Raw ESP Water Supply Forecast

*CAUTION: Data below is raw model output and has not been reviewed
*         by a hydrologist.

Program run: 06/16/2025 1408Z
Data ending: 06/16/2025 12Z
* All units are in thousands of acre-feet.

Station: CREC1 (Smith - Crescent City, Nr 6 ENE)

MONTHLY DATA

October    Obs:   19.6  Mean:   53.2  WY-to-date: Obs:   19.6 Mean:   53.2
2024       % of mean:    37% 

November   Obs:  570.4  Mean:  221.5  WY-to-date: Obs:  590.0 Mean:  274.7
2024       % of mean:    258% 

December   Obs:  736.3  Mean:  475.0  WY-to-date: Obs: 1326.3 Mean:  749.7
2024       % of mean:    155% 

January    Obs:  456.1  Mean:  472.1  WY-to-date: Obs: 1782.4 Mean: 1221.8
2025       % of mean:    97% 

February   Obs:  589.1  Mean:  383.7  WY-to-date: Obs: 2371.5 Mean: 1602.7
2025       % of mean:    154% 

March      Obs:  687.9  Mean:  397.0  WY-to-date: Obs: 3059.4 Mean: 1999.7
2025       % of mean:    173% 

April      Obs:  344.6  Mean:  277.2  WY-to-date: Obs: 3404.0 Mean: 2276.8
2025       % of mean:    124% 

May        Obs:   64.2  Mean:  153.9  WY-to-date: Obs: 3468.2 Mean: 2430.7
2025       % of mean:    42% 

June       Obs (thru 16@12Z):   19.8    Mean:   77.4  WY-to-date: Obs: 3488.0 Mean: 2485.7
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    16    16    16    17    17
           Obs + Fcst:       36    36    36    36    37
           % of mean:                    47% 

July       Mean:   32.5
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         24    24    24    24    24
           % of mean:                    74% 

August     Mean:   20.2
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         16    16    16    17    17
           % of mean:                    81% 

September  Mean:   19.3
2025       Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Forecast:         12    12    13    14    18
           % of mean:                    65% 

-------------------------------------------------------

Water Year Obs-To-Date: 3488.0    Mean: 2582.9
WY2025     Prob. level:      90    75    50    25    10
           Fcst Residual:    68    69    69    70    76
           Obs + Fcst:     3556  3557  3557  3558  3564
           % of mean:                   138%