Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/18/2025 1654Z
Data ending: 05/18/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: BKCC1 (Butte Ck - Chico, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    6.0  Mean:    7.4  WY-to-date: Obs:    6.0 Mean:    7.4
2024       % of mean:    81% 

November   Obs:   26.4  Mean:   12.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   32.4 Mean:   19.4
2024       % of mean:    221% 

December   Obs:   42.0  Mean:   28.6  WY-to-date: Obs:   74.4 Mean:   48.0
2024       % of mean:    147% 

January    Obs:   32.3  Mean:   39.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  106.7 Mean:   87.8
2025       % of mean:    81% 

February   Obs:  110.7  Mean:   44.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  217.4 Mean:  131.5
2025       % of mean:    251% 

March      Obs:   52.4  Mean:   50.7  WY-to-date: Obs:  269.8 Mean:  182.2
2025       % of mean:    103% 

April      Obs:   44.0  Mean:   37.7  WY-to-date: Obs:  313.9 Mean:  219.9
2025       % of mean:    117% 

May        Obs (thru 18@12Z):   13.3    Mean:   28.7  WY-to-date: Obs:  327.2 Mean:  237.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     7     8     8     8     8
           Obs + Fcst:       21    21    21    21    22
           % of mean:                    74% 

June       Mean:   16.7
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          9     9    10    11    13
           % of mean:                    59% 

July       Mean:   10.5
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          6     6     7     7     7
           % of mean:                    62% 

August     Mean:    8.3
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          5     5     5     5     6
           % of mean:                    64% 

September  Mean:    6.5
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          4     4     5     5     5
           % of mean:                    69% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  327.2    Mean:  291.0
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    33    33    34    36    39
           Obs + Fcst:      360   360   361   363   366
           % of mean:                   124%