Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/11/2025 1533Z
Data ending: 07/11/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: BHNC1 (Chowchilla - Buchanan Dam)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:   -0.7  Mean:    0.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   -0.7 Mean:    0.1
2024       % of mean:    -440% 

November   Obs:    0.3  Mean:    1.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   -0.4 Mean:    1.1
2024       % of mean:    31% 

December   Obs:    0.6  Mean:    5.5  WY-to-date: Obs:    0.3 Mean:    6.6
2024       % of mean:    11% 

January    Obs:    0.8  Mean:   17.0  WY-to-date: Obs:    1.0 Mean:   23.6
2025       % of mean:    5% 

February   Obs:    8.5  Mean:   17.4  WY-to-date: Obs:    9.5 Mean:   40.9
2025       % of mean:    49% 

March      Obs:   13.4  Mean:   20.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   22.9 Mean:   61.3
2025       % of mean:    66% 

April      Obs:    4.0  Mean:   10.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   27.0 Mean:   71.3
2025       % of mean:    40% 

May        Obs:    2.5  Mean:    3.6  WY-to-date: Obs:   29.5 Mean:   74.9
2025       % of mean:    70% 

June       Obs:    2.1  Mean:    1.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   31.6 Mean:   76.0
2025       % of mean:    183% 

July       Obs (thru 11@12Z):    1.3    Mean:    0.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   32.8 Mean:   76.3
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     0     0     0     0     0
           Obs + Fcst:        1     1     1     1     1
           % of mean:                   279% 

August     Mean:    0.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0
           % of mean:                     0% 

September  Mean:    0.1
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          0     0     0     0     0
           % of mean:                     0% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:   32.8    Mean:   76.8
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     0     0     0     0     0
           Obs + Fcst:       33    33    33    33    33
           % of mean:                    43%