Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 05/17/2024 1609Z
Data ending: 05/17/2024 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: COTC1 (Battle Ck - Cottonwood, Nr)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:   15.3  Mean:   17.0  WY-to-date: Obs:   15.3 Mean:   17.0
2023       % of mean:    90% 

November   Obs:   15.2  Mean:   20.6  WY-to-date: Obs:   30.4 Mean:   37.7
2023       % of mean:    73% 

December   Obs:   20.5  Mean:   33.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   50.9 Mean:   70.8
2023       % of mean:    62% 

January    Obs:   32.0  Mean:   39.1  WY-to-date: Obs:   83.0 Mean:  109.8
2024       % of mean:    82% 

February   Obs:   49.3  Mean:   39.9  WY-to-date: Obs:  132.3 Mean:  150.9
2024       % of mean:    124% 

March      Obs:   39.3  Mean:   44.7  WY-to-date: Obs:  171.6 Mean:  195.4
2024       % of mean:    88% 

April      Obs:   38.9  Mean:   37.2  WY-to-date: Obs:  210.5 Mean:  232.4
2024       % of mean:    105% 

May        Obs (thru 17@12Z):   24.5    Mean:   36.1  WY-to-date: Obs:  235.0 Mean:  251.9
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    15    15    15    15    17
           Obs + Fcst:       39    39    40    40    41
           % of mean:                   110% 

June       Mean:   27.6
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         18    18    18    19    21
           % of mean:                    66% 

July       Mean:   19.7
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         16    16    16    16    17
           % of mean:                    82% 

August     Mean:   15.8
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         15    15    15    15    15
           % of mean:                    94% 

September  Mean:   14.8
2024       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         14    14    14    14    15
           % of mean:                    95% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date:  235.0    Mean:  345.7
WY2024     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    77    77    78    80    82
           Obs + Fcst:      312   312   313   315   317
           % of mean:                    91%