.

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 06/16/2025 1408Z
Data ending: 06/16/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: BDBC1 (Sacramento - Bend Bridge, Abv, Red Bluff, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:  215.3  Mean:  310.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  215.3 Mean:  310.6
2024       % of mean:    69% 

November   Obs:  756.5  Mean:  416.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  971.8 Mean:  727.1
2024       % of mean:    182% 

December   Obs: 1490.8  Mean:  847.4  WY-to-date: Obs: 2462.6 Mean: 1574.5
2024       % of mean:    176% 

January    Obs:  926.1  Mean: 1149.5  WY-to-date: Obs: 3388.7 Mean: 2724.0
2025       % of mean:    81% 

February   Obs: 2467.0  Mean: 1234.0  WY-to-date: Obs: 5855.7 Mean: 3946.7
2025       % of mean:    200% 

March      Obs: 1311.7  Mean: 1394.7  WY-to-date: Obs: 7167.4 Mean: 5341.4
2025       % of mean:    94% 

April      Obs:  991.5  Mean:  923.0  WY-to-date: Obs: 8158.9 Mean: 6264.4
2025       % of mean:    107% 

May        Obs:  517.0  Mean:  701.6  WY-to-date: Obs: 8675.9 Mean: 6966.0
2025       % of mean:    74% 

June       Obs (thru 16@12Z):  188.5    Mean:  465.2  WY-to-date: Obs: 8864.4 Mean: 7251.7
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:   169   169   169   170   171
           Obs + Fcst:      357   357   358   358   359
           % of mean:                    77% 

July       Mean:  306.5
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        303   303   304   306   310
           % of mean:                    99% 

August     Mean:  265.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        275   275   276   277   280
           % of mean:                   104% 

September  Mean:  266.6
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:        254   254   256   262   270
           % of mean:                    96% 

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Water Year Obs-To-Date: 8864.4    Mean: 8281.3
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:   992   995  1001  1006  1021
           Obs + Fcst:     9857  9859  9866  9870  9886
           % of mean:                   119%