Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 04/04/2026 1528Z
Data ending: 04/04/2026 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: CHVC1 (Cherry Ck - Cherry Vly Dam)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    4.3  Mean:    7.8  WY-to-date: Obs:    4.3 Mean:    7.8
2025       % of mean:    56% 

November   Obs:   27.3  Mean:   10.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   31.6 Mean:   18.1
2025       % of mean:    263% 

December   Obs:   21.6  Mean:   15.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   53.2 Mean:   33.3
2025       % of mean:    143% 

January    Obs:   34.9  Mean:   21.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   88.1 Mean:   54.4
2026       % of mean:    165% 

February   Obs:   22.3  Mean:   20.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  110.4 Mean:   74.7
2026       % of mean:    109% 

March      Obs:   58.7  Mean:   31.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  169.0 Mean:  106.3
2026       % of mean:    186% 

April      Obs (thru 04@12Z):    8.1    Mean:   51.6  WY-to-date: Obs:  177.1 Mean:  111.5
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    31    35    39    45    50
           Obs + Fcst:       39    43    47    53    58
           % of mean:                    92% 

May        Mean:   79.0
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         19    23    27    37    60
           % of mean:                    34% 

June       Mean:   59.0
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         10    11    14    19    29
           % of mean:                    23% 

July       Mean:   22.0
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          3     3     4     5     7
           % of mean:                    17% 

August     Mean:    2.5
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          1     2     2     2     3
           % of mean:                    69% 

September  Mean:    1.7
2026       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          1     1     1     2     4
           % of mean:                    69% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  177.1    Mean:  322.2
WY2026     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    71    77    93   113   139
           Obs + Fcst:      248   254   270   290   316
           % of mean:                    84%