Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 08/25/2026 1451Z
Data ending: 08/25/2026 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: CEGC1 (Trinity R - Trinity Lake)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:   18.1  Mean:   15.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   18.1 Mean:   15.8
2025       % of mean:    115% 

November   Obs:   91.4  Mean:   41.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  109.5 Mean:   57.0
2025       % of mean:    222% 

December   Obs:  208.4  Mean:   84.4  WY-to-date: Obs:  317.8 Mean:  141.3
2025       % of mean:    247% 

January    Obs:  223.2  Mean:  120.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  541.0 Mean:  262.2
2026       % of mean:    185% 

February   Obs:  156.5  Mean:  134.4  WY-to-date: Obs:  697.5 Mean:  394.9
2026       % of mean:    116% 

March      Obs:  149.5  Mean:  176.0  WY-to-date: Obs:  847.0 Mean:  570.9
2026       % of mean:    85% 

April      Obs:  110.0  Mean:  199.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  957.0 Mean:  770.5
2026       % of mean:    55% 

May        Obs:   74.6  Mean:  215.7  WY-to-date: Obs: 1031.7 Mean:  986.3
2026       % of mean:    35% 

June       Obs:   32.2  Mean:  120.9  WY-to-date: Obs: 1063.8 Mean: 1107.2
2026       % of mean:    27% 

July       Obs:   17.3  Mean:   41.6  WY-to-date: Obs: 1081.2 Mean: 1148.7
2026       % of mean:    42% 

August     Obs (thru 25@12Z):    7.6    Mean:   12.7  WY-to-date: Obs: 1088.7 Mean: 1161.2
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     2     2     2     2     2
           Obs + Fcst:        9     9     9     9     9
           % of mean:                    74% 

September  Mean:    7.5
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          6     7     7     8     9
           % of mean:                    94% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date: 1088.7    Mean: 1170.5
WY2026     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:     8     8     9     9    10
           Obs + Fcst:     1097  1097  1097  1098  1099
           % of mean:                    94%