National Weather Service California Nevada River Forecast Center Department of Commerce National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration National Weather Service

Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/08/2025 1748Z
Data ending: 05/08/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: CNBC1 (Pit - Canby, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    2.5  Mean:    3.9  WY-to-date: Obs:    2.5 Mean:    3.9
2024       % of mean:    63% 

November   Obs:    9.2  Mean:    6.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   11.7 Mean:   10.0
2024       % of mean:    151% 

December   Obs:   12.0  Mean:   10.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   23.7 Mean:   20.4
2024       % of mean:    116% 

January    Obs:   15.5  Mean:   17.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   39.1 Mean:   37.3
2025       % of mean:    91% 

February   Obs:  103.1  Mean:   22.8  WY-to-date: Obs:  142.2 Mean:   59.9
2025       % of mean:    452% 

March      Obs:   33.1  Mean:   29.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  175.4 Mean:   89.2
2025       % of mean:    113% 

April      Obs:   29.9  Mean:   22.3  WY-to-date: Obs:  205.3 Mean:  111.5
2025       % of mean:    134% 

May        Obs (thru 08@12Z):   10.9    Mean:   26.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  216.2 Mean:  118.4
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    18    18    19    22    31
           Obs + Fcst:       28    29    30    33    42
           % of mean:                   112% 

June       Mean:   12.7
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         13    14    15    19    39
           % of mean:                   119% 

July       Mean:    2.4
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          9     9    10    12    14
           % of mean:                   403% 

August     Mean:    1.8
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          7     7     7     8    10
           % of mean:                   412% 

September  Mean:    2.9
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          8     8     8     9    10
           % of mean:                   273% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  216.2    Mean:  158.0
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    54    56    59    71   106
           Obs + Fcst:      270   272   276   287   322
           % of mean:                   175%