Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/05/2024 1633Z
Data ending: 05/05/2024 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: CNBC1 (Pit - Canby, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:    3.2  Mean:    4.0  WY-to-date: Obs:    3.2 Mean:    4.0
2023       % of mean:    81% 

November   Obs:    4.2  Mean:    6.2  WY-to-date: Obs:    7.4 Mean:   10.2
2023       % of mean:    68% 

December   Obs:    4.5  Mean:   10.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   11.9 Mean:   20.6
2023       % of mean:    43% 

January    Obs:    8.4  Mean:   16.8  WY-to-date: Obs:   20.4 Mean:   37.4
2024       % of mean:    50% 

February   Obs:   11.7  Mean:   23.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   32.0 Mean:   61.3
2024       % of mean:    50% 

March      Obs:   23.6  Mean:   28.9  WY-to-date: Obs:   55.6 Mean:   90.2
2024       % of mean:    82% 

April      Obs:   18.7  Mean:   22.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   74.3 Mean:  112.4
2024       % of mean:    84% 

May        Obs (thru 05@12Z):    5.9    Mean:   26.4  WY-to-date: Obs:   80.2 Mean:  116.0
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    22    23    26    30    41
           Obs + Fcst:       28    29    32    36    47
           % of mean:                   120% 

June       Mean:   12.6
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         12    13    15    20    30
           % of mean:                   119% 

July       Mean:    2.4
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          8     8     9    10    12
           % of mean:                   364% 

August     Mean:    1.8
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          6     6     7     8     9
           % of mean:                   362% 

September  Mean:    3.0
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:          7     7     7     8     9
           % of mean:                   248% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:   80.2    Mean:  157.9
WY2024     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    55    59    63    80    93
           Obs + Fcst:      135   140   144   160   173
           % of mean:                    91%