National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 07/10/2025 1608Z
Data ending: 07/10/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: CBAC1 (Sf American - Placerville, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    8.4  Mean:   14.6  WY-to-date: Obs:    8.4 Mean:   14.6
2024       % of mean:    58% 

November   Obs:   12.8  Mean:   27.5  WY-to-date: Obs:   21.2 Mean:   42.1
2024       % of mean:    47% 

December   Obs:   33.4  Mean:   55.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   54.6 Mean:   97.1
2024       % of mean:    61% 

January    Obs:   29.7  Mean:   85.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   84.3 Mean:  182.3
2025       % of mean:    35% 

February   Obs:  140.7  Mean:   94.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  225.0 Mean:  276.6
2025       % of mean:    148% 

March      Obs:  116.9  Mean:  120.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  341.9 Mean:  396.6
2025       % of mean:    97% 

April      Obs:  174.1  Mean:  137.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  516.0 Mean:  534.2
2025       % of mean:    127% 

May        Obs:  139.3  Mean:  167.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  655.3 Mean:  701.4
2025       % of mean:    83% 

June       Obs:   48.3  Mean:  103.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  703.6 Mean:  805.3
2025       % of mean:    47% 

July       Obs (thru 10@12Z):    5.5    Mean:   35.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  709.1 Mean:  823.5
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    14    14    14    14    14
           Obs + Fcst:       19    19    19    19    20
           % of mean:                    54% 

August     Mean:   12.6
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         14    14    14    14    15
           % of mean:                   112% 

September  Mean:   11.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         11    11    12    13    14
           % of mean:                   106% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  709.1    Mean:  865.3
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    39    39    40    41    42
           Obs + Fcst:      748   748   749   750   751
           % of mean:                    87%